Simple-Cell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

282

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$5.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$144

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-08 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Sports

63% 53% +$109

Other

26% 52% +$151

Politics

8% 42% -$203

Crypto

3% 24% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	-83	-$56	98¢	$-81	-$24	09-14 12:37
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+102	$50	60¢	$61	+$11	07-29 06:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+133	$20	2¢	$3	-$17	05-20 08:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$105	59	59	+0	Yes	+$5	01-20 08:37
will trump visit greenland by march 31	2	$104	63	63	+0	No	+$4	01-20 08:37
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	03-04 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$100	119	0	+119	Yes	+$19	03-28 01:24
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	2	$77	67	66	+2	Yes	+$7	04-25 06:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$75	192	0	+192	No	-$75	01-08 03:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$67	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	01-21 03:25
atp cerundo dzumhur 2026 01 21	1	$60	77	0	+77	Cerundolo	+$17	01-20 08:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$58	85	0	+85	No	+$27	03-29 10:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$56	0	83	-83	open	—	09-14 12:37
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$55	126	0	+126	Joshua Van	-$55	09-20 03:20
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$52	0	118	-118	Yes	-$66	03-29 11:42
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$50	0	85	-85	Yes	-$35	10-10 06:34
ufc lou2 bra24 2026 03 21	1	$50	72	0	+72	Brando Pericic	+$22	03-21 10:08
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	07-29 06:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$50	70	0	+70	No	+$20	01-09 12:32
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$50	263	0	+263	No	-$50	02-03 04:11
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	1	$50	68	0	+68	Up	-$50	03-04 02:43
O/U 1.5 Rounds	1	$50	68	0	+68	Over	-$50	08-25 13:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$50	85	0	+85	No	-$50	03-26 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 05:25 UTC	1	$50	57	0	+57	Up	-$50	02-21 05:28
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$50	66	0	+66	Yes	+$16	03-10 21:59
ufc chr52 nas 2026 08 22	2	$47	41	41	+0	Chris Padilla	+$7	08-22 22:50
will erin doherty adolescence win best supporting actress television at the 83rd golden globes	1	$40	62	0	+62	Yes	+$22	01-10 09:45
cbb illst aubrn 2026 04 02	1	$40	51	0	+51	Auburn Tigers	+$11	04-03 01:37
ufc tho4 gui2 2026 04 04	1	$40	73	0	+73	Thomas Petersen	-$40	03-28 01:30
atp tiafoe minaur 2026 01 23 set totals 3pt5	1	$40	66	0	+66	Under 3.5	-$40	01-23 04:21
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	2	$40	71	0	+71	Under	-$40	07-01 10:21
ufc ale7 cha15 2026 01 24	2	$40	63	0	+63	Perez	-$40	01-25 00:13
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$35	54	0	+54	Natalia Silva	+$19	10-04 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:44:54	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb6dd9c…
11-08 03:43:04	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa0189a…
11-08 01:50:21	Will Nina Miloševic win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8450d7…
11-08 01:49:45	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Davey Grant	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa10c3e…
11-08 01:48:51	UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes Acosta	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x2d5df5…
11-08 01:48:18	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9fef8e…
11-08 01:46:19	UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Billy Elekana	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x18f78e…
11-08 01:24:39	UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)	Marcos Degli	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x584c97…
11-01 02:25:52	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6da378…
11-01 00:27:22	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Farman Hasanov	BUY	120	12¢	$15	0xbcac82…
11-01 00:25:25	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x814375…
10-31 23:54:09	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Francis Marshall	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfe856c…
10-31 07:20:00	UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	Theodor Berggren	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xd75966…
10-24 18:43:35	Will Alexander Volkov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x27cc41…
10-24 17:24:00	Will the fight end before Round 3?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x23f4fc…
10-24 17:21:08	Will the fight end before Round 2?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9b50d5…
10-24 17:08:09	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd519a6…
10-24 17:06:30	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb31d27…
10-24 17:06:00	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 1?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xaad573…
10-24 00:40:20	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6dc15f…
10-23 23:59:05	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x03be02…
10-22 10:50:02	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x45a9c5…
10-22 10:45:02	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd2d24f…
10-22 10:42:48	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x9dd036…
10-22 10:40:47	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x0c3782…
10-22 10:40:06	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf84264…
10-22 10:39:29	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc5c512…
10-22 10:36:32	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb79bc7…
10-22 10:33:27	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x86db41…
10-13 11:24:07	Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aline Pereira	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xd9d995…
10-13 11:21:32	Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)	Luis Francischinelli	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xea807a…
10-13 11:18:43	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc247b3…
10-13 11:17:10	Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)	Douglas da Lapa	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9f4835…
10-13 11:16:02	Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jason Asher	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x29888e…
10-11 01:16:17	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Loopy Godínez	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1f3982…
10-10 10:00:10	UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Francisco Prado	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xcab3cc…
10-10 06:36:31	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x647619…
10-10 06:35:31	UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	Niko Price	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xef5cda…
10-10 06:34:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	85	59¢	$50	0xf31f26…
10-09 23:57:44	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc2ba2a…
10-09 23:55:25	UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Ernesta Kareckaite	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb76d44…
10-09 23:51:23	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jai Herbert	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x757684…
10-09 23:50:55	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Andre Fili	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x744b5f…
10-06 11:35:43	Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Summer Onley	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x249b22…
10-04 02:16:46	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Natalia Silva	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xd3994e…
10-04 02:16:46	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Natalia Silva	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x903cad…
10-03 23:40:20	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Alden Coria	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x8d2fd8…
10-03 11:10:03	UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marvin Vettori	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x72c4ec…
10-03 11:08:27	UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Johnny Walker	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xcde245…
10-03 08:39:23	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x20af03…
10-03 08:29:36	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x1dd258…
09-29 23:35:33	ufc lucbor ianesc 2026 09 29	Luca Borando	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x95f3bb…
09-29 23:18:23	ufc camrey aieber 2026 09 29 win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x472c12…
09-29 22:51:54	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xc24b2b…
09-26 23:17:09	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Bryczek	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xe3b94c…
09-23 00:58:17	Dana White's Contender Series: Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig (Middleweight, Main Card)	Theo Haig	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xc211e7…
09-22 23:35:22	Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jaden Ortega	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x4b529a…
09-22 23:27:26	Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Piero Guaylupo	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbb2dbd…
09-22 23:13:10	Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Damian Piwowarczyk	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xa8f0f5…
09-20 03:20:42	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xd5f34e…
09-20 00:27:16	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x8dccae…
09-15 23:49:34	Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)	Hugo Guillon	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x358cd9…
09-15 23:18:34	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xb18076…
09-15 23:18:04	Dana White's Contender Series: Antonio Monteiro vs. Tyshawn Williams (Featherweight, Main Card)	Tyshawn Williams	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x522af6…
09-14 12:45:31	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x259338…
09-14 12:37:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	83	68¢	$56	0xc2425c…
09-12 01:06:12	Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	Marwan Rahiki	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xd98e61…
09-12 01:04:01	Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Édgar Cháirez	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x627204…
09-12 01:01:58	Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexa Grasso	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x2e7e40…
09-09 00:24:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Quentin Pasley vs. Arlind Berisha (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Quentin Pasley	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xab0629…
09-08 23:34:00	Dana White's Contender Series: Kwon Won Il vs. Apollo Gomes (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kwon Won Il	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x596d52…
09-08 23:14:34	Dana White's Contender Series: Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad (Flyweight, Main Card)	Colton Loud	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x8c36ba…
08-29 09:35:25	ufc celiu lev1 2026 08 29	Levi Rodrigues Jr.	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xdf3aac…
08-29 09:30:42	UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)	Namsrai Batbayar	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x9c0215…
08-29 08:45:25	UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)	Jack Jenkins	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x0fe55f…
08-29 05:54:57	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xdf7006…
08-25 13:46:13	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x948945…
08-25 13:42:36	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa6610a…
08-25 13:37:34	Dana White's Contender Series: Mario Piazzon vs. Guilherme Uriel (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Guilherme Uriel	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x079208…
08-25 13:34:01	Dana White's Contender Series: Carlos Petruzzella vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Main Card)	Carlos Petruzzella	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x9a23d3…
08-23 02:06:09	ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	Gregory Rodrigues	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xef93a3…
08-23 00:12:51	ufc awint tercha 2026 08 22	Terrance Chatman	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x06bed4…
08-22 22:50:54	ufc chr52 nas 2026 08 22	Chris Padilla	SELL	41	65¢	$27	0x88f64b…
08-22 21:47:39	ufc gau stador 2026 08 22	Gauge Young	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x0139a6…
08-20 08:08:01	ufc chr52 nas 2026 08 22	Chris Padilla	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9135a0…
08-20 07:56:19	ufc mas mar83 2026 08 22	Mason Jones	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x680005…
08-20 07:55:58	ufc ser2 vit3 2026 08 22	Vitor Petrino	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x198b49…
08-20 07:55:22	ufc wes5 jac22 2026 08 22	Wes Schultz	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x95fcd8…
08-16 03:30:33	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xb46f08…
08-16 00:11:34	ufc jal kau 2026 08 15	Jalin Turner	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x9f9a76…
08-16 00:09:55	ufc cha15 edu8 2026 08 15	Charles Johnson	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x83516a…
08-15 23:07:48	ufc vic tre3 2026 08 15	Vicente Luque	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe7625f…
08-15 22:15:16	ufc nei ram2 2026 08 15	Neil Magny	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xdd343b…
08-12 00:39:07	ufc aalsag fescar 2026 08 11	Abe Alsaghir	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0b6ebd…
08-11 23:51:19	ufc tpagli ana1 2026 08 11	Tom Pagliarulo	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x971b2d…
08-11 23:18:37	ufc jkrops jon23 2026 08 11	Joe Kropschot	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x457f6f…
08-09 00:40:09	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Diego Ferreira	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xfbca73…
08-09 00:29:21	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Billy Ray Goff	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xabdf3e…
08-09 00:12:03	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x541ba0…
08-04 04:26:48	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x4da547…