Realized P&L
-$9.61K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.66K
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
235
Trades
2,098
lifetime
Volume
$422.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$862
1 position
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-24 08:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
50%
48%
-$1,160
Other
35%
60%
-$6,228
Crypto
15%
51%
-$1,062
Sports
0%
11%
-$1,155
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | +7,500 | $6,525 | 12¢ | $862 | -$5,662 | 06-24 07:07 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 33 | $43.3K | 34,250 | 34,254 | -3 | Yes | +$401 | 04-02 09:30 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31 | 76 | $20.5K | 12,225 | 12,225 | +0 | No | +$1,033 | 03-21 21:12 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 26 | $18.8K | 18,609 | 18,609 | +0 | Yes | +$2,177 | 04-03 12:45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 21 | $14.7K | 15,418 | 15,418 | +0 | Yes | +$1,478 | 04-04 10:42 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $13.9K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | Yes | +$30 | 06-17 15:03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 14 | $13.0K | 15,000 | 14,204 | +796 | No | +$842 | 04-05 01:26 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 13 | $12.7K | 7,300 | 7,300 | +0 | Yes | +$1,431 | 06-15 06:16 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 48 | $12.0K | 8,821 | 8,821 | +0 | No | -$1,142 | 04-28 13:49 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $10.5K | 7,516 | 7,516 | +0 | Yes | -$312 | 02-28 02:13 |
| gc hit 5500 high jan 2026 | 66 | $9.9K | 11,406 | 13,658 | -2,253 | No | +$1,339 | 01-29 19:01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 24 | $9.7K | 11,424 | 11,399 | +25 | No | -$6,848 | 04-23 07:47 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 7 | $8.9K | 6,057 | 6,057 | +0 | No | +$182 | 03-07 22:52 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 14 | $8.2K | 7,660 | 7,660 | +0 | Yes | +$1,408 | 02-28 07:13 |
| will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026 | 13 | $8.0K | 9,406 | 9,406 | +0 | No | -$1,867 | 02-15 21:23 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 7 | $7.9K | 4,934 | 4,934 | +0 | Yes | -$446 | 03-06 13:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April? | 21 | $7.4K | 4,200 | 4,181 | +19 | Yes | +$534 | 04-07 19:57 |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 36 | $7.4K | 5,819 | 6,503 | -685 | No | +$2,115 | 02-02 23:41 |
| will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158 | 11 | $7.4K | 4,322 | 4,322 | +0 | Yes | +$1,065 | 01-28 21:16 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 1 | $6.5K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 06-24 07:07 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 79 | $6.5K | 35,800 | 24,800 | +11,000 | No | +$1,544 | 02-23 11:27 |
| us iran nuclear deal by march 31 | 13 | $5.9K | 18,801 | 17,070 | +1,730 | No | -$3,435 | 03-24 11:32 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 16 | $5.9K | 6,939 | 2,000 | +4,939 | Yes | -$180 | 05-19 02:28 |
| will xrp dip to 1pt4 in february 2026 | 8 | $5.6K | 6,406 | 4,552 | +1,854 | Yes | -$1,083 | 02-03 12:39 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 2 | $5.4K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | +$298 | 05-10 20:58 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 17 | $4.7K | 15,000 | 3,000 | +12,000 | Yes | -$84 | 04-05 03:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 5 | $4.7K | 2,600 | 2,600 | +0 | No | +$38 | 03-07 22:39 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 10 | $4.4K | 3,614 | 3,614 | -0 | Yes | +$8 | 02-09 12:15 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 20 | $4.2K | 7,670 | 2,008 | +5,662 | No | -$252 | 02-13 01:58 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 18 | $4.2K | 2,600 | 2,600 | +0 | No | +$445 | 05-10 20:59 |
| spx opens up or down on february 17 2026 | 7 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | Down | -$4 | 02-15 23:01 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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