Staid-Anguish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,220

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-17 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 50% $-2

Other

40% 25% $-2

Politics

14% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	25	$400	399	399	+0	open	—	03-20 05:41
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	29	$352	300	320	-20	open	—	03-08 13:06
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	20	$227	173	173	+0	open	—	03-20 00:20
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	29	$214	214	254	-40	open	—	03-20 00:20
btc updown 5m 1772954700	3	$209	114	105	+9	open	—	03-08 07:30
btc updown 5m 1772933400	4	$193	115	114	+0	open	—	03-08 01:35
btc updown 5m 1772762100	5	$187	99	98	+0	open	—	03-06 02:01
btc updown 5m 1772778300	3	$161	86	81	+5	open	—	03-06 06:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	11	$157	127	147	-20	open	—	03-14 08:48
will the perfect neighbor win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 01:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	8	$137	80	80	+0	open	—	03-25 05:08
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	19	$133	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 00:20
btc updown 5m 1772786400	3	$132	115	113	+2	open	—	03-06 08:44
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	10	$132	93	93	+0	No	$-1	03-17 00:02
will sentimental value win exactly 1 award at the oscars	5	$130	94	94	+0	open	—	03-16 01:20
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	6	$129	150	150	+0	open	—	03-21 01:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	11	$119	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 00:20
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	12	$116	120	120	+0	open	—	03-21 08:01
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?	7	$116	60	80	-20	open	—	03-18 01:54
btc updown 5m 1772955000	3	$107	118	3	+114	open	—	03-08 07:35
trump approval up or down this week 857	19	$107	152	172	-20	open	—	03-18 12:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$104	400	400	+0	open	—	03-15 03:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2	8	$102	200	50	+150	open	—	03-09 13:38
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$101	100	50	+50	open	—	03-16 02:30
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 12:57
cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 00:14
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 01:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 00:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	4	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 08:24
btc updown 5m 1772760300	4	$95	97	0	+97	open	—	03-06 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:03:53	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x8d1bde…
05-17 01:02:43	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x27ad93…
05-15 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4ee569…
05-15 08:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x652b15…
05-15 08:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x280dbc…
05-15 08:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7d68be…
05-15 08:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbc60ed…
05-15 08:07:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x1a5b41…
05-15 00:33:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xc8b834…
05-15 00:29:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x6eea97…
05-15 00:22:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x878711…
05-14 12:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xa5d7d1…
05-14 12:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6ad03c…
05-14 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa379af…
05-14 12:13:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xb1dbd9…
05-14 10:57:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x27cb9a…
05-14 09:49:57	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x30b3f0…
05-14 09:45:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x94a51a…
05-14 09:37:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x47c6f0…
05-14 09:13:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe3c2ca…
05-14 08:36:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x582b52…
05-14 08:24:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xfdc0c1…
05-14 08:23:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x1c5497…
05-14 08:16:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x327866…
05-14 07:59:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x74e654…
05-14 07:58:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb11686…
05-14 07:45:07	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0xc38e69…
05-14 07:39:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x4aa13e…
05-14 07:05:48	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	No	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x10d3dc…
05-14 06:48:21	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	No	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x340eec…
05-14 00:18:32	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa6dc15…
05-13 09:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x56be94…
05-13 09:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa5062f…
05-13 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4e5cf…
05-13 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d6531…
05-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x943683…
05-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76a1fc…
05-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x563fab…
05-13 09:36:36	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x759f1b…
05-13 08:48:56	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xbed807…
05-12 00:56:36	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x64e55e…
05-12 00:49:29	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6090c5…
05-11 12:51:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x533294…
05-11 12:47:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x38cd4a…
05-11 06:49:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xce5eec…
05-11 06:42:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf1886f…
05-11 05:50:56	Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xb28b05…
05-11 03:15:18	Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7d68fc…
05-10 19:18:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xffc9bd…
05-10 12:14:36	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xdbd0b0…
05-10 08:24:01	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc483af…
05-06 06:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33cd1b…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee2c94…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4566e…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6818df…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x599b04…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x181030…
04-30 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcf485b…
04-30 09:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4c343…
04-30 09:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x990812…
04-30 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac330b…
04-30 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x509b95…
04-30 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x40d063…
04-30 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87d023…
04-30 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbad1b4…
04-30 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0fbd5e…
04-30 09:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xb76f9a…
04-30 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf0c86a…
04-27 01:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xc5da72…
04-27 01:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfaa33c…
04-25 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x470ab3…
04-25 02:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x21720f…
04-25 01:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xed013d…
04-25 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x42dbe9…
04-25 01:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x31c939…
04-25 01:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xff2ac3…
03-28 19:34:40	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbe9fa9…
03-27 11:10:07	btc updown 5m 1774609500	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x36efa7…
03-27 11:06:45	btc updown 5m 1774609500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x76a7b4…
03-27 10:11:01	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa16c3a…
03-27 01:22:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x738d13…
03-27 00:54:07	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf6c0da…
03-27 00:34:53	btc updown 5m 1774571400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5c836e…
03-25 13:17:31	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x6bef24…
03-25 12:47:25	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5932d2…
03-25 12:45:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x115241…
03-25 12:36:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9be21c…
03-25 12:10:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1283be…
03-25 11:59:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb9a9e9…
03-25 11:59:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x512cab…
03-25 11:57:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xffb25c…
03-25 11:45:51	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x441087…
03-25 11:39:03	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xba71ca…
03-25 11:27:25	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8fb644…
03-25 11:25:53	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x303a15…
03-25 10:49:55	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd87c51…
03-25 10:43:31	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x202179…
03-25 10:32:41	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xabc3a1…
03-25 10:32:41	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x52b177…
03-25 10:10:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb9e9a5…