Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

29 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$142

$142 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

11 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 10-31 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

69% 89% -$4

Politics

28% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-23 21:44
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-27 22:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-26 01:56
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-27 01:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-24 13:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-23 16:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-31 11:23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-28 17:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-23 17:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	$0	10-18 01:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-30 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:23:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa9bfcf…
10-30 14:23:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb4108…
10-30 13:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff9084…
10-28 17:42:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc73ea…
10-28 01:39:14	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b2a37…
10-27 22:45:35	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9cbd81…
10-27 18:08:36	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfe63b…
10-27 01:27:20	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16b6cb…
10-26 01:56:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dd602…
10-25 06:01:33	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c46d5…
10-24 15:06:53	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe043ea…
10-24 13:53:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa10c49…
10-24 11:52:18	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0e3e10…
10-24 09:55:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8675ab…
10-24 00:16:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56a211…
10-23 22:10:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdef0b3…
10-23 21:44:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96c822…
10-23 17:25:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b6ec7…
10-23 16:54:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd583df…
10-23 14:46:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x27bcbb…
10-21 16:55:42	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x237b6b…
10-21 03:57:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34cb73…
10-20 17:26:32	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8356a5…
10-19 17:35:45	Will Ann-Marie Zammit win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bc4a3…
10-19 16:27:03	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d3476…
10-19 16:15:57	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57b21d…
10-18 01:40:45	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34708e…
10-18 01:32:39	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c6eba…
10-17 19:54:32	Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x354728…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-19 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-23 21:44
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-18 01:40
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-10-17?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-17 19:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-26 01:56
Will Ann-Marie Zammit win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-19 17:35
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-19 16:15
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-23 17:25
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-21 16:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-23 14:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-23 16:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-31 11:23
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-25 06:01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-18 01:32
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-27 22:45
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-24 13:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-20 17:26
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-24 00:16
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-27 01:27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	-$5	10-30 13:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-28 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-24 09:55
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-24 11:52
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-27 18:08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-21 03:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-30 14:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-23 22:10
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-28 01:39
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-24 15:06