Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-29

last 10-26 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

61% 56% -$5

Politics

27% 100% +$1

Sports

13% 29% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	95¢	$2	+$0	09-12 00:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$0	10-10 16:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	09-28 06:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	7	$9	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	10-06 09:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	6	$8	5	4	+1	Yes	+$0	09-22 18:58
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	4	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 00:58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	4	$6	22	17	+5	open	—	09-28 06:00
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	2	$5	10	6	+4	Yes	-$1	10-01 20:28
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	09-16 16:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	3	$4	76	76	+0	No	+$0	09-21 02:24
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	2	$3	3	1	+1	No	+$0	10-19 15:58
nato downs another russian drone by september 15 20260828	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-17 18:15
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	09-28 21:22
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$3	4	0	+4	San Diego Padres	-$3	09-24 02:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	09-10 23:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	09-20 05:41
Packers vs. Jets: O/U 44.5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Under	+$1	09-19 08:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	09-14 14:42
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	1	$1	3	0	+3	Cowboys	-$1	09-20 21:40
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-01 18:15
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-29 01:34
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 3 2026 1159 pm et	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-03 06:40
Spread: Bears (-5.5)	1	$1	3	0	+3	Vikings	-$1	09-19 08:25
Spread: Packers (-4.5)	1	$1	3	0	+3	Jets	-$1	09-19 08:17
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-26 13:34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	10-26 17:43
Jaguars vs. Broncos	1	$1	2	0	+2	Broncos	-$1	09-20 20:27
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-15 20:58
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5	1	$1	3	0	+3	Over	+$1	09-20 22:00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-12 09:52
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-10 16:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	09-12 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:43:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c35f5…
10-19 15:58:51	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5f1797…
10-10 16:02:45	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4cf748…
10-06 09:18:45	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf0caf5…
10-05 10:09:50	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc1c62f…
10-01 20:28:11	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x15255d…
09-28 21:50:18	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x79abf0…
09-28 21:22:15	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x947d0d…
09-28 21:22:15	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x46d079…
09-28 20:43:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9bc3d1…
09-28 06:00:47	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xf609fd…
09-28 05:57:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0223d8…
09-28 05:18:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xfa418f…
09-27 13:26:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x5f53e6…
09-26 13:34:47	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4802b…
09-26 08:28:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xcfb18c…
09-25 00:58:05	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x1e4906…
09-25 00:50:50	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x10dac6…
09-25 00:37:08	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcd5cc0…
09-24 22:47:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xa25d0f…
09-24 19:56:51	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xe71a77…
09-24 02:46:34	San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe1494e…
09-22 18:58:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8cc010…
09-22 18:55:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xad9885…
09-22 18:49:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc5bae0…
09-22 18:30:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2d70d0…
09-22 18:18:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xd653bc…
09-22 18:01:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0b145a…
09-21 02:24:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x5fcef7…
09-20 22:40:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x9e3a6d…
09-20 22:00:20	Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8038a5…
09-20 21:40:28	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Commanders	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x888ec4…
09-20 20:27:08	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Jaguars	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd285c3…
09-20 05:41:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x6bd84c…
09-20 05:19:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x9bba64…
09-19 23:02:21	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xcdebb9…
09-19 22:56:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x77603a…
09-19 08:25:12	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Bears	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x250552…
09-19 08:17:57	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Packers	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x83d303…
09-19 08:10:55	Packers vs. Jets: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x40495f…
09-17 18:15:49	nato downs another russian drone by september 15 20260828	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7a1e53…
09-16 16:44:29	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc28607…
09-15 20:58:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x970470…
09-14 14:42:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x6eb654…
09-12 09:52:45	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x068e30…
09-12 00:58:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x11b712…
09-10 23:45:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1ef851…
09-10 23:44:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x17e79d…
09-07 21:52:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x22d4cb…
09-03 12:42:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2def48…
09-03 06:40:58	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 3 2026 1159 pm et	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5093be…
09-01 18:15:18	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x1fc6af…
08-29 01:34:01	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3440c3…