Growing-Beverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 07-05 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 100% +$7

Other

32% 100% +$2

Politics

16% — —

Tech

14% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$400	202	202	+0	open	—	03-21 10:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$138	47	98	-51	open	—	03-02 23:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$118	0	123	-123	open	—	07-05 12:58
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	02-07 02:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-06 23:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	02-07 02:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$50	99	0	+99	open	—	03-05 23:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	03-10 23:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	02-07 02:13
eth updown 5m 1772925000	3	$43	59	0	+59	open	—	03-07 23:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$38	64	64	+0	open	—	03-12 22:58
ethereum up or down march 12 6pm et	2	$34	25	24	+0	open	—	03-12 23:38
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$33	90	0	+90	open	—	04-01 23:02
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$32	154	154	+0	open	—	04-04 23:36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	03-07 23:18
btc updown 15m 1772022600	2	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	02-25 12:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	03-02 23:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	04-09 11:42
eth updown 15m 1772751600	2	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	03-05 23:11
eth updown 5m 1773752700	5	$21	37	0	+37	open	—	03-17 13:09
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-14 06:50
eth updown 15m 1772198100	2	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-27 13:23
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-12 09:59
eth updown 5m 1772752200	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-05 23:11
eth updown 4h 1773345600	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-12 23:38
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	3	$16	34	26	+9	open	—	03-26 10:05
eth updown 4h 1773748800	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	03-17 13:03
eth updown 15m 1773668700	2	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	03-16 13:49
btc updown 15m 1771550100	2	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	02-20 01:15
eth updown 5m 1773358500	2	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 12:58:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	112	96¢	$108	0xbdb726…
06-27 06:53:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xf7e767…
06-27 06:53:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0x0e34a6…
06-09 23:06:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xd6e995…
06-06 09:49:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x15470d…
06-04 11:43:03	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x660abe…
05-05 12:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5db11f…
05-05 12:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x585477…
04-19 08:47:30	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x77febb…
04-16 12:33:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe8753d…
04-14 23:14:08	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2e5999…
04-09 11:42:51	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x976ff5…
04-09 11:37:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xa961cd…
04-09 11:36:15	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf17bdb…
04-09 11:34:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf03e5d…
04-06 09:23:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x929581…
04-05 22:42:37	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdc50da…
04-04 23:41:33	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb23689…
04-04 23:37:31	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x4d8898…
04-04 23:36:41	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	154	8¢	$12	0x85bb22…
04-04 23:31:43	eth updown 15m 1775345400	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ff38b…
04-01 23:02:55	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x069104…
04-01 22:52:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6466e9…
04-01 22:51:27	eth updown 15m 1775083500	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f641f…
03-31 22:46:55	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6ce873…
03-31 22:46:01	will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf75361…
03-29 22:37:36	ethereum up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2fed40…
03-29 09:45:34	eth updown 15m 1774777500	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x742af4…
03-29 09:43:58	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1c6172…
03-29 09:43:22	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa4c4f1…
03-29 09:42:20	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe8b2da…
03-26 10:06:31	eth updown 15m 1774519200	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc835ff…
03-26 10:06:17	eth updown 5m 1774519500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5815e4…
03-26 10:05:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x40138d…
03-22 12:55:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x7b1ff2…
03-22 12:54:31	eth updown 15m 1774183500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5d3d66…
03-21 10:47:27	eth updown 15m 1774089900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x71bbbf…
03-21 10:46:55	eth updown 5m 1774089900	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2dcb07…
03-21 10:46:05	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9256b9…
03-21 10:43:13	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x4a62fc…
03-18 12:17:05	ethereum up or down march 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd54598…
03-18 12:16:25	eth updown 5m 1773836100	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbccad4…
03-17 13:09:49	eth updown 5m 1773752700	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd808a8…
03-17 13:09:25	eth updown 5m 1773752700	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x56efe0…
03-17 13:09:01	eth updown 5m 1773752700	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x722169…
03-17 13:07:37	eth updown 15m 1773752400	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xff75e8…
03-17 13:07:17	eth updown 5m 1773752700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x636510…
03-17 13:06:35	eth updown 15m 1773752400	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x8759cc…
03-17 13:05:13	eth updown 5m 1773752700	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x748040…
03-17 13:03:47	eth updown 4h 1773748800	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7889ca…
03-17 12:44:15	eth updown 5m 1773751200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb75504…
03-17 12:42:59	eth updown 4h 1773748800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8d361…
03-17 12:41:49	eth updown 5m 1773751200	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xccc373…
03-16 23:42:45	eth updown 5m 1773704400	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x702be6…
03-16 23:41:01	eth updown 5m 1773704400	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xccf4c3…
03-16 23:39:53	eth updown 5m 1773704100	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x4f84a0…
03-16 23:39:13	eth updown 5m 1773704100	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7cb9eb…
03-16 23:17:33	eth updown 5m 1773702900	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x25e272…
03-16 23:16:23	eth updown 5m 1773702900	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x7f3d00…
03-16 23:13:45	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74bcd5…
03-16 23:13:31	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x925e0b…
03-16 23:12:11	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x603812…
03-16 23:11:05	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x147de4…
03-16 23:10:39	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd5cdf4…
03-16 23:10:31	eth updown 5m 1773702600	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcdf669…
03-16 23:09:03	eth updown 15m 1773702000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20fd37…
03-16 13:49:59	eth updown 15m 1773668700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc23358…
03-16 13:49:11	eth updown 15m 1773668700	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf2558d…
03-16 12:57:21	ethereum above 2400 on march 16	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0a3090…
03-16 12:54:33	eth updown 15m 1773665100	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa26983…
03-16 12:53:03	eth updown 15m 1773665100	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6c6b2b…
03-16 12:50:09	eth updown 4h 1773662400	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd435db…
03-16 12:48:05	eth updown 5m 1773665100	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc1b053…
03-16 12:46:17	eth updown 5m 1773665100	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc2cd95…
03-16 12:45:37	eth updown 5m 1773665100	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x778fc3…
03-15 23:45:47	eth updown 5m 1773618300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3568fe…
03-15 23:45:25	eth updown 5m 1773618300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x685dd1…
03-15 23:44:17	ethereum up or down march 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x412541…
03-15 22:51:57	eth updown 15m 1773614700	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb91ead…
03-15 22:51:57	eth updown 15m 1773614700	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb541af…
03-15 22:51:57	eth updown 15m 1773614700	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x099c25…
03-15 22:50:07	eth updown 15m 1773614700	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9b668c…
03-15 07:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x459403…
03-15 07:18:37	Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xcab847…
03-15 07:16:53	eth updown 5m 1773558900	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7ef7dd…
03-15 07:16:13	eth updown 5m 1773558900	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbecd75…
03-15 07:15:41	eth updown 5m 1773558900	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe5a6f9…
03-15 07:15:21	eth updown 15m 1773558900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x001d0f…
03-15 04:19:47	eth updown 15m 1773548100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x453a2d…
03-15 04:18:41	eth updown 5m 1773548100	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5ce63…
03-15 02:03:55	eth updown 15m 1773540000	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd2e45e…
03-15 02:03:29	eth updown 15m 1773540000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x264447…
03-15 02:01:05	eth updown 5m 1773540000	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbe0ae9…
03-14 23:40:49	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$2	0x7069f0…
03-14 23:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x87c2cf…
03-14 23:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x7e1352…
03-14 23:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xc145da…
03-14 23:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x99f4a5…
03-14 23:37:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x93e773…
03-14 23:35:19	ethereum up or down on march 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8a7d73…