Ancient-Presence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

290

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-02 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Sports

69% 51% +$66

Other

28% 40% -$28

Crypto

3% 50% -$5

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$134	107	107	+0	Yes	+$58	04-07 03:21
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$55	72	46	+25	Yes	+$21	05-30 17:58
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	20	$53	54	46	+8	Team Falcons	-$1	06-19 21:51
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$52	123	123	+0	No	-$7	05-06 20:17
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$51	54	54	+0	Yes	+$25	05-31 03:52
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$46	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	03-16 05:53
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	9	$38	650	148	+503	No	-$12	04-07 03:18
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	2	$36	186	186	+0	No	-$1	06-04 03:28
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	8	$34	31	27	+4	Timberwolves	+$4	05-11 02:41
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$32	48	48	+0	No	+$8	05-21 04:39
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	2	$30	20	20	+0	Knicks	+$10	05-24 03:23
Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry	3	$29	36	27	+9	Diane Parry	-$5	05-12 03:03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$28	20	20	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$11	05-12 02:36
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$26	28	28	+0	No	+$3	06-06 03:50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$25	24	24	+0	No	+$2	05-27 17:04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	05-17 21:57
Spurs vs. Thunder	5	$25	32	24	+8	Spurs	-$5	05-29 18:39
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$24	15	15	+0	Spurs	+$6	05-29 03:08
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	2	$23	15	15	+0	Under	+$7	05-17 21:57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	2	$22	15	15	+0	Under	+$7	05-24 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	04-25 23:10
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$20	13	13	+0	Knicks	+$6	05-10 22:20
ITF Bastad: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yelyzaveta Kotliar	$0	05-14 07:36
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$19	35	10	+25	Cavaliers	+$7	05-12 19:46
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5	2	$19	12	12	+0	Under	+$5	05-17 00:02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	4	$19	26	26	+0	No	-$1	06-25 21:30
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	1	$18	36	0	+36	Under	-$18	05-21 04:34
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$17	14	10	+4	Cavaliers	+$2	05-09 21:47
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	2	$17	12	12	+0	New York Mets	+$7	05-14 21:11
Knicks vs. 76ers	4	$16	24	9	+15	Knicks	-$2	05-09 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 22:48:36	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x1e9700…
08-02 22:48:35	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xc82948…
08-01 19:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x422118…
07-27 19:26:24	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x17a6d2…
07-27 19:24:57	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfcf759…
07-26 01:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x45f826…
07-26 01:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa69285…
07-26 01:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x998b1e…
07-24 04:34:09	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x59972f…
07-23 20:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 23?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe24c72…
07-23 00:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe8bc92…
07-22 22:07:03	wnba conn ind 2026 07 22 total 179pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x84a2c6…
07-05 23:28:31	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe88c98…
07-04 18:40:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb0565b…
07-04 18:38:56	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x0a4530…
07-03 05:02:25	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7f1246…
07-03 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x76b5fb…
07-03 00:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6372d7…
07-03 00:37:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x068da9…
07-03 00:37:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x3c7117…
07-03 00:30:25	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x41afd7…
07-02 23:09:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcad189…
07-02 21:25:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc14842…
07-02 20:48:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9a5b7e…
07-02 20:42:53	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd3bddb…
07-02 19:45:20	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x786879…
07-02 19:39:43	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97bb0b…
07-02 19:39:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x73db8f…
07-02 19:29:10	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xabedfe…
07-02 19:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x764039…
07-02 19:24:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x381423…
07-02 19:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x707d98…
07-02 00:52:10	cricmlc los was 2026 07 01	Washington Freedom	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71d9bb…
07-01 18:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x835f12…
07-01 18:43:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa0f948…
07-01 17:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa146fb…
07-01 17:31:13	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x528007…
07-01 17:25:07	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc80d53…
07-01 17:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4bfc86…
07-01 17:01:23	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x4db96e…
07-01 16:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa5a853…
07-01 16:48:37	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x80c9c3…
07-01 16:30:46	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x31bec6…
07-01 16:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x42a62d…
07-01 15:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0834b4…
07-01 05:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x386787…
07-01 05:17:47	cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	Monte	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x31b2a7…
07-01 04:00:47	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 extra time	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa922ca…
07-01 02:47:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x173e11…
07-01 02:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x410312…
07-01 02:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xc3fcf7…
07-01 02:32:23	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x0c631d…
07-01 02:26:17	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd32828…
07-01 01:14:50	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x39c2ee…
07-01 01:14:43	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x35e81c…
06-30 23:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x691d11…
06-30 23:05:31	France to score first vs. Sweden?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x22e426…
06-30 20:18:41	France to score first vs. Sweden?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3aad98…
06-30 18:37:16	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x968848…
06-30 00:03:25	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x8e9cfa…
06-29 23:55:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xafd156…
06-29 22:10:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf01e23…
06-29 18:59:32	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x72a61c…
06-29 18:55:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x127f36…
06-29 18:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x007751…
06-29 06:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4dabfd…
06-28 02:34:16	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x017d10…
06-28 01:43:43	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7221ed…
06-28 01:37:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0dfaf9…
06-28 01:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd83a9c…
06-28 01:26:55	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd651d6…
06-28 01:23:25	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xed99b5…
06-28 01:14:11	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x03188a…
06-28 01:09:28	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x02df77…
06-28 01:04:49	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x439e60…
06-28 01:04:22	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xdd95c8…
06-28 00:46:25	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x171588…
06-27 07:07:52	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x48370b…
06-27 06:50:08	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4e6ee3…
06-27 06:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x81d666…
06-26 19:29:46	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x033a92…
06-26 19:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x9a4fd8…
06-26 00:18:52	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x42068b…
06-26 00:12:32	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x06639f…
06-26 00:09:01	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xe1dd52…
06-26 00:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x982910…
06-25 23:30:26	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe0cdbf…
06-25 22:54:25	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7e47c5…
06-25 21:41:59	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x5bb517…
06-25 21:30:37	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5bd584…
06-25 21:30:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x272d81…
06-25 21:24:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x826167…
06-25 21:24:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xddc1f7…
06-25 21:23:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4a9ae6…
06-25 21:19:22	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x272565…
06-25 21:19:04	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xe4c931…
06-25 21:18:23	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x24a402…
06-25 21:17:16	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x3decea…
06-25 21:14:44	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x1ca1d4…
06-25 21:05:35	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x330cc0…