Flimsy-Complication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-01 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 38% +$11

Other

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+20	$5	5¢	$1	$-4	06-14 20:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	3	$474	308	308	+0	open	—	04-22 12:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	14	$151	198	50	+149	open	—	04-27 15:04
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$122	75	75	+0	open	—	05-25 13:33
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$120	73	73	+0	open	—	04-30 20:02
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$117	70	70	+0	open	—	04-30 09:26
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	3	$115	66	66	+0	open	—	04-29 13:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	2	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	04-27 15:07
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$109	76	76	+0	Yes	+$8	04-25 13:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	5	$83	94	30	+64	No	$-1	05-08 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	5	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 14:07
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	1	$51	88	0	+88	open	—	04-23 11:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	5	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$20	05-07 15:39
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$42	54	54	+0	open	—	04-30 10:04
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$32	150	0	+150	open	—	05-01 04:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12?	2	$29	27	27	+0	No	+$9	05-12 12:30
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	1	$27	0	27	-27	open	—	06-21 11:35
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	5	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 19:00
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$26	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-05 19:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	05-08 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-30 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-05 00:02
bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	3	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	06-26 14:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	3	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 14:13
bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	06-09 14:25
bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$17	40	0	+40	No	$-17	05-06 09:18
will curvance launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 00:26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$16	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 06:32
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	06-04 15:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	5	$15	50	0	+50	open	—	05-07 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:52:32	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc9a06e…
07-01 02:43:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x510ef1…
07-01 01:39:32	ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf8ae8c…
07-01 01:39:32	ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1ae4b1…
06-30 12:21:58	will lab reach 20 before 2027	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc11156…
06-26 14:18:24	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0xb697fa…
06-26 01:29:28	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x72e2dd…
06-25 15:11:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xfce5d6…
06-25 14:11:59	bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x9ca02f…
06-25 05:02:47	bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5a17ab…
06-25 04:46:34	bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x95b45d…
06-23 11:30:55	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xe0fa87…
06-23 11:16:05	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x67af0f…
06-21 11:35:04	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x8cefc3…
06-19 11:21:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x41da48…
06-18 21:02:41	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xa68acf…
06-18 20:15:49	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcec18a…
06-18 20:01:41	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xa8ad0b…
06-18 18:52:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xeddf40…
06-18 18:22:44	bitcoin above 62k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x866f4e…
06-18 18:22:19	bitcoin above 62k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xfa93bb…
06-18 18:22:19	bitcoin above 62k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x06d7eb…
06-18 18:22:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf43852…
06-18 18:19:02	bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xc38182…
06-15 15:19:48	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0f3f55…
06-14 20:12:04	Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x1dc72f…
06-12 13:08:48	cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x52b4a1…
06-11 14:04:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x02306e…
06-11 10:55:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd3e762…
06-11 10:54:52	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf1cb62…
06-11 10:52:24	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x37c12a…
06-11 10:51:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcb7aae…
06-10 15:54:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xd83e37…
06-10 15:54:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8337a9…
06-10 15:53:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xa1e266…
06-10 15:39:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x98498a…
06-09 17:53:01	will saturn launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x13474f…
06-09 16:38:30	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xc35c03…
06-09 14:25:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x6a7ee4…
06-09 12:11:19	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x7ec585…
06-09 12:05:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x7967b2…
06-08 09:01:55	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x146dca…
06-08 08:42:12	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x19aa7b…
06-07 20:10:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x4fe803…
06-07 19:49:49	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xb1e4ad…
06-07 19:49:37	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa8c18d…
06-06 00:26:39	will curvance launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x974a46…
06-05 15:03:52	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x4a992d…
06-05 14:35:55	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xd9fecc…
06-05 08:20:27	will curvance launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa7b1fc…
06-05 06:19:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xe37aba…
06-05 03:40:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x416e57…
06-05 03:06:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6f56a4…
06-05 02:07:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x837c9b…
06-05 00:33:33	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc4a81b…
06-04 23:04:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf6061d…
06-04 20:04:28	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1274c7…
06-04 19:37:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x72f78f…
06-04 18:08:52	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x873823…
06-04 15:33:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xedf429…
06-04 15:33:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x6c915a…
06-04 12:50:34	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x59eade…
06-04 12:49:51	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x90d823…
06-04 12:31:40	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x250281…
06-04 10:40:49	Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x96b110…
06-04 08:17:12	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x981062…
06-04 08:17:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x35c632…
06-03 16:34:57	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x1a3118…
06-03 10:27:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x893516…
06-03 08:47:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa24201…
06-02 14:22:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf99eb6…
06-02 10:12:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x02c652…
06-02 09:18:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x1eac33…
06-01 19:22:37	Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x49fc3b…
06-01 13:44:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xd65161…
06-01 13:31:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x6ceb2c…
06-01 11:07:24	Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x99fc48…
06-01 09:53:26	Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x56abc1…
06-01 08:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7b98ec…
06-01 08:41:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7008b7…
05-31 17:12:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6d25ff…
05-31 16:19:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb1d27b…
05-30 15:40:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0xaf60ad…
05-30 13:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb07e24…
05-30 13:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x866fb8…
05-29 08:02:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x971f6b…
05-28 19:00:25	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0x91e222…
05-28 18:59:27	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x5aae06…
05-28 17:50:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x4b05ce…
05-28 17:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x49c7da…
05-28 16:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x16b709…
05-28 12:43:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x7bb4b7…
05-28 11:49:45	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3b883b…
05-28 11:49:45	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x38e60d…
05-28 11:49:45	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x0945cd…
05-25 13:33:06	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0xc05238…
05-25 11:32:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	No	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xa46126…
05-25 11:32:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xd38994…
05-25 11:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5946d0…
05-25 02:07:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x752cf1…