Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
56
Trades
100
lifetime
Volume
$285
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-24 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 89% +$1
Other
40% 91% -$48
Politics
12% 75% -$7
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 10-07 13:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-12 13:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 +$0 10-15 02:18
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-07 13:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-07 13:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 10-07 13:41
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-07 13:48