Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

107

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$586

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-27 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

59% 53% -$3

Politics

34% 29% -$14

Sports

3% 75% +$0

Crypto

2% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	06-02 12:12
Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	-12	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	04-29 01:51
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-9	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	05-03 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 rom	2	$71	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-26 05:58
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	03-25 02:29
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	26	$26	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	05-03 16:26
will tisza win at least 100 seats	15	$20	37	35	+3	Yes	+$0	04-11 00:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	11	$18	370	370	+0	No	-$2	04-16 08:50
will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	10	$18	18	9	+9	Yes	$0	03-24 22:35
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	16	$16	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-11 07:01
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-08 19:45
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	8	$12	84	84	+0	No	$0	04-20 23:36
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 1pt5	1	$12	14	0	+14	Over	+$2	04-14 18:55
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Over	+$1	04-15 18:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	04-22 01:07
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	6	$10	46	46	+0	No	$0	04-09 03:31
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-08 19:19
Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:05
nflx up or down on april 9 2026	10	$10	10	9	+0	Up	$0	04-09 07:24
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	1	$9	11	0	+11	Over	+$2	04-08 19:05
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$9	21	17	+4	Yes	-$1	04-10 12:13
Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$9	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	6	$8	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-13 02:23
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-31 16:06
euroleague dubai panathin 2026 03 24	2	$7	4	4	+0	Panathinaikos	+$1	03-24 23:05
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	7	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-16 14:00
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	7	$7	18	0	+18	Yes	-$7	03-24 10:02
will scream 7 be the february film with the highest domestic gross on march 31	5	$7	4	2	+2	Yes	$0	03-27 22:16
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	5	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-09 16:22
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in march	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	03-26 17:05
uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 spread home 1pt5	4	$6	4	4	+0	SC Freiburg	$0	04-09 04:26
pltr up or down on april 9 2026	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$0	04-09 06:10
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 27c	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-28 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 06:07:35	US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x0e42df…
09-27 05:11:38	US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x37e859…
09-27 04:42:24	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x293329…
09-27 02:54:00	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf81dcf…
09-27 02:46:29	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x2a50c9…
09-26 13:26:57	will the announcers say late hit during the rams vs broncos game 20260928	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xee12c5…
09-26 13:26:54	will the announcers say late hit during the rams vs broncos game 20260928	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc35e7e…
09-26 13:26:51	will the announcers say late hit during the rams vs broncos game 20260928	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x914d7a…
09-26 11:38:02	Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Rams vs Broncos game?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x91e0c2…
09-26 11:09:36	Surigae makes landfall in Japan?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x1e19cc…
09-25 11:14:53	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0fc9fb…
09-25 11:14:50	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xedfb98…
09-25 09:22:59	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa2c6ba…
09-25 09:07:09	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x77d1b6…
09-25 06:52:45	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4dfa69…
09-25 06:48:45	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfe6cf4…
09-12 05:13:30	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe85245…
09-12 02:10:13	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x0e36b0…
09-01 23:59:28	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ef04f…
09-01 23:43:57	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 14 2026 1159 pm et	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x800964…
09-01 22:42:25	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x162f09…
09-01 22:18:49	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 14 2026 1159 pm et	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6f8466…
08-01 06:59:02	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x824574…
07-06 06:15:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x7f480a…
07-01 07:13:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1cd286…
07-01 07:13:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc6a724…
06-02 15:30:25	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xf433c4…
06-02 13:25:19	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfb781f…
06-02 12:12:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf9296c…
06-01 07:47:35	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x687b8d…
05-22 19:35:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x5d1dd8…
05-22 14:27:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x45a237…
05-15 14:07:51	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f6b9b…
05-15 13:46:49	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4c2f20…
05-15 13:28:32	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x318cb4…
05-15 13:05:17	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x111cc7…
05-03 16:26:16	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x38dc1a…
05-03 16:15:52	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4f909e…
05-03 16:15:46	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xe7a444…
05-03 15:51:50	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0d44ab…
05-03 15:51:44	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x696368…
05-03 15:33:34	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7ce5f5…
05-03 14:03:04	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x6fd042…
05-02 09:49:00	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xb581a6…
05-02 09:39:48	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xddf498…
05-02 09:39:42	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x7659c5…
05-02 09:37:10	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc7ca79…
05-02 09:37:04	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x4bbcdb…
05-02 08:58:54	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa06fac…
05-02 08:58:48	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x158b06…
05-02 08:48:56	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x5ab53b…
05-02 08:48:50	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xeeb74b…
05-02 08:48:44	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x779507…
05-02 08:48:38	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xeb5093…
05-02 08:48:32	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x07f6ce…
05-02 08:48:26	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8701ac…
05-02 08:41:52	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb43b2c…
05-02 08:41:46	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xf94a3a…
05-02 08:41:40	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf074bc…
05-02 08:41:34	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$3	0xceb6cb…
05-01 10:00:06	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x818168…
05-01 09:47:32	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x0771aa…
05-01 00:35:52	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x295a09…
05-01 00:13:56	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e719d…
04-29 04:27:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x52fb84…
04-29 02:10:48	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa46eaf…
04-29 01:51:48	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x3af76e…
04-24 06:55:04	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xd85f65…
04-24 03:55:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef227d…
04-24 00:30:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x66b6ed…
04-23 12:01:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x7bcc93…
04-22 06:23:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe4baa5…
04-22 01:07:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x146b98…
04-21 18:26:04	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 30c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c6c52…
04-21 07:41:56	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e2eba…
04-21 06:04:38	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd934d8…
04-21 05:51:20	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5093b4…
04-21 05:51:14	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x546511…
04-21 04:28:50	will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa1f482…
04-21 03:59:12	will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd6de15…
04-21 03:42:14	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x43068a…
04-20 23:49:46	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x837d0f…
04-20 23:36:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x025eb8…
04-20 06:22:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xffd00a…
04-20 00:34:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b96b7…
04-19 22:18:34	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x833793…
04-19 19:21:22	por por ton 2026 04 19 por	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe39d28…
04-19 18:59:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xfb45f7…
04-19 01:14:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdf4f48…
04-19 01:10:40	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x346ccd…
04-19 01:09:26	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x92786d…
04-19 00:59:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb5b6de…
04-19 00:57:58	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xab96d0…
04-19 00:22:54	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x00364f…
04-18 13:08:54	epl bre ful 2026 04 18 draw	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xab208f…
04-18 09:41:04	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2977f6…
04-18 08:31:46	aus bri mct 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x86ce30…
04-18 08:31:36	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39cd25…
04-18 07:10:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x1483d7…
04-18 04:33:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb432e7…