Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-14 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

74% 86% -$7

Politics

26% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		+14	$14	98¢	$14	+$0	10-04 20:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+209	$5	2¢	$3	-$2	10-03 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 16:33:07	will the iranian regime fall by october 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37b555…
10-07 01:11:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3d5692…
10-04 20:38:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x0cc12b…
10-04 03:48:16	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2245f…
10-04 02:41:43	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc94aac…
10-03 23:40:40	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3aedc9…
10-03 22:15:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0x791481…
10-03 01:59:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8e3f38…
10-02 16:33:14	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xd6357c…
10-02 15:41:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	Yes	BUY	388	2¢	$7	0x345c7a…
10-02 12:33:32	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xea97f7…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	10-07 01:11
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$19	19	+19	No	+$0	10-04 02:41
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	10-03 23:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$14	15	+15	No	+$0	10-02 16:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	10-04 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	10-03 01:59
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	10-04 03:48
will the iranian regime fall by october 31	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	10-14 16:33
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	10-02 12:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	1	$7	388	+388	No	-$7	10-02 15:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$5	209	+209	open	—	10-03 22:15