Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$225

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

125 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.89K

$5.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$201

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 11-15 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

53% 19% -$476

Sports

43% 52% -$280

Politics

4% 33% +$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?	Yes	+453	$55	12¢	$57	+$2	11-14 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	Yes	+375	$45	15¢	$56	+$11	11-12 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	Yes	+494	$55	10¢	$48	-$7	11-12 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?	Yes	+300	$45	14¢	$40	-$4	11-14 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	1	$650	1,204	0	+1,204	Grizzlies	+$554	10-27 01:09
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	1	$500	909	0	+909	Trail Blazers	-$500	10-28 01:47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$232	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$108	10-25 18:45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$230	600	600	+0	No	+$38	10-26 01:11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	5	$183	380	0	+380	Yes	+$197	10-16 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$176	1,303	0	+1,303	No	-$176	10-10 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$176	1,264	0	+1,264	No	-$176	10-10 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	13	$172	924	0	+924	No	-$172	10-16 20:37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$147	1,163	0	+1,163	No	-$147	10-10 23:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	4	$127	200	0	+200	No	-$127	10-19 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$124	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$124	10-26 19:08
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	1	$120	522	0	+522	Cavaliers	-$120	10-28 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$110	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$110	10-20 14:35
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$102	350	0	+350	No	-$102	10-21 14:42
Will CS Cienciano vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?	1	$100	400	0	+400	No	-$100	09-10 21:33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$98	700	0	+700	No	-$98	10-23 19:23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$97	500	500	+0	No	-$42	10-28 17:02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	11	$95	642	0	+642	Yes	+$546	10-16 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	15	$91	834	0	+834	No	-$91	10-27 22:44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$78	475	475	+0	No	-$22	10-28 11:49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$75	500	0	+500	Yes	+$425	10-20 12:13
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$74	350	0	+350	No	-$74	10-14 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?	1	$55	453	0	+453	open	—	11-14 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	1	$55	494	0	+494	open	—	11-12 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$54	600	0	+600	No	-$54	10-23 22:39
Spread: Commanders (-17.5)	1	$50	60	0	+60	Eagles	+$10	11-01 12:40
Iowa vs. Northwestern	1	$50	119	0	+119	Iowa	-$50	11-07 21:09
Giants vs. Eagles	1	$50	75	0	+75	Giants	+$25	11-08 20:16
Celtics vs. Raptors	1	$50	75	0	+75	Celtics	+$25	11-11 21:02
Thunder vs. Clippers	1	$50	75	0	+75	Clippers	-$50	11-14 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 17:34:14	Panthers vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x164b00…
11-14 09:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xf6a7f9…
11-14 09:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	453	12¢	$55	0x01bd4c…
11-14 03:34:02	Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa15fb9…
11-13 23:31:34	Hawks vs. Bulls	Hawks	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x795289…
11-13 00:27:03	Pistons vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x4c54fd…
11-12 16:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	12¢	$45	0x08930c…
11-12 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	11¢	$55	0x10f172…
11-11 21:02:25	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x17aae5…
11-09 21:15:39	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x9c3a7f…
11-08 20:16:39	Giants vs. Eagles	Giants	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1e513f…
11-07 21:09:13	Iowa vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x873eab…
11-06 23:34:15	Raptors vs. Bucks	Raptors	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x00758b…
11-03 21:11:22	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x175494…
11-03 01:06:55	Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Bears	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x15a05c…
11-02 21:07:22	Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)	Bears	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xcebd0b…
11-01 16:57:42	Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	Over	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7b8b25…
11-01 15:30:21	Spread: Rams (-14.5)	Chargers	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xb1c72f…
11-01 15:22:09	Spread: Bengals (-21.5)	Titans	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x1c67a3…
11-01 13:18:58	Spread: Rams (-17.5)	Chargers	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xb5ac38…
11-01 12:40:01	Spread: Commanders (-17.5)	Eagles	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xce7875…
10-31 23:51:57	Spread: Bills (-10.5)	Ravens	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x72ac9d…
10-31 21:57:52	Spread: Bills (-13.5)	Ravens	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x48dd89…
10-31 14:07:54	Spread: Jets (-9.5)	Raiders	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x611d42…
10-28 23:00:55	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	522	23¢	$120	0x6ff1ec…
10-28 17:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	372	6¢	$20	0x8f45ea…
10-28 17:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	6¢	$7	0x052cc2…
10-28 11:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	6¢	$28	0xb137f6…
10-28 01:47:57	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x150106…
10-27 22:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xdbbc10…
10-27 22:42:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4e48f3…
10-27 22:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x08f88a…
10-27 22:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x886879…
10-27 22:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5d90e9…
10-27 21:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5d259c…
10-27 20:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xed76e6…
10-27 20:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xd97671…
10-27 19:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x421cbd…
10-27 19:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x74ee6b…
10-27 17:56:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x5fa772…
10-27 17:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x665fad…
10-27 17:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xd27df3…
10-27 01:09:17	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	1,204	54¢	$650	0xf80b10…
10-27 00:55:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	11¢	$50	0xcd1f2f…
10-26 19:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	12¢	$47	0x61240a…
10-26 18:03:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	557	12¢	$69	0x6a67f8…
10-26 17:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x825f13…
10-26 17:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x5debab…
10-26 17:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	12¢	$7	0xc96a25…
10-26 17:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x65a8b5…
10-26 17:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x4d1462…
10-26 01:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	22¢	$134	0x28dd84…
10-25 18:45:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$62	0x3d4457…
10-23 22:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	9¢	$25	0x06f8cc…
10-23 21:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x106eba…
10-23 19:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	9¢	$11	0xf44edb…
10-23 19:23:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xeb546f…
10-23 19:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$98	0x708c4b…
10-22 22:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0x025079…
10-22 18:04:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	17¢	$41	0xfd66ab…
10-22 18:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x47145c…
10-22 17:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x47bb18…
10-22 17:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x594b3c…
10-22 17:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	17¢	$26	0x0e9093…
10-22 16:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	16¢	$71	0x94a487…
10-22 16:45:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x7cefe9…
10-22 16:45:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	17¢	$25	0x49552f…
10-21 14:42:29	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x1ad23a…
10-21 14:42:12	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	29¢	$11	0x055c46…
10-20 21:02:24	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	29¢	$71	0xbb7484…
10-20 14:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	11¢	$38	0x4ed177…
10-20 14:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xdbd791…
10-20 14:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xf96607…
10-20 13:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	11¢	$53	0x9ac2cf…
10-20 13:15:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x4cf8c9…
10-20 12:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7880e7…
10-20 12:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x7ecd51…
10-20 11:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5a2d67…
10-20 11:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0x3cfe7a…
10-20 11:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	15¢	$55	0xd1512f…
10-20 11:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0xf4cd37…
10-19 13:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb4d2d2…
10-19 13:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	64¢	$82	0xb2c5f3…
10-19 13:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0x94a244…
10-19 13:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x218f76…
10-16 20:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xaed198…
10-16 20:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	593	19¢	$113	0x111b44…
10-16 20:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xdb57a0…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xcabd6a…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xb1223d…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xa0286f…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x7d43a8…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	15¢	$59	0x7a6031…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5ac262…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x3ab2cf…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x32fd65…
10-16 20:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x0159be…
10-16 20:35:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xe00a98…
10-16 20:35:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xdcade0…
10-16 20:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc75431…