Dull-Bail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$48.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$450

Open exposure

$1.97K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-24 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$13

Politics

26% — —

Other

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30?	No		+1,970	$1,966	100¢	$2.0K	+$2	06-24 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$3.9K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	06-18 11:00
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	7	$2.0K	1,047	1,037	+10	open	—	02-03 13:48
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$2.0K	1,970	0	+1,970	open	—	06-24 19:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	6	$1.8K	1,850	0	+1,850	open	—	06-03 08:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	open	—	05-23 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,701	0	+1,701	open	—	05-22 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$1.7K	1,691	0	+1,691	open	—	05-21 15:56
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	open	—	05-16 18:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Yes	+$2	05-08 00:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Yes	+$3	05-11 01:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	3	$1.6K	1,630	0	+1,630	Yes	+$5	05-04 16:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,619	0	+1,619	open	—	05-13 23:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	1	$1.5K	1,506	0	+1,506	open	—	05-24 14:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,480	0	+1,480	open	—	05-27 01:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	2	$1.5K	1,465	0	+1,465	Yes	+$3	05-05 23:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	2	$1.1K	526	526	+0	open	—	03-10 09:46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	12	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-21 13:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-03 02:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	3	$980	985	0	+985	open	—	05-28 03:24
bitcoin above 66k on april 16	1	$587	588	0	+588	open	—	04-15 16:02
ethereum above 2000 on april 7	1	$585	588	0	+588	open	—	04-07 15:20
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	3	$583	585	0	+585	open	—	04-02 01:42
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	1	$579	584	0	+584	open	—	04-01 12:23
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$573	579	0	+579	open	—	03-26 07:41
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	1	$573	573	0	+573	open	—	03-25 13:43
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$568	573	0	+573	open	—	03-24 11:12
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$566	568	0	+568	open	—	03-23 08:50
ethereum above 2000 on march 22	1	$561	566	0	+566	open	—	03-22 13:07
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	2	$555	561	0	+561	open	—	03-20 13:54
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$554	555	0	+555	open	—	03-19 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 19:25:38	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1,970	100¢	$1,966	0xf72326…
06-18 11:00:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1,973	100¢	$1,965	0x22d078…
06-15 14:38:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,973	96¢	$1,890	0xe6d0df…
06-03 08:28:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x55ea2f…
06-03 08:20:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x255a2e…
06-03 08:20:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xadf1a5…
06-03 08:18:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x752ff6…
06-03 08:17:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xbaefc2…
06-03 08:13:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,299	95¢	$1,234	0x582fc7…
05-28 03:24:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	423	100¢	$421	0x6512e5…
05-28 01:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xac34ba…
05-28 01:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xee38e1…
05-27 01:35:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,329	99¢	$1,318	0xbd9c3e…
05-27 01:35:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x9f2d34…
05-27 01:26:52	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5071dd…
05-27 01:25:27	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe372d8…
05-24 14:33:47	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0x52cece…
05-24 14:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,506	100¢	$1,500	0x7e612f…
05-23 14:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,729	98¢	$1,698	0xde4dec…
05-22 22:58:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,701	99¢	$1,691	0x345c92…
05-21 15:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,691	100¢	$1,688	0x45b0db…
05-16 18:45:44	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,688	98¢	$1,659	0x056b83…
05-13 23:02:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,619	99¢	$1,600	0xecc535…
05-11 01:32:52	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcef20f…
05-11 01:32:43	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54b923…
05-11 01:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,640	100¢	$1,637	0xfb92bb…
05-08 00:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,640	100¢	$1,638	0x4c2c6f…
05-06 04:22:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x02c388…
05-06 03:48:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd363ba…
05-06 02:36:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x14dde5…
05-06 02:27:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe1dc5f…
05-06 01:19:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5def3…
05-06 01:11:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2775e2…
05-05 23:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x5fe86a…
05-05 22:35:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x3cd49e…
05-04 16:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	804	100¢	$801	0xe35193…
05-04 16:08:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xd2020b…
05-04 15:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x792b82…
05-03 05:35:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x8ac718…
05-03 02:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfb13d3…
05-02 22:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x4639d4…
05-02 03:10:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71a1f5…
04-21 13:15:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x713997…
04-21 07:05:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xbca5c5…
04-21 06:29:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf46bd3…
04-20 23:04:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x018c6b…
04-20 17:43:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x12db13…
04-20 14:51:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x42aef6…
04-20 14:20:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec3ebc…
04-20 12:14:36	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x8e9cb1…
04-20 04:50:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	94¢	$103	0xe6dfe2…
04-20 04:46:52	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd63c9f…
04-20 03:42:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa74c0d…
04-16 20:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xa3be7c…
04-16 20:38:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8a7566…
04-15 16:02:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 16	Yes	BUY	588	100¢	$587	0xed937f…
04-07 15:20:45	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	588	100¢	$585	0x311c73…
04-02 01:42:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xf4efd0…
04-01 22:51:29	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x352d6c…
04-01 22:49:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x5d5a7a…
04-01 12:23:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 1	Yes	BUY	584	99¢	$579	0xc0c87d…
03-26 07:41:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	579	99¢	$573	0x1583ca…
03-25 13:43:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	573	100¢	$573	0x482298…
03-24 11:12:45	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	573	99¢	$568	0x7b1fd5…
03-23 08:50:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	568	100¢	$566	0x486962…
03-22 13:07:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	566	99¢	$561	0x6cd751…
03-20 13:54:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0xd71465…
03-20 13:54:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	257	99¢	$253	0xc66623…
03-19 08:18:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0x5999ac…
03-17 23:44:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0xc452ad…
03-17 03:06:25	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	184	98¢	$181	0x7011f9…
03-17 02:17:05	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf4b022…
03-16 05:14:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	540	98¢	$531	0xb1b387…
03-13 08:37:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	Yes	BUY	541	99¢	$537	0xae3451…
03-12 07:51:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	537	100¢	$536	0x5a2ea9…
03-10 09:47:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 11	Yes	BUY	536	98¢	$525	0xa9c042…
03-10 09:46:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	SELL	526	100¢	$525	0xe441cd…
03-10 06:44:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	526	100¢	$525	0xd86b1a…
03-10 03:32:39	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 9	No	BUY	525	99¢	$522	0x52fe9f…
03-08 13:49:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcb3e78…
03-08 13:45:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x67eba8…
03-08 13:04:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70fa89…
03-08 13:03:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x254c55…
03-08 13:03:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf9496e…
03-08 13:02:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd0e637…
03-07 05:23:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	519	99¢	$513	0x4f846c…
03-06 14:11:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 6	No	BUY	513	98¢	$503	0xc268c3…
03-05 12:20:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	503	98¢	$491	0xeaa583…
03-03 08:45:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	484	100¢	$482	0x5bfdf2…
02-28 06:58:55	bitcoin above 70k on february 28	No	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0x0bca9a…
02-28 06:58:33	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbd61e6…
02-21 06:14:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 21	No	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0x545cbf…
02-20 06:54:16	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	486	100¢	$485	0xace9fa…
02-10 12:50:23	solana above 100 on february 10	No	BUY	485	100¢	$485	0x4704bd…
02-03 13:49:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xc714c9…
02-03 13:48:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x93dd8a…
02-03 13:48:32	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x394e44…
02-03 13:44:34	bitcoin above 84k on february 3	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x4bf5cc…
02-03 06:34:48	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xa3703a…
02-03 06:33:18	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	309	98¢	$302	0x04b3fe…