Perfumed-Crinoline 0xf44df2…6b28b8
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
5,657
Trades
25,521
lifetime
Volume
$613.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$219
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-12 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 73% -$2,300
Other
22% 44% -$3,517
Sports
1% 39% -$8
Politics
1% 17% -$286
Tech
0% 0% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 622 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +40 $28 100¢ $40 +$11 09-21 09:23
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? No +40 $40 99¢ $40 $0 09-07 10:11
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No +40 $36 99¢ $40 +$4 09-21 09:23
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? No +40 $38 99¢ $40 +$1 10-06 09:49
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +40 $26 97¢ $39 +$13 09-07 10:11
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-08 07:05
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +5 $5 84¢ $4 -$1 10-06 09:49
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 09-08 07:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$1 05-29 19:15
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 +$0 09-08 07:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 -$1 05-29 19:15
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes -40 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 09-07 10:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $11 4¢ $0 -$11 09-22 12:29
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $63 3¢ $0 -$63 09-22 06:58