Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

119

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 11-05 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$35

Other

0% 33% -$3

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 465 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-15 19:30
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No		+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	11-05 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	21	$171	118	86	+32	Down	-$9	10-16 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	18	$108	85	85	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	14	$104	77	77	+0	Down	+$4	10-16 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	17	$103	86	86	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	16	$94	84	36	+48	Down	-$6	10-16 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	10	$92	72	72	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	12	$83	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	14	$80	71	71	+0	Up	+$6	10-16 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	13	$74	91	91	+0	Down	-$16	10-16 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	12	$69	66	66	+0	Up	+$9	10-16 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	7	$69	72	72	+0	Down	+$9	10-16 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	12	$66	51	51	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	11	$63	66	66	+0	Down	+$6	10-16 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	12	$61	68	36	+32	Down	-$9	10-16 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:55 UTC	14	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	11	$58	45	33	+12	Down	-$2	10-16 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	11	$57	49	49	+0	Down	-$3	10-16 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	12	$54	195	73	+122	Down	-$14	10-16 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	10	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	9	$52	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	14	$50	59	58	+0	Up	-$22	10-16 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$48	71	71	+0	Up	+$6	10-23 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	8	$46	41	41	+0	Up	+$6	10-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	6	$43	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	8	$41	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$35	33	33	+0	Up	-$7	10-23 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	8	$35	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	5	$34	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	10-23 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$33	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	10	$33	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x13d29d…
11-05 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb73147…
11-05 19:57:13	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x887b99…
11-03 09:57:52	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2a0824…
11-03 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xcf94c3…
11-03 09:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x974d66…
11-03 09:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x3fd4eb…
11-03 09:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7001b8…
11-03 09:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x8365b3…
11-03 09:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x531afc…
11-03 09:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc361eb…
11-03 09:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x18772f…
11-03 09:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xa99e4a…
11-03 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa676c4…
11-03 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1e1bdb…
11-03 09:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x66bbe9…
11-03 09:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa256c2…
11-03 09:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xb7103f…
11-03 09:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x873a78…
11-03 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1903fb…
11-03 09:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xe350c3…
11-03 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb6deec…
11-03 09:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$6	0x91b6a4…
11-03 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb19f7b…
11-03 09:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x1f7384…
11-03 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x579f51…
11-03 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9e04d6…
11-03 09:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x513a09…
11-03 09:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeb5c4f…
11-03 09:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4fb052…
11-03 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x0277cc…
11-03 09:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x2d39c8…
11-03 09:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6c3bea…
11-03 09:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xac7ec6…
11-03 09:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xfbef65…
11-03 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x646218…
11-03 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0xdf2275…
11-03 09:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa17069…
11-03 09:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x9894c3…
11-03 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x368164…
11-03 09:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xeeb9b2…
11-03 09:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc396ff…
11-03 09:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	56¢	$14	0x6fa9db…
11-03 09:16:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xd3840d…
11-03 09:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x0cfa48…
11-03 09:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x24f370…
11-03 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x874ef7…
11-03 09:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x1674a1…
11-03 09:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf2b91a…
11-03 09:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0e61f9…
11-03 09:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x97d86a…
11-03 09:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x518e90…
11-03 09:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c6956…
11-03 09:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x71bf40…
11-03 09:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x248ef4…
11-03 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x105be2…
11-03 09:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf971e7…
11-03 09:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x50b914…
11-03 09:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x40923a…
11-03 09:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x6d301b…
11-03 09:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x68fa46…
11-03 09:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc95f32…
11-03 09:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x767adf…
11-03 09:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbc9b70…
11-03 09:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x716ef4…
11-03 09:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xdc8391…
11-03 09:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7f6fce…
11-03 09:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x778e57…
11-03 09:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x94defb…
10-25 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x814d03…
10-25 16:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a964e…
10-25 16:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6d8ec2…
10-25 16:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe9913d…
10-25 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x649253…
10-23 09:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xcf7e7a…
10-23 09:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc8d204…
10-23 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x68041b…
10-23 09:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdfc2a0…
10-23 09:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x78754f…
10-23 09:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x21daeb…
10-23 09:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xc8eddb…
10-23 09:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x41464a…
10-23 09:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa8cf7f…
10-23 09:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xb406d5…
10-23 09:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x117ed9…
10-23 09:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7be49d…
10-23 09:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd907b0…
10-23 09:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3595eb…
10-23 09:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0ccb00…
10-23 09:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ff8a2…
10-23 09:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x803f68…
10-23 09:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x81f2db…
10-23 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe5898a…
10-23 09:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b5c39…
10-23 09:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xb12c30…
10-23 09:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfb4299…
10-23 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xad40bb…
10-23 09:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf3ee40…
10-23 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xb16c44…
10-23 09:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9a8a8b…