Warmhearted-Infrastructure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-06 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$3

Politics

28% 100% +$49

Crypto

21% 50% +$0

Sports

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on january 23	5	$909	500	500	+0	open	—	01-21 14:47
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	2	$736	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 15:14
will xrp dip to 1pt8 january 19 25	32	$647	400	400	+0	open	—	01-23 10:38
googl above 320 on january 30 2026	5	$447	282	282	+0	open	—	01-26 15:00
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	11	$436	409	115	+294	open	—	04-21 15:59
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	5	$426	300	300	+0	open	—	02-02 21:38
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$388	401	0	+401	open	—	04-02 20:29
xrp above 1pt9 on january 21	3	$326	200	200	+0	open	—	01-19 16:05
Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	8	$281	142	142	+0	open	—	04-30 03:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	2	$276	139	139	+0	open	—	04-24 12:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$260	500	500	+0	open	—	04-22 16:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 05:23
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	2	$246	250	0	+250	open	—	04-01 07:35
gc above 5000 jan 2026	4	$235	150	150	+0	open	—	01-28 01:50
will trump designate brazils pcc or cv as a terrorists by december 31	4	$232	120	120	+0	open	—	06-23 11:41
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	3	$220	150	150	+0	open	—	01-25 22:00
nvda above 195 on february 6 2026	3	$210	150	150	+0	open	—	02-02 19:30
will mike epps delusional be the 2 us netflix show this week february 3 2026	4	$207	140	140	+0	open	—	01-31 14:12
will his hers be the 2 us netflix show this week february 3 2026	6	$187	140	140	+0	open	—	02-01 06:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$175	0	250	-250	open	—	05-31 15:04
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	6	$171	111	111	+0	Yes	+$45	05-07 19:10
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	4	$170	90	90	+0	open	—	02-09 03:41
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	5	$148	177	177	+0	open	—	01-30 07:53
meta above 640 on january 30 2026	4	$144	100	89	+11	open	—	01-28 12:13
aapl above 270 on february 6 2026	2	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	02-02 19:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$129	0	130	-130	open	—	06-23 11:40
will solana reach 130 january 26 1	2	$102	70	70	+0	open	—	01-28 11:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$101	134	0	+134	open	—	02-03 16:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$3	04-29 07:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 07:49:09	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd905e3…
08-03 16:38:20	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x5065fc…
08-02 06:10:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe06c84…
08-02 06:07:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x57a75f…
08-01 23:49:44	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x1518d5…
08-01 13:23:27	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xc9bb2b…
08-01 12:00:15	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x4213e7…
08-01 11:59:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x580626…
08-01 11:57:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x41aaf6…
08-01 11:57:00	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x75cbea…
08-01 11:56:59	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x864720…
07-31 06:16:11	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x48b04b…
07-31 06:12:23	will trump say marxist in august 20260728220215915	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe1484d…
07-31 06:11:45	will trump say death to america in august 20260728220215907	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2354a0…
07-31 06:10:48	will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd22f1a…
07-31 05:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6a07f9…
07-20 05:52:22	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x016ff9…
07-18 06:10:54	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x37787b…
07-18 06:10:21	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xdedece…
07-17 11:37:30	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x05e853…
07-16 05:35:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc280e7…
07-15 06:06:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x364ec6…
07-12 05:59:01	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xd42fe8…
07-12 05:53:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x54beef…
07-12 05:42:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb692cd…
07-08 16:45:58	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during press conference 20260707192103045	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x449ffb…
07-08 05:58:19	will trump say nato 10 times during press conference 20260707192103047	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x6c3704…
07-07 14:35:41	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0xddd2aa…
07-07 13:54:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0xddf155…
07-05 12:52:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xed48ee…
07-04 20:22:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7ea02a…
07-04 06:11:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x73081a…
07-04 06:09:44	will bytedances valuation hit high 575b by july 31 20260630205251340	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2eb42c…
07-04 06:07:38	will bytedances valuation hit high 575b by july 31 20260630205251340	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x80852a…
07-02 15:14:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2c28af…
07-02 05:41:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd59873…
07-01 12:25:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x557223…
06-30 07:46:44	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x911f29…
06-30 07:23:08	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x662fa6…
06-30 07:04:32	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbec7a7…
06-29 08:22:10	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc1b8dc…
06-29 08:19:28	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x87a567…
06-26 06:04:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7057bc…
06-24 18:05:34	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa98f00…
06-24 17:05:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x5b30fc…
06-24 10:16:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x535349…
06-23 13:58:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xb25ead…
06-23 13:55:59	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x185dcc…
06-23 13:55:04	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xba809e…
06-23 13:54:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x15787b…
06-23 12:17:56	dota2 gl 4ancho 2026 06 24	GamerLegion	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x7cc086…
06-23 11:41:52	will trump designate brazils pcc or cv as a terrorists by december 31	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xf39868…
06-23 11:40:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0xe93668…
06-23 11:40:28	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa56fad…
06-22 12:26:56	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during resignation 20260622052443836	Yes	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0x348012…
06-22 12:16:46	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during resignation 20260622052443836	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x2878be…
06-22 11:59:31	will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x6bebb8…
06-21 14:36:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe0b97f…
06-21 14:03:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa383c7…
06-19 09:02:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x90c1c4…
06-19 08:50:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x305d69…
06-19 08:49:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xb6f04b…
06-19 05:56:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x01bad5…
06-18 17:59:20	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 goals oswin appollis gte1	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x588938…
06-18 11:02:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5185e4…
06-18 06:56:16	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x27f3b8…
06-17 18:45:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf05f2a…
06-17 13:59:34	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	116	11¢	$13	0x97154a…
06-17 12:51:34	dota2 gl 4ancho 2026 06 24	GamerLegion	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x07addd…
06-17 12:48:14	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x0ebfe9…
06-17 12:47:53	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in june	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdabdac…
06-16 19:11:58	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xb15da8…
06-16 14:37:32	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x16d101…
06-16 11:36:31	will trump say muscle in june	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf7d700…
06-16 06:38:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x63218a…
06-16 02:00:06	will trump say no no no donald in june	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x11f6b2…
06-15 06:02:33	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x24bbb8…
06-15 06:01:43	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0f6c2a…
06-14 19:39:15	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x54a6c9…
06-14 15:36:57	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x8d4834…
06-14 09:41:10	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc54437…
06-13 16:58:21	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xae7ea9…
06-13 06:11:09	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf92b64…
06-13 05:48:16	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb5e97c…
06-10 18:44:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf590c2…
06-09 20:15:34	will it rain in denver on june 10	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8623da…
06-09 20:12:22	will it rain in dallas on june 10	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xce6259…
06-09 12:59:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2c5163…
06-09 12:01:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x392d65…
06-08 13:14:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x85dcd2…
06-07 17:03:37	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc9e27d…
06-06 18:15:13	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xea7d64…
06-06 16:12:03	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x38a905…
06-06 11:39:19	lol fec mcn 2026 06 06 game3	Frites Esports Club	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc5e84b…
06-06 11:36:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x58754b…
06-06 11:33:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd96ec2…
06-05 21:00:39	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xb5489f…
06-04 10:54:55	will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x9235f7…
06-04 08:36:13	will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe0d5ef…
06-04 07:13:58	will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7eb79d…