Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$451

Unrealized P&L

+$7.51K

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$951

Open exposure

$17.2K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-29 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$451

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+17,484	$9,649	98¢	$17.1K	+$7,442	05-04 14:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No		+153	$82	98¢	$151	+$68	05-04 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$9.6K	17,484	0	+17,484	open	—	05-04 14:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$622	1,091	0	+1,091	Yes	+$469	06-22 16:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	3	$82	153	0	+153	open	—	05-04 14:36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	2	$52	95	95	+0	open	—	10-29 05:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$41	98	0	+98	Spain	-$41	07-16 18:21
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$19	43	0	+43	Argentina	+$23	07-13 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:39:43	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x1c3e56…
07-16 18:21:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	98	42¢	$41	0xb4f057…
07-13 06:49:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x0e6a55…
06-22 16:46:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,091	57¢	$622	0x928ca1…
05-04 14:36:02	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	92	55¢	$51	0xf5b441…
05-04 14:35:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,144	56¢	$8,411	0xfa50b7…
05-04 05:02:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb48107…
05-04 05:02:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x691fd6…
05-04 04:57:04	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	54¢	$52	0xc910bc…
04-29 16:16:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	52¢	$176	0xef3380…
04-29 16:16:20	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,004	53¢	$1,062	0xb2cc8f…