Vivacious-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-06 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$0

Other

25% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-31 11:43
will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-03 09:54
ethereum above 3400 on january 22	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-22 06:35
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-18 01:20
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-06 10:48
bitcoin above 98k on january 4	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-03 07:15
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 260 279	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-29 07:25
ethereum above 2900 on january 11	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-11 03:40
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-14 11:34
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-05 13:45
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-02 11:52
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-09 09:35
ethereum above 2400 on march 13	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-12 11:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 16	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-15 06:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-01 09:00
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-12 08:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-06 09:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-28 07:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-16 11:35
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-24 11:11
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 22	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-21 09:43
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-18 11:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	05-21 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	05-15 11:58
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	06-06 03:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	2	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-06 09:50
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-25 10:53
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-20 09:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	1	$4	1,233	+1,233	open	—	04-20 09:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	750	+750	open	—	03-18 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 03:00:54	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0f632d…
05-26 07:04:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa571f…
05-26 07:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1ac3b…
05-21 12:14:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xc9de79…
05-15 11:58:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xedaf3c…
05-10 07:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xadcda7…
05-10 07:27:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb90f15…
05-06 09:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x311727…
05-06 09:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ee362…
04-25 10:53:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x92f049…
04-20 09:44:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xcd6fac…
04-20 09:43:50	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,233	0¢	$4	0x9a36de…
04-16 11:35:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x035012…
04-12 08:25:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xebd177…
04-06 09:57:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf3b12b…
04-01 09:00:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc7709f…
03-28 07:57:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x01a6eb…
03-24 11:11:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x407732…
03-21 09:43:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 22	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x118423…
03-18 11:08:39	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xaedcb7…
03-18 11:07:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xcd7230…
03-15 06:40:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0c367b…
03-12 11:26:17	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x343d42…
03-09 09:35:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x64ffd3…
03-09 09:31:59	ethereum above 2200 on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,210	0¢	$2	0xc53ee7…
03-05 13:45:29	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xac1649…
03-02 11:52:11	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8e4333…
03-02 11:50:45	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0x2a87e9…
02-14 11:34:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x516d43…
02-03 09:54:56	will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x40dc35…
01-31 11:43:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0e0cf8…
01-29 07:25:04	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 260 279	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc14676…
01-22 06:35:12	ethereum above 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5234a7…
01-18 01:20:22	bitcoin above 90k on january 18	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xba247a…
01-11 03:40:22	ethereum above 2900 on january 11	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x05c785…
01-06 10:48:57	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf1d057…
01-03 07:15:45	bitcoin above 98k on january 4	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9817eb…