Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$540

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

1,329

Trades

2,975

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

86% 35% -$507

Crypto

12% 43% -$48

Politics

2% 40% +$33

Sports

1% 44% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes		-101	-$9	3¢	$-3	+$6	06-14 15:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$7	44¢	$0	+$7	10-28 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	28	$314	1,690	1,149	+541	Alcaraz	-$11	02-01 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	11	$294	828	828	+0	No	-$14	10-05 21:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	5	$272	182	182	+0	Yes	+$38	10-02 08:25
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	9	$242	565	523	+42	Yes	+$77	02-16 12:57
dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	13	$206	204	204	+0	Team Liquid	+$22	08-15 09:51
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	11	$199	300	300	+0	No	+$163	02-10 09:45
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	25	$189	800	550	+250	No	+$1	02-16 21:18
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	11	$172	300	300	+0	Yes	+$142	02-13 14:40
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	6	$165	350	300	+50	No	+$66	02-19 05:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	11	$160	1,244	1,244	+0	No	-$69	10-05 18:16
dota2 xtreme flc 2026 02 27	15	$158	982	182	+800	Team Falcons	+$2	02-27 18:16
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	4	$137	101	101	+0	Yes	+$64	02-27 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	20	$135	20,670	973	+19,697	No	-$49	10-08 19:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	6	$131	138	138	+0	Yes	+$29	09-25 11:09
dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20	3	$124	203	31	+172	Nigma Galaxy	-$98	08-20 16:18
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	8	$121	200	200	+0	Yes	+$73	02-10 14:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$119	146	146	+0	No	+$10	07-21 11:32
dota2 ngx vg 2026 08 15	7	$111	81	75	+5	Nigma Galaxy	+$10	08-15 07:37
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	9	$105	218	218	+0	Yes	+$57	09-28 18:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$104	249	249	+0	No	-$33	10-06 08:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$98	375	375	+0	No	+$18	10-05 21:07
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	6	$95	80	80	+0	LGD Gaming	+$0	08-15 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$93	186	186	+0	Yes	+$26	07-19 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	10	$89	200	200	+0	No	+$9	09-29 04:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$84	203	203	+0	No	+$64	07-08 22:15
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	6	$77	220	165	+55	No	+$7	02-20 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	8	$77	154	154	+0	No	-$3	10-04 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	4	$76	440	330	+110	No	-$4	02-23 04:20
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	3	$76	281	281	+0	No	+$3	02-15 20:54
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	5	$75	340	340	+0	No	+$19	02-23 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:33:01	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xff3bba…
10-28 13:37:13	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x5fe32e…
10-28 13:13:43	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x88ac78…
10-28 13:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x2e4622…
10-28 11:12:40	Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Rare Atom	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd31ac0…
10-28 10:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$7	0x3fde48…
10-28 10:07:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x9fe461…
10-28 05:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3bb897…
10-28 04:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd7e1ce…
10-28 04:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x023cf5…
10-28 04:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xa83884…
10-28 04:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x488304…
10-28 04:12:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x99ea22…
10-28 04:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x10b5d3…
10-28 03:57:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x6908ed…
10-28 03:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x788e9d…
10-27 20:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xd7f509…
10-27 19:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0xccc154…
10-27 19:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xda32a7…
10-27 19:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0x11482d…
10-27 08:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd2d1d0…
10-26 09:56:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xa1a6a2…
10-24 11:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x04cd40…
10-24 06:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x9295af…
10-24 06:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0b1edb…
10-23 16:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x793387…
10-23 14:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x203519…
10-22 09:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	12¢	$9	0x8d3b69…
10-22 09:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5bed77…
10-21 14:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xe8e04f…
10-21 12:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4e8b94…
10-21 07:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xa9d601…
10-21 06:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xe5d178…
10-19 21:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0x603771…
10-19 20:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xda7279…
10-19 08:07:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xa62c6a…
10-19 07:15:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x644b78…
10-19 06:05:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x69f13a…
10-19 03:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x5191e6…
10-19 03:17:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc27df5…
10-19 02:27:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x7e4fac…
10-19 00:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x3f5a52…
10-18 23:56:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x9cd1d8…
10-16 09:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x16ef24…
10-16 02:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x64e33b…
10-15 01:16:26	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xcb2421…
10-14 05:52:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x1c6567…
10-14 03:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xafc232…
10-13 23:09:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x88adf5…
10-13 17:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$2	0x18421c…
10-13 06:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x447ed2…
10-13 06:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb9edac…
10-13 04:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdd7573…
10-13 04:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1c6d13…
10-13 02:19:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0xd98625…
10-13 02:16:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0xe3996d…
10-13 02:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x5185a0…
10-13 01:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x28d8ef…
10-13 01:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xd04ac2…
10-13 00:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xd7d8b0…
10-11 13:28:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x5dc4fb…
10-11 13:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x16f21c…
10-11 01:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x51a6d3…
10-10 11:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdd04d8…
10-10 08:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x5e808f…
10-10 07:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xd52f2e…
10-10 07:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$2	0x333bee…
10-10 07:17:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	9¢	$12	0x3eca11…
10-10 07:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	9¢	$8	0xbc2728…
10-10 06:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x242c4c…
10-09 15:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x25f7a0…
10-09 08:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd3a5c8…
10-09 06:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x3599cc…
10-09 05:55:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xda314a…
10-09 01:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x00973b…
10-08 21:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x05d8e7…
10-08 21:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	26¢	$8	0xa5af6b…
10-08 21:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x0e31ea…
10-08 21:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x9599da…
10-08 21:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x476e6d…
10-08 21:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf9f8af…
10-08 19:37:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x98188d…
10-08 19:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf8a69e…
10-08 19:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa4c439…
10-08 19:18:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x5ae233…
10-08 19:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x3f6cab…
10-08 18:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x1b167e…
10-08 18:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe01dc6…
10-08 18:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x5eb2e2…
10-08 18:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,382	0¢	$11	0xc1adc3…
10-08 18:44:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,173	0¢	$3	0x3c0f0b…
10-08 18:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,686	0¢	$17	0xce86be…
10-08 18:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x1d0387…
10-08 18:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x02d492…
10-08 18:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x0953bf…
10-08 18:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x77a44f…
10-08 18:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,473	0¢	$8	0x3abc94…
10-08 18:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x230ab1…
10-08 17:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2a11aa…
10-08 17:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0x883f77…