Muffled-Slot-Sequel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$874

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$428.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$853

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-26 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$774

Other

32% 100% +$100

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	25	$76.2K	40,563	40,563	+0	open	—	05-01 01:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	15	$53.5K	31,158	31,158	+0	open	—	05-06 10:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	13	$45.9K	25,334	25,334	+0	open	—	05-01 02:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$44.1K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	05-25 19:31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	29	$39.4K	21,000	21,000	+0	open	—	04-25 17:10
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	7	$36.0K	18,652	18,647	+5	open	—	04-25 20:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	26	$22.5K	13,220	11,282	+1,939	open	—	05-23 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$21.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	05-24 17:37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	29	$20.8K	21,049	8,789	+12,260	open	—	04-26 14:05
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	45	$16.3K	8,320	8,319	+1	open	—	04-25 17:19
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	30	$10.1K	10,197	12,200	-2,003	open	—	05-26 12:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	49	$9.5K	10,085	10,085	+0	open	—	04-30 14:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$8.0K	5,213	3,745	+1,468	No	+$737	05-07 17:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	17	$3.9K	3,738	3,738	+0	open	—	04-24 15:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$3.5K	1,937	1,937	+0	open	—	04-21 20:18
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$2.1K	2,126	0	+2,126	open	—	04-25 21:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$2.1K	2,419	0	+2,419	open	—	04-24 16:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$1.3K	782	782	+0	No	+$95	04-20 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	10	$1.3K	1,818	1,674	+144	open	—	05-25 19:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	11	$1.2K	726	726	+0	open	—	04-20 19:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$745	449	449	+0	open	—	04-12 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$667	878	878	+0	open	—	05-25 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$598	1,450	1,981	-530	open	—	05-25 20:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$570	606	0	+606	No	+$36	05-01 02:28
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	2	$538	566	0	+566	open	—	04-25 21:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	3	$489	300	300	+0	open	—	04-21 15:01
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$485	327	327	+0	open	—	05-26 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	15	$484	1,201	341	+860	open	—	05-25 19:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$406	390	390	+0	open	—	05-26 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$400	3,486	0	+3,486	open	—	05-25 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 14:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x08dfd7…
05-26 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc56a5c…
05-26 14:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	102	23¢	$23	0xde1432…
05-26 13:51:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xaadb49…
05-26 13:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xa94acc…
05-26 13:08:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x1e48eb…
05-26 12:47:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc90230…
05-26 12:42:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x2f53b9…
05-26 12:41:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc8c40e…
05-26 12:16:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	223	30¢	$67	0x04a1cc…
05-26 12:11:48	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,215	40¢	$1,286	0x8ac8b2…
05-26 12:11:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	517	40¢	$207	0xcb1191…
05-26 11:44:48	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x0d31e6…
05-26 11:42:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xbd1acd…
05-26 10:57:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	54¢	$24	0x9906c7…
05-26 10:56:51	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	54¢	$69	0xafb221…
05-26 09:53:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x9fb88b…
05-26 09:48:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,994	39¢	$778	0xe27ec6…
05-26 09:48:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	34¢	$680	0x3b1f94…
05-26 08:31:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	647	33¢	$214	0x98150d…
05-26 08:31:24	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0xd51bed…
05-26 08:31:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	33¢	$106	0x67ec6d…
05-26 00:10:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	74¢	$242	0xe01da3…
05-25 20:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x0c0d7b…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xcb3714…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x642457…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x613eed…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	444	8¢	$36	0x5f7802…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x430598…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	122	8¢	$10	0x23cf48…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x128a02…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x0fbeb6…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x093f11…
05-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x032d94…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x7bf006…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x757d0f…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x5f7d38…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x55641e…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x082e91…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x039986…
05-25 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	847	12¢	$100	0x3939e6…
05-25 20:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	504	21¢	$107	0x701663…
05-25 20:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	504	20¢	$100	0xe59d6b…
05-25 20:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	279	41¢	$115	0xb6969e…
05-25 20:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0x719c71…
05-25 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	314	42¢	$132	0xe9139a…
05-25 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	285	42¢	$120	0x1c6345…
05-25 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	314	32¢	$100	0xcf053a…
05-25 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x36565a…
05-25 20:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0xef3c29…
05-25 20:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	443	23¢	$100	0x0d639e…
05-25 20:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xb8c080…
05-25 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0xa4e0cf…
05-25 20:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x4a16dd…
05-25 20:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	477	27¢	$130	0xb2bc82…
05-25 20:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	530	16¢	$85	0xfa0476…
05-25 20:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	530	19¢	$100	0xf91bb0…
05-25 20:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	443	19¢	$83	0x059095…
05-25 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	779	10¢	$80	0xa42be6…
05-25 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x71c11f…
05-25 20:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	517	19¢	$100	0x6cc285…
05-25 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	718	8¢	$59	0x4e5150…
05-25 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,471	3¢	$41	0x1f135b…
05-25 19:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	553	18¢	$100	0x6b15c8…
05-25 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x748e76…
05-25 19:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	327	31¢	$100	0xa1b857…
05-25 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	144	50¢	$71	0x4c30ab…
05-25 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	387	26¢	$101	0x3c6d26…
05-25 19:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	387	26¢	$100	0x378fee…
05-25 19:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	397	52¢	$208	0x7d8b3f…
05-25 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x6d4464…
05-25 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xe2fa48…
05-25 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	807	47¢	$379	0xfcc423…
05-25 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	83	44¢	$37	0x1bcd3f…
05-25 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	533	19¢	$100	0x05c907…
05-25 19:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xbe4df5…
05-25 19:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	604	17¢	$100	0x263960…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	74	54¢	$40	0xeaebcc…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xdeda42…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xc238e7…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x953d8c…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x872b77…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x77ea27…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6ca44c…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x65a785…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	159	54¢	$86	0x5c506c…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x326179…
05-25 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	45	54¢	$24	0x0faa7e…
05-25 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x6200f3…
05-25 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	341	29¢	$100	0x2cac05…
05-25 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xcae368…
05-25 19:31:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	4,359	86¢	$3,749	0x351ef8…
05-25 19:23:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x1ba023…
05-25 19:23:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10,635	87¢	$9,252	0xb87875…
05-25 19:13:06	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x92d65c…
05-25 18:22:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd219dc…
05-25 18:22:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xb01ab2…
05-25 18:21:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x012831…
05-25 18:21:51	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xebea18…
05-25 18:21:51	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x4e8f53…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	45	$327.0K	24,952	05-31 17:26
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	41	$16.4M	25,521	06-02 17:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	39	$508.3K	9,025	06-01 00:34
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	38	$362.4K	4,849	05-29 19:48
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	36	$18.0K	3,948	05-07 02:04
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	35	$323.6K	924	06-01 05:53
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	35	$133.8K	9,806	05-31 16:30
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	34	$89.4K	7,242	04-25 22:31