Foolish-Gradient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$997

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-22 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$4

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+17	$17	100¢	$17	+$0	05-24 14:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$106	107	+107	No	+$1	06-20 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$97	97	+97	No	+$0	07-29 14:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	09-22 13:02
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-20 13:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$61	61	+61	No	+$0	03-12 13:37
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$60	61	+61	No	+$1	01-19 13:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	02-05 07:50
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	1	$46	46	+46	No	+$0	01-19 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$43	43	+43	No	+$0	05-24 14:36
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 215 239	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	04-20 13:20
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	08-29 12:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-24 14:36
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 740plus	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	01-19 13:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-22 13:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-24 14:36
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-24 14:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	04-20 13:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$15	16	+16	Yes	+$1	06-20 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-29 14:31
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-29 14:32
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	02-05 07:50
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the los angeles lakers	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	02-05 07:49
xrp above 0pt9 on march 13	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	03-12 13:35
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-22 12:59
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	08-29 12:11
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-22 12:59
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$8	9	+9	Yes	+$1	06-20 14:02
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	1	$6	8	+8	Cavaliers	+$2	04-20 13:21
nba chi lal 2026 03 12	1	$5	6	+6	Lakers	+$1	03-12 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-29 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 13:02:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xaa1d0f…
09-22 13:00:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40f471…
09-22 12:59:54	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1d890…
09-22 12:59:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x607828…
08-29 12:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca07f1…
08-29 12:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x05f23f…
08-29 12:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f9c39…
07-29 14:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xacdae7…
07-29 14:32:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bcc23…
07-29 14:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2169cc…
07-29 14:30:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb301d5…
06-20 14:02:35	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa5febb…
06-20 14:02:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x642bc3…
06-20 14:01:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1d1cca…
05-24 19:46:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x35d901…
05-24 14:36:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x83aa5f…
05-24 14:36:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b1e79…
05-24 14:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x7617da…
05-24 14:35:37	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbd6ad9…
04-20 13:24:04	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x867711…
04-20 13:23:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x645f04…
04-20 13:23:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfedaf9…
04-20 13:21:52	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Cavaliers	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa060d2…
04-20 13:20:00	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 215 239	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x688ad8…
03-12 13:37:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xbc09f1…
03-12 13:36:51	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x95476d…
03-12 13:36:43	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8fac0a…
03-12 13:36:35	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Magic	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd52729…
03-12 13:35:29	xrp above 0pt9 on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d6423…
02-05 07:50:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfc2920…
02-05 07:50:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1cd007…
02-05 07:49:39	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the los angeles lakers	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x302946…
01-19 13:25:18	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 740plus	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x246533…
01-19 13:25:08	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xe1900e…
01-19 13:24:50	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xc3dfd9…
01-19 13:24:38	nba okc cle 2026 01 19	Thunder	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x945bd4…
01-19 13:23:22	nba ind phi 2026 01 19	76ers	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4c6985…
01-19 13:23:12	nba lac was 2026 01 19	Clippers	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31f2ae…