Yellow-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21

$21 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 33% $-10

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up		-3	$-2	100¢	$-3	$-0	05-10 15:09
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-37	$-1	2¢	$-1	$-0	05-07 03:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	$-5	05-10 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	$-5	05-10 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-10 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 10:40
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	0	37	-37	open	—	05-07 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xb715e8…
05-10 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb9f32f…
05-10 10:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x300e7f…
05-10 03:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x343533…
05-10 00:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0fa29f…
05-08 06:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xdc8486…
05-08 06:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0a0191…
05-07 03:33:27	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xdb1ca1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$3.75K	179	05-10 11:42
Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db	5	$1.15K	89	05-10 11:39
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	5	$687	49	05-10 11:42
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$1.76K	37	05-10 11:42
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	3	$816	30	05-10 11:42
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	3	$641	28	05-10 10:38
Avaricious-Drainage 0x661d…1d3e	3	$529	15	05-10 11:35