Realized P&L
-$591
Unrealized P&L
+$791
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
154
Trades
1,655
lifetime
Volume
$231.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$2.80K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 04:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
66% 62% +$636
Other
25% 65% +$1,000
Sports
6% 38% +$456
Crypto
2% 40% -$2,683
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,806 $1,308 88¢ $1.6K +$282 10-24 20:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +935 $548 63¢ $593 +$45 10-27 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +300 $282 94¢ $282 +$0 10-25 05:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +500 -$258 40¢ $197 +$455 10-23 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +157 $113 88¢ $139 +$26 08-31 22:31
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +586 $19 0¢ $2 -$17 06-30 20:06