Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$319

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

303

Trades

1,951

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$1.66K

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-27 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

61% 84% +$1,208

Other

28% 67% +$56

Crypto

8% 52% -$249

Sports

3% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,389	$658	18¢	$431	-$227	08-06 09:20
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+380	$377	100¢	$380	+$3	10-27 18:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	+256	$245	94¢	$242	-$3	10-19 22:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+327	$278	72¢	$237	-$41	09-20 15:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+398	$99	32¢	$125	+$26	10-10 17:10
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+98	$54	89¢	$87	+$33	10-25 11:25
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+558	$78	14¢	$75	-$3	10-23 22:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+345	$162	21¢	$72	-$90	09-14 18:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+50	$25	15¢	$8	-$18	09-20 15:55
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	-4	-$3	95¢	$-3	$0	07-01 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	6	$2.7K	1,997	1,997	+0	No	+$25	07-07 18:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	8	$2.6K	1,813	1,333	+479	Yes	+$267	10-21 20:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	30	$2.4K	1,739	1,739	+0	open	—	10-27 23:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$2.1K	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	10-27 19:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$2.0K	1,228	1,228	+0	Yes	-$342	07-07 17:47
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$1.8K	1,101	1,100	+0	open	—	08-20 17:19
Trump out as President by September 30?	6	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$1	09-19 23:21
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	2	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	Yes	+$21	07-06 21:56
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$1.1K	723	625	+98	open	—	10-25 11:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$926	1,546	1,546	+0	Yes	+$231	06-14 22:31
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$923	559	559	+0	No	+$33	06-16 04:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$886	781	781	+0	Yes	+$281	06-14 23:24
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	5	$877	561	561	+0	No	+$139	09-22 10:00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$828	673	337	+337	No	+$74	09-20 12:15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$665	877	0	+877	Yes	+$212	10-26 22:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$658	2,389	0	+2,389	open	—	08-06 09:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$623	700	0	+700	No	+$77	09-15 12:50
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$613	318	318	+0	open	—	10-07 18:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	2	$584	432	432	+0	open	—	10-21 19:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	3	$521	681	681	+0	open	—	10-10 17:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	1	$498	522	0	+522	No	+$25	07-21 18:04
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	1	$497	531	0	+531	No	+$34	07-06 20:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	12	$489	405	405	+0	No	+$7	06-08 03:48
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	6	$476	560	560	+0	No	-$100	06-08 11:46
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$451	485	0	+485	Yes	+$34	09-20 18:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$448	318	318	+0	No	+$155	06-19 23:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$439	399	399	+0	open	—	10-19 13:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$436	462	0	+462	No	+$26	06-05 05:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$422	231	231	+0	No	+$12	10-10 07:04
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$407	420	0	+420	No	+$13	08-01 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:00:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	727	59¢	$429	0x717d12…
10-27 19:31:35	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,166	95¢	$1,110	0x9f628e…
10-27 18:55:38	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0xf12ee2…
10-27 18:32:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	122	77¢	$94	0x2a9880…
10-27 18:14:00	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	296	99¢	$293	0x52be29…
10-27 18:03:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	135	84¢	$113	0xf9178b…
10-27 17:45:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	378	77¢	$291	0x1612fa…
10-27 17:16:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	114	77¢	$88	0xf34935…
10-27 13:37:00	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	144	69¢	$99	0x043745…
10-26 22:24:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0x84dd5b…
10-26 22:16:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	146	75¢	$110	0xa259c6…
10-26 22:15:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	143	75¢	$107	0x3900cb…
10-26 21:32:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	476	77¢	$369	0xd58fed…
10-25 23:06:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	161	83¢	$135	0x238be5…
10-25 23:03:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x26ed94…
10-25 23:03:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	147	82¢	$121	0x9f8f39…
10-25 21:07:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	217	33¢	$72	0x5f037e…
10-25 11:25:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xebb8c5…
10-25 11:25:23	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xe2183b…
10-25 11:25:23	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x970b7b…
10-25 11:02:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	541	85¢	$460	0xe894c0…
10-24 18:16:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x49181c…
10-24 10:16:51	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x3ce115…
10-24 09:26:36	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0x2a9554…
10-24 00:18:29	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xcd2efb…
10-23 22:28:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	558	14¢	$78	0xa09dd3…
10-23 22:13:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	848	2¢	$19	0x5ec3c4…
10-23 16:52:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0x8f7cf9…
10-23 16:52:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0xb2350c…
10-22 10:00:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x16e47b…
10-21 22:08:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x572819…
10-21 20:32:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	270	87¢	$236	0xa6c164…
10-21 20:28:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	209	87¢	$181	0xad5cc0…
10-21 20:28:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0xf68b95…
10-21 19:29:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	432	67¢	$290	0x831e05…
10-21 19:28:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xe73a67…
10-21 18:49:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	432	68¢	$294	0x2a1885…
10-21 18:48:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x846e06…
10-21 18:48:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x15e486…
10-21 18:31:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x27c9c5…
10-21 18:30:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0xb9c6e6…
10-21 17:40:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	105	13¢	$14	0x574a49…
10-21 12:11:17	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	723	81¢	$584	0x08b916…
10-20 13:36:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	848	14¢	$119	0x062cab…
10-19 22:33:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,333	91¢	$1,218	0x92cab6…
10-19 22:06:27	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0x384ec6…
10-19 17:09:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	91	68¢	$62	0x2dfae8…
10-19 17:09:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	204	68¢	$138	0x00d6b1…
10-19 16:49:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	64	36¢	$23	0x0ab641…
10-19 16:39:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x4dc9aa…
10-19 16:39:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x24ac7f…
10-19 16:39:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xd084a4…
10-19 16:39:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x86e1f4…
10-19 16:39:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x31ff52…
10-19 16:38:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xdf3eac…
10-19 16:38:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x2dc2c8…
10-19 16:38:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xdb1ad6…
10-19 16:37:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	65	32¢	$21	0x2dcbdf…
10-19 16:37:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	191	78¢	$149	0x880c25…
10-19 16:36:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0xd7ee78…
10-19 16:34:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xa490d7…
10-19 16:31:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	553	79¢	$439	0x4337de…
10-19 16:29:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	295	77¢	$226	0x347033…
10-19 16:28:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xbe3a19…
10-19 16:28:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x613c3b…
10-19 16:28:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x3fa54d…
10-19 16:28:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x967383…
10-19 16:24:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	94	34¢	$31	0xd9a4bc…
10-19 16:21:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x602a93…
10-19 16:21:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xa99ab4…
10-19 16:21:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2d8ea5…
10-19 16:21:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xc7c146…
10-19 16:20:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xc1ef00…
10-19 16:20:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xdeb427…
10-19 16:20:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x95fa16…
10-19 16:20:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xcde81f…
10-19 16:20:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x7d38e8…
10-19 15:55:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x373cc4…
10-19 13:54:33	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	399	56¢	$224	0x75e886…
10-18 19:47:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	399	54¢	$215	0x9a2bca…
10-14 21:30:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	337	72¢	$243	0xcbba48…
10-14 21:30:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	337	72¢	$243	0x9d90b0…
10-12 06:37:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0x17a28f…
10-12 06:33:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x192c98…
10-12 06:33:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3b1863…
10-12 06:33:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x60a579…
10-12 06:21:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x6e0df0…
10-12 05:42:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xd6f734…
10-12 05:06:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3a2a44…
10-12 04:38:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xf2759d…
10-12 04:27:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xab79bd…
10-12 04:07:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf0c000…
10-12 04:05:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x6de0ef…
10-12 03:14:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x66f5e5…
10-12 03:14:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x214a60…
10-12 03:14:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	115	68¢	$78	0x4a2a3a…
10-12 02:52:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x369a7c…
10-12 02:52:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x2fe89d…
10-12 02:52:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x21fb5f…
10-12 02:52:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3416cd…