Waterlogged-Checkroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

191

Trades

652

lifetime

Volume

$76.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$172

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-28 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

69% 75% -$941

Tech

17% 69% -$1,644

Other

12% 69% -$1,514

Sports

1% 0% -$922

Crypto

1% 33% -$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes		+250	$129	68¢	$170	+$41	10-28 20:52
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No		+70	$42	3¢	$2	-$40	09-20 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	29	$23.4K	214,040	63,689	+150,351	Yes	-$2,960	06-17 16:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	11	$12.0K	20,411	20,411	+0	No	+$201	06-07 19:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	6	$8.8K	6,380	6,380	+0	Yes	+$1,174	06-15 03:36
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	59	$5.8K	3,138	3,138	+0	Yes	+$32	09-04 10:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.7K	2,539	2,539	+0	No	+$369	06-01 08:51
fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	2	$2.3K	2,158	300	+1,858	Sweden	+$158	06-15 04:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	4	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	Yes	+$22	06-12 19:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$2.0K	2,851	2,851	+0	No	-$1,671	06-12 19:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	4	$2.0K	1,113	1,113	+0	Yes	+$71	06-12 19:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.9K	2,494	2,494	+0	Yes	+$175	06-12 12:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$1.3K	1,429	1,429	+0	Yes	+$105	06-12 12:09
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	16	$1.2K	854	854	+0	Yes	-$372	08-27 13:21
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$998	1,084	0	+1,084	No	-$998	06-15 03:38
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	12	$901	878,748	0	+878,748	Yes	-$901	07-25 02:41
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$501	256	256	+0	No	+$3	05-28 07:23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$455	484	0	+484	Yes	+$29	06-14 05:37
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	16	$353	419	349	+70	open	—	09-20 18:30
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$327	184	184	+0	Yes	-$7	05-28 16:36
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$252	139	139	+0	open	—	05-28 15:24
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	13	$220	133	133	+0	open	—	10-27 14:10
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	15	$219	346	97	+250	open	—	10-28 20:52
Will Genoa CFC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	2	$209	113	113	+0	Yes	+$18	09-12 15:06
Will L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw?	2	$183	94	94	+0	Yes	+$3	09-12 14:57
Will Italy vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$166	90	90	+0	Yes	+$13	09-12 14:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$160	758	758	+0	Yes	-$159	06-12 20:00
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$155	112	112	+0	Yes	+$69	06-12 05:03
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	3	$154	80	80	+0	No	+$1	09-20 12:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$144	78	78	+0	Yes	+$12	06-12 19:56
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$137	215	0	+215	Yes	+$78	06-13 17:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$129	89	89	+0	No	-$4	08-19 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:52:55	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xa5c856…
10-28 20:06:47	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xf53f2a…
10-28 19:04:56	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	58¢	$52	0x6faa6d…
10-28 16:18:16	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xc1ce76…
10-28 15:22:05	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xec2196…
10-28 14:51:28	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x04926b…
10-28 08:10:11	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	55¢	$45	0x7cfb16…
10-27 14:10:35	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	90¢	$112	0x853676…
10-06 07:06:18	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x4ddea0…
10-06 06:52:13	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x3c62f1…
10-06 06:19:06	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfd8e93…
10-06 05:29:09	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x0f9f98…
10-06 05:29:07	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x51a44c…
10-06 05:28:28	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x13743f…
10-05 15:13:41	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x3a3d98…
10-05 15:13:25	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x800a46…
10-04 09:43:16	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8da4ee…
09-28 12:33:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x46064c…
09-28 12:33:02	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xbf632e…
09-21 13:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfcce81…
09-21 13:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3c884a…
09-21 13:39:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x898faf…
09-21 13:36:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3983c8…
09-21 13:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7fe7e0…
09-21 13:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x78e5ee…
09-21 13:24:05	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xa88cc2…
09-21 13:17:26	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x0f260a…
09-20 18:30:21	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	105	85¢	$90	0xed661b…
09-20 12:57:24	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x066134…
09-13 11:42:43	Szczecin: Matyas Cerny vs Filip Misolic	Filip Misolic	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0x1f8012…
09-12 23:08:01	UCF vs. Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x0e9a86…
09-12 22:05:00	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x393fbd…
09-12 21:50:04	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xc2f965…
09-12 21:49:36	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xf5537a…
09-12 21:21:37	Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xa39bed…
09-12 21:21:37	Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5bb24c…
09-12 21:19:24	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7d8af7…
09-12 21:08:48	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5c26a5…
09-12 21:00:22	Will CA San Telmo win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3d27b8…
09-12 20:53:07	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x343d9b…
09-12 20:46:43	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xde2a36…
09-12 20:45:21	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2e2df6…
09-12 20:41:57	Will CA San Telmo win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x6ff1cb…
09-12 20:37:21	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xebc326…
09-12 20:33:40	Will Club Almagro vs. CD Maipu end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3d128a…
09-12 20:32:43	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x9aecc5…
09-12 20:28:16	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x60bccc…
09-12 20:23:33	Will Club Almagro vs. CD Maipu end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc3930c…
09-12 20:17:19	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x25c0ce…
09-12 20:03:43	Will Bravo Ljubljana vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x611b91…
09-12 20:00:01	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd2c550…
09-12 19:59:51	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb19afc…
09-12 19:59:10	Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf45a55…
09-12 19:49:43	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x99b452…
09-12 19:47:07	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa4e424…
09-12 19:32:07	Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Platense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x1075ed…
09-12 19:21:13	Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x39adc4…
09-12 19:02:01	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd9e5a8…
09-12 18:57:01	Will Alanyaspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xf752ab…
09-12 18:54:43	Will FC Lugano vs. Young Boys Bern end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4563…
09-12 18:51:12	Will Alanyaspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8b53cb…
09-12 18:47:18	Will FC Lugano vs. Young Boys Bern end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2ca7a6…
09-12 18:46:40	Will Alanyaspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe83306…
09-12 18:39:57	Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4b70e…
09-12 18:35:55	Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfec226…
09-12 18:30:06	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a7ab4…
09-12 18:27:52	Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xeca091…
09-12 18:25:00	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x430faf…
09-12 18:19:27	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc1b951…
09-12 18:18:16	Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7bc301…
09-12 18:17:46	Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x14ed7b…
09-12 18:17:40	Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaf626c…
09-12 18:16:06	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x1e8c3e…
09-12 18:02:46	Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x761bde…
09-12 17:57:55	Will Grasshopper Club Zurich win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd64807…
09-12 17:46:46	Will Grasshopper Club Zurich win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb18bb6…
09-12 17:36:09	Will Ghana win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9ec885…
09-12 17:27:34	Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xed50e3…
09-12 17:21:31	Will FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7ffe4a…
09-12 17:21:04	Will FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xd911de…
09-12 17:14:42	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x459ab1…
09-12 17:14:07	Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5e7581…
09-12 17:12:33	Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa18d06…
09-12 17:09:19	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb3f808…
09-12 17:09:10	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf6f234…
09-12 17:07:48	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x5f194f…
09-12 17:07:39	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x143957…
09-12 17:06:42	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2a623b…
09-12 17:06:04	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0934bd…
09-12 16:58:57	Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x584311…
09-12 16:55:54	Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x71cbf8…
09-12 16:48:01	Will Grazer AK 1902 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x003789…
09-12 16:31:24	Will Roda JC Kerkrade win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8edd74…
09-12 16:19:28	Will Roda JC Kerkrade win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4bca25…
09-12 16:14:19	Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf70d67…
09-12 16:04:21	Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x20b49a…
09-12 15:58:22	Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6fbfe3…
09-12 15:58:16	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6f2013…
09-12 15:53:24	Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfff422…
09-12 15:52:55	Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa0ef2…