Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

152

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$333

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 32% +$0

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	-24	-$20	80¢	$-19	+$1	09-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	-$9	97¢	$-10	$0	08-31 14:19
another fed rate hike in 2026	No	-24	-$3	20¢	$-5	-$1	09-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-31 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another fed rate hike in 2026	4	$24	0	48	-48	open	—	09-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9fc0dc…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1e81e0…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x19a3a2…
10-23 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x816bc6…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa357bc…
10-23 01:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe1ffe8…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x956cbc…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfbdb14…
10-22 22:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x12e077…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2873e8…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d6b39…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x185aeb…
10-22 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1a71b9…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa55d60…
10-22 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9ce1b9…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9c409a…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc8aad2…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x897f6a…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d7ba0…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x45bbde…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8bdc1…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa07edd…
10-22 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x51a24f…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x899bb0…
10-22 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x775064…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf032a4…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x924f63…
10-21 15:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe5d68b…
10-21 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf62ed5…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ea66d…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x08e34a…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xacb7cc…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc3a086…
10-21 07:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc37a7b…
10-21 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7abfc6…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x479e5a…
10-21 05:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8273cf…
10-21 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x578fb4…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd24079…
10-21 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x501f2d…
10-21 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5990d5…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5fe64…
10-21 00:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf3a44f…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc0b8d9…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb2c033…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc1739f…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x16a0c3…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd4c3f4…
10-20 04:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x055580…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf804e7…
10-20 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb09281…
10-20 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe73bb1…
10-20 00:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7e7ac9…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x861c04…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x95db82…
10-19 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a023d…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb83e63…
10-19 14:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb2589…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaf12b5…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf7b996…
10-19 07:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a5e50…
10-19 06:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7f1a64…
10-18 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7479c7…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfdc61a…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf644e8…
10-18 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8e630e…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8a6722…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4fd337…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x29480b…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaa2e24…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x827224…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbff9a4…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb47d8e…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x238887…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x335cf0…
10-17 19:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xab8fc1…
10-17 19:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3746b1…
10-17 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x21491a…
10-17 17:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xad4345…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x911a17…
10-17 13:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf91a60…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x96ff74…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1fe53d…
10-17 12:00:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x325d29…
10-17 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x549df5…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba6318…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x74a336…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2dad4…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x55d101…
10-16 20:55:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2cfe7c…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x06b449…
10-16 20:14:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x73d7ad…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe37e76…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x64966e…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb99231…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbeb497…
10-16 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4c7069…
10-16 00:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x07abb5…
10-16 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x758d08…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8a1699…