Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$326

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

513

Trades

839

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-10 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 24% -$355

Sports

19% 38% +$168

Other

12% 22% -$128

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-83	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-01 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 21:35 UTC	2	$262	152	149	+3	Up	+$39	04-07 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 21:15 UTC	3	$224	238	135	+103	Down	+$27	04-07 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 21:45 UTC	10	$149	186	0	+186	Down	-$149	04-07 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 21:25 UTC	3	$113	163	47	+117	Down	+$6	04-07 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:40 UTC	1	$89	102	0	+102	Up	+$14	04-07 20:43
mlb cws bos 2026 08 06	14	$81	105	105	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$17	08-07 03:35
mlb bal det 2026 07 29	5	$76	149	149	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$64	07-29 20:00
mlb phi mia 2026 07 29	7	$74	145	101	+44	Miami Marlins	+$60	07-29 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	2	$49	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	08-17 06:30
mlb mil sf 2026 07 29 total 9pt5	2	$49	35	35	+0	Over	+$21	07-29 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	3	$48	37	24	+13	Down	-$2	08-17 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	3	$47	51	26	+25	Up	+$5	08-17 06:45
mlb det sea 2026 08 06 total 10pt5	2	$43	31	31	+0	Over	+$18	08-06 22:45
ucl lep agf 2026 07 29 team to advance	3	$43	48	40	+8	Aarhus GF	+$37	07-29 19:48
bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	No	+$1	07-27 12:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:30 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	08-17 06:34
mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	7	$41	71	53	+18	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$17	08-09 03:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	2	$39	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	08-17 05:59
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata	8	$35	77	30	+47	Denis Shapovalov	-$7	07-29 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:05 UTC	1	$35	62	0	+62	Up	-$35	04-07 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:50 UTC	2	$34	78	0	+78	Down	-$34	04-08 02:51
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	2	$33	25	25	+0	No	-$1	07-27 13:27
mlb bal det 2026 07 29 total 9pt5	2	$32	22	22	+0	Over	+$12	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	4	$32	27	27	+0	Down	$0	08-17 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:40 UTC	4	$32	27	27	+0	Up	+$22	08-09 06:44
mlb det sea 2026 08 06 total 7pt5	2	$31	23	23	+0	Over	+$15	08-06 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:35 UTC	5	$30	43	23	+20	Down	+$14	08-07 04:39
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$30	102	102	+0	No	+$0	03-21 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:45 UTC	3	$30	36	36	+0	Down	+$22	08-07 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:55 UTC	2	$30	83	78	+5	Down	+$10	04-07 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 18:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0xf12e3d…
10-10 18:40:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0x3b144d…
10-09 13:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb7ddb3…
10-09 12:28:06	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x31ed2c…
10-09 12:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9e06d6…
10-09 08:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xddcd10…
10-09 07:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x63bfca…
10-09 03:17:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd5152e…
10-09 02:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1eb837…
10-09 02:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x06d727…
10-09 02:26:02	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbd7d11…
10-09 02:06:21	Ethos FDV above $18M one day after launch?	No	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x0d5ea2…
10-08 21:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xd7fe21…
10-08 21:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x0f1cec…
10-08 21:51:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x5596bb…
10-08 21:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xbb667b…
10-08 21:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	613	0¢	$1	0xf5beb9…
10-08 21:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$4	0xc1245b…
10-08 21:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xaad315…
10-08 21:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x147914…
10-08 21:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	613	0¢	$1	0xb33a6f…
10-08 21:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xc604fd…
10-08 21:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$3	0x1f4598…
10-08 20:49:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50960e…
10-08 20:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x43fbc8…
10-08 20:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x9ddd5a…
10-08 20:44:45	Ethos FDV above $18M one day after launch?	No	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x4f6751…
10-08 20:42:56	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe6157d…
10-08 20:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xaa0540…
10-08 20:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x03c8e8…
10-08 20:41:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x460458…
10-08 20:40:53	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x8a1ad9…
09-25 14:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x06f7d8…
09-25 14:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x15a02e…
09-25 14:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xb49bf7…
09-25 14:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x890382…
09-25 14:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x7e8af4…
09-25 14:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xcf3b5e…
09-08 13:53:09	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x249e47…
09-05 01:41:48	mlb mil cin 2026 09 04	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf7bbf0…
08-27 18:46:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb14007…
08-27 18:44:43	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xffca43…
08-17 08:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x4639b7…
08-17 08:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x31fd23…
08-17 08:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x6f4051…
08-17 08:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0ba966…
08-17 08:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa4ad6b…
08-17 07:58:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdabe0b…
08-17 07:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa5b06b…
08-17 07:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x615c2d…
08-17 07:41:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x228926…
08-17 07:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x21df22…
08-17 07:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x221f34…
08-17 07:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe66639…
08-17 07:18:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x0936c5…
08-17 07:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36bfaa…
08-17 07:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x69df51…
08-17 07:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x62210f…
08-17 07:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xffd918…
08-17 07:03:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x5620f1…
08-17 06:59:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3366ea…
08-17 06:58:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xa79b8f…
08-17 06:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbbb2e3…
08-17 06:54:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x55a9e0…
08-17 06:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x707ba3…
08-17 06:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x579215…
08-17 06:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc6792b…
08-17 06:48:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa1568c…
08-17 06:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb60ef7…
08-17 06:45:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbf0457…
08-17 06:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf4f135…
08-17 06:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5bb657…
08-17 06:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x8e0923…
08-17 06:41:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x215764…
08-17 06:35:46	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9ee2e4…
08-17 06:34:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x087f06…
08-17 06:34:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9de6f1…
08-17 06:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x4bc910…
08-17 06:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x7191cb…
08-17 06:28:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x151eaa…
08-17 06:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcfccf3…
08-17 06:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x474e16…
08-17 06:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9adb26…
08-17 06:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd2626a…
08-17 06:17:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7f024f…
08-17 06:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xf6becd…
08-17 06:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0f66b6…
08-17 06:08:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xffddac…
08-17 06:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6ffd65…
08-17 06:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d8f9d…
08-17 06:02:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x60d24e…
08-17 06:01:34	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbf675e…
08-17 05:59:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x79b3fe…
08-17 05:58:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x47442c…
08-17 05:57:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x27d85c…
08-17 05:54:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x972b72…
08-17 05:53:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xce7993…
08-17 05:51:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x323726…
08-17 05:51:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x88ae81…
08-17 05:51:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf5a52b…