Imperturbable-Sanity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-23 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 44% $-177

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$613	620	0	+620	open	—	04-26 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	14	$340	373	107	+266	Up	$-126	05-05 05:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	6	$286	176	176	+0	Down	+$65	05-05 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$230	242	0	+242	Up	+$12	05-05 01:09
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$211	177	177	+0	open	—	05-15 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	8	$142	127	127	+0	Down	$-5	05-05 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	9	$139	235	0	+235	open	—	04-25 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	9	$134	188	42	+146	open	—	04-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$95	207	0	+207	open	—	04-26 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$83	122	0	+122	Down	$-83	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$83	55	53	+2	open	—	04-25 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	5	$79	185	0	+185	open	—	04-25 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$79	137	0	+137	open	—	04-25 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	5	$79	96	0	+96	open	—	04-25 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	5	$64	158	0	+158	open	—	04-26 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$63	122	0	+122	open	—	04-26 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$49	62	17	+45	open	—	04-25 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$48	109	0	+109	open	—	04-25 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$47	89	0	+89	open	—	04-25 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$47	71	0	+71	open	—	04-25 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$47	77	0	+77	open	—	04-25 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$46	91	0	+91	open	—	04-25 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	3	$43	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 05:12
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	3	$43	232	0	+232	open	—	05-18 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$32	42	0	+42	open	—	04-25 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$32	54	0	+54	open	—	04-25 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$32	56	0	+56	open	—	04-25 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$32	86	0	+86	open	—	04-25 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$32	68	0	+68	open	—	04-26 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$32	76	0	+76	open	—	04-25 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 16:00:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x7b998c…
05-23 15:35:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x0cf257…
05-18 02:42:13	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x8817b3…
05-18 02:40:00	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	136	18¢	$25	0xeaa389…
05-18 02:39:48	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	66	18¢	$12	0x2ab9be…
05-17 23:19:19	LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x36c935…
05-15 15:30:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	177	94¢	$166	0x54e16c…
05-12 14:52:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xe7827a…
05-12 13:45:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe1ae10…
05-12 03:59:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x1f9d6b…
05-10 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xc0515e…
05-10 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0xf39b87…
05-05 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x6d3d0b…
05-05 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x5b5afc…
05-05 05:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1514c6…
05-05 05:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x163997…
05-05 05:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0xe905d3…
05-05 05:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x92415e…
05-05 05:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x7d7211…
05-05 05:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0xe04a52…
05-05 05:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4bc098…
05-05 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x5b791a…
05-05 04:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x059f29…
05-05 04:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x50c687…
05-05 04:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xe7d699…
05-05 04:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x62d6d2…
05-05 04:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xf94bef…
05-05 04:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0x34870d…
05-05 04:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x5f7d3a…
05-05 04:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x257291…
05-05 04:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	37	87¢	$33	0x69a4bc…
05-05 04:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x6bc99a…
05-05 04:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb2a669…
05-05 04:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x7d46df…
05-05 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb426f1…
05-05 04:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6fbb21…
05-05 04:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xf582c0…
05-05 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbb1ff4…
05-05 04:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xdfb71e…
05-05 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xc15bdc…
05-05 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0xb307ec…
05-05 04:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x8ebce0…
05-05 04:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x927b5b…
05-05 04:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x6d9ff2…
05-05 04:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x293c1b…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xec5dd7…
05-05 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x433533…
05-05 01:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xb9d69f…
05-05 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x3fd202…
05-05 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc68293…
05-05 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x937ded…
05-05 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf872c6…
05-05 01:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xadcf43…
05-05 01:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x438c55…
05-05 01:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xed481d…
05-05 01:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x043fd2…
05-01 17:47:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x288734…
04-26 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2c11c4…
04-26 19:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x3a5fb2…
04-26 19:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x7705e6…
04-26 19:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x78bd95…
04-26 19:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x6e2e1c…
04-26 18:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x93e91d…
04-26 18:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x060e02…
04-26 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xac53e4…
04-26 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x34328a…
04-26 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xa24266…
04-26 17:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xe3d7b2…
04-26 17:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x89a996…
04-26 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1eb138…
04-26 17:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xe02a3f…
04-26 17:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x361682…
04-26 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf9d3ff…
04-26 16:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xcdb7c8…
04-26 16:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0x79baa4…
04-26 15:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x50b1c4…
04-26 15:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x24fce2…
04-26 15:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd848f8…
04-26 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xf537be…
04-26 06:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x619811…
04-26 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x6515d7…
04-26 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x24481b…
04-26 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0xfe4033…
04-26 04:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0xd20301…
04-26 04:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x692bb4…
04-26 04:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xed6700…
04-26 04:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0xeaa908…
04-26 04:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x90daa4…
04-26 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x7ae5ab…
04-26 04:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x057c3a…
04-26 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x85b434…
04-26 03:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x0628cf…
04-26 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	603	99¢	$597	0x3e881a…
04-26 02:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xff9845…
04-26 02:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xbfd3cc…
04-26 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xf04ed6…
04-26 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xff78b4…
04-26 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	22¢	$16	0x312efd…
04-26 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x05fbed…
04-26 01:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x49a7e0…