Unkempt-Cone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

240

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-27 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 97% -$12

Other

11% 63% +$46

Sports

10% 25% -$31

Politics

8% 70% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+70	$58	82¢	$57	-$1	07-13 05:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes		+5	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	07-06 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$58	70	0	+70	open	—	07-13 05:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$45	25	25	+0	No	-$1	02-10 01:07
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$42	22	22	+0	No	$0	03-19 08:46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	03-19 22:47
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$34	17	17	+0	No	$0	02-26 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 17:25
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$30	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-14 00:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$26	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-19 10:46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	03-06 10:56
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$22	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-19 21:13
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	-$6	04-20 13:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	02-03 21:35
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 12:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?	2	$20	60	0	+60	No	+$40	07-11 18:26
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	03-23 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	2	$19	25	25	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 01:51
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-24 17:50
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	03-25 17:50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	02-07 02:54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$0	02-06 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	06-02 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	05-26 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	1	$17	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	03-28 11:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 11pm et	1	$17	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	03-28 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 4pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	03-30 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	05-20 05:50
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 12pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	03-24 16:51
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-25 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-28 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-22 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 19:51:15	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x1d4dc2…
07-13 05:04:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x12554b…
07-13 05:04:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xc473ae…
07-13 05:04:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x01ad0b…
07-13 05:03:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb1b0db…
07-13 05:03:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5c53b0…
07-11 18:26:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x25e468…
07-11 18:05:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?	No	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0x072bb0…
07-11 18:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x542b7d…
07-11 17:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x8dfc08…
07-10 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd92add…
07-10 05:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x4332b7…
07-10 00:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf05904…
07-09 21:31:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x1bc810…
07-09 16:54:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x242920…
07-09 16:45:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x5cfcf8…
07-09 16:22:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe27599…
07-09 14:31:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbff5a1…
07-09 14:30:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x104cd2…
07-09 13:53:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9af3c9…
07-09 13:21:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x2063f5…
07-09 13:16:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x7ceaed…
07-09 10:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x7cfda1…
07-09 09:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0xb35630…
07-06 12:04:35	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x71c591…
06-25 00:34:28	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 24 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdb5b9a…
06-25 00:34:28	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 24 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xa5c763…
06-24 23:29:34	mlb kc tb 2026 06 24	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x84629d…
06-06 01:13:45	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf51255…
06-05 02:36:00	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x699b5c…
06-04 23:51:57	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x83b62a…
06-04 00:34:37	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xe4874d…
06-03 01:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x92b722…
06-03 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa2743c…
06-02 22:52:28	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x77b6e3…
06-02 19:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0ce9a4…
06-01 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x527b4f…
06-01 10:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x0bd4ce…
05-31 19:08:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7640e1…
05-31 19:06:53	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe36d6f…
05-31 19:06:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xbf8bc9…
05-30 03:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x432bfd…
05-29 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb21293…
05-29 05:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe30df3…
05-29 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc43635…
05-28 19:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd376a1…
05-26 05:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc9fae2…
05-23 22:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca83ee…
05-22 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x0bb89c…
05-22 11:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc6f58c…
05-20 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x420d02…
05-20 01:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xc646aa…
05-20 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xc3b172…
05-19 20:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x553413…
05-19 19:15:13	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9c4939…
05-19 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdf1e40…
05-19 01:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdbf05…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9bd15…
05-18 07:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x65f860…
05-18 02:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32b3be…
05-18 01:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x256862…
05-17 20:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x98e29b…
05-17 02:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x480bfe…
05-16 11:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3287b7…
05-15 22:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x681669…
05-15 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0edb2…
05-15 17:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x71d83c…
05-15 12:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x61aa4e…
05-15 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7279cb…
05-15 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x47488d…
05-15 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc441c1…
05-15 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0cd2f5…
05-15 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ac4c9…
05-14 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x3206ae…
05-14 16:05:54	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xb072c3…
05-14 11:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51de1c…
05-14 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c67fd…
05-13 23:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9a144a…
05-13 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd157dd…
04-29 12:53:30	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf9cee5…
04-29 11:43:32	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x797699…
04-29 11:41:42	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa3c5b2…
04-29 11:24:16	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4981bc…
04-26 04:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5767fa…
04-26 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe98608…
04-25 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25ad17…
04-25 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcf6538…
04-25 12:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9a4619…
04-25 12:12:48	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x93bf86…
04-25 01:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x84c679…
04-24 22:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x378bc2…
04-24 16:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa41437…
04-24 11:50:40	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc6596…
04-24 10:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7811d9…
04-24 08:51:26	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x860f12…
04-24 03:50:50	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf5e6e8…
04-23 20:08:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa29601…
04-23 10:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb7d8c…
04-23 03:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9d0d4…
04-23 00:56:06	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x005098…