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Realized P&L (30d)
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (30d)
19
Trades (30d)
911
906 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$12.0K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-11 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
90% 47% +$14
Tech
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Public Service Announcement" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +210 $175 84¢ $175 $0 11-10 21:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +170 $147 90¢ $154 +$7 11-11 21:00
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +212 $183 70¢ $149 -$34 11-10 14:47
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $112B by November 30? No +126 $109 85¢ $107 -$2 11-10 03:15
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +210 $107 43¢ $90 -$17 11-10 17:42
Will "Encore" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +105 $92 80¢ $84 -$9 11-10 22:39
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +210 $84 39¢ $82 -$2 11-10 10:25
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $205B by November 30? No +83 $72 96¢ $80 +$8 11-09 23:02
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026? No +84 $69 84¢ $70 +$1 11-10 10:06
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +176 $68 34¢ $59 -$9 11-10 12:32
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? No +78 $69 75¢ $59 -$10 11-10 17:24
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for between $60m and $75m at auction? No +84 $59 68¢ $57 -$2 11-10 09:01
Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +114 $58 49¢ $56 -$2 11-10 17:03
Will "Show Me What You Got" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +56 $52 92¢ $51 -$1 11-11 13:48
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.76% in November? Yes +63 $40 82¢ $51 +$11 11-10 14:40
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $109B by November 30? No +87 $56 58¢ $51 -$5 11-10 19:08
Will "Iron Boy" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +105 $58 48¢ $50 -$8 11-11 03:31
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for between $90m and $105m at auction? No +58 $48 84¢ $49 +$1 11-10 11:42
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +80 $45 58¢ $47 +$2 11-10 06:10
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +53 $46 86¢ $45 -$1 11-11 21:11
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +53 $46 84¢ $44 -$2 11-11 19:24
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $13B by November 30? No +57 $51 77¢ $44 -$7 11-11 14:43
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? No +84 $61 52¢ $43 -$18 11-10 02:53
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in November? Yes +77 $31 55¢ $42 +$11 11-10 16:24
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 12? No +42 $32 100¢ $42 +$10 11-11 02:26
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31? Yes +63 $44 64¢ $40 -$3 11-09 21:42
Will Jay Puri be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +41 $34 96¢ $40 +$5 11-11 05:36
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? No +63 $44 63¢ $39 -$4 11-09 22:06
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026? No +45 $39 85¢ $39 $0 11-10 10:35
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? No +74 $54 50¢ $37 -$17 11-10 16:03