Realized P&L (30d)
+$185
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved (30d)
414
Trades (30d)
2,529
68,139 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$705
$23.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 04:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
74% 30% +$3,633
Sports
9% 31% +$482
Crypto
8% 32% +$14
Politics
5% 60% +$209
Pop-Culture
3% 36% +$142
Tech
0% 75% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -14 -$8 57¢ $-8 +$0 06-01 23:12
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? Yes -7 $0 74¢ $-5 -$5 10-26 12:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +5 -$2 94¢ $5 +$6 11-04 05:03
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +16 $0 28¢ $4 +$4 11-08 16:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +52 -$1 6¢ $3 +$4 11-10 07:53
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? No +18 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 11-09 18:16
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more? No +7 $1 24¢ $2 +$1 11-09 21:25
Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28? Yes -5 -$2 30¢ $-2 +$0 11-05 15:28
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? No +5 $0 26¢ $1 +$1 11-08 01:37
Will Aaron Rodgers have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No -26 -$3 5¢ $-1 +$2 11-04 11:33
Will PP win the most seats in Soria in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +18 $0 6¢ $1 +$2 11-06 20:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%? No +19 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 11-13 04:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? No +37 -$2 3¢ $1 +$3 11-13 03:41
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on December 31, 2026? Yes +66 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-08 21:38
Will Cameron Ward have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-12 01:52
will trumps approval rating be at least 42pt0 on november 20 2026 Yes +185 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-13 00:33
Will the next Qwen Max model (3.9+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 11-12 15:33
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? Yes -12 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 11-07 02:13
Will the Chicago Bears have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? No +23 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-12 02:10
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -18 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$2 11-12 14:36
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? No +12 $1 3¢ $0 $0 11-04 05:57
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of November 9 2026? Yes +1 $0 33¢ $0 +$0 11-12 14:31
Will Vox win the most seats in Soria in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes -11 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 11-08 02:06
Will Hamburger SV finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes -6 $0 4¢ $-0 -$1 11-09 12:14
Will Schalke 04 finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes +8 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-16 18:29
Will the next Qwen Max model (3.9+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? No +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-12 22:02
New US State admitted during Trump's term? Yes +9 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 11-11 05:26
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 7¢ $0 +$1 11-11 15:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +52 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-10 07:53
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for at least $105m at auction? Yes +4 -$1 5¢ $0 +$2 11-10 04:09