Will the Chicago Bears have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
open
Total volume
$1,222
Trades
95
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$625
End date
2027-02-16
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-25 08:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.8¢
(top1%: 95% YES on $478
vs crowd: 82% YES on $833)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $567 | $55 | +$512 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $69 | $73 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $46 | $3 | +$43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $452 | $26 | +$427 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $103 | $2 | +$101 |
| Below median | 5 | $37 | $10 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $13 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $58 | $20 | +$38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $18 | $80 | $62 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | Yes | +270 | $229 | $229 | 1 | 10-07 02:36 |
| Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | No | +258 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 10-08 16:41 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +94 | $81 | $112 | 7 | 10-25 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +30 | $25 | $26 | 3 | 10-06 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +30 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-05 05:36 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | +29 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-07 05:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +28 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-07 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +28 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-07 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | +26 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-25 08:53 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +22 | $2 | $22 | 8 | 10-22 12:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 05:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-30 13:51 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-30 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-30 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d4f…000e | Yes | +7 | $0 | $17 | 3 | 10-19 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-22 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 05:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-23 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +2 | $3 | $12 | 5 | 10-07 05:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdf34cc… |
| 10-25 08:53:23 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0xdf34cc… |
| 10-25 08:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc4e6ae… |
| 10-25 08:52:41 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xc4e6ae… |
| 10-23 19:55:48 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x9d7d50… |
| 10-23 19:55:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9d7d50… |
| 10-23 19:55:48 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x9d7d50… |
| 10-23 07:12:18 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x78b811… |
| 10-23 07:12:18 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x78b811… |
| 10-22 16:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x961c5b… |
| 10-22 16:46:12 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x961c5b… |
| 10-22 12:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x47371d… |
| 10-22 12:57:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x47371d… |
| 10-22 12:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x2e46…9996 | No | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x47371d… |
| 10-22 07:56:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x97642f… |
| 10-22 07:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a5b…9375 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x97642f… |
| 10-22 05:24:20 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x071213… |
| 10-22 05:24:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x071213… |
| 10-22 05:19:18 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x178b38… |
| 10-22 05:19:18 | (anonymous) 0x3a5b…9375 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x178b38… |
| 10-19 00:38:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xb2346e… |
| 10-19 00:38:02 | (anonymous) 0x2e46…9996 | No | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xb2346e… |
| 10-19 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x0d4f…000e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x4956de… |
| 10-19 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e46…9996 | No | BUY | 13 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x7d547f… |
| 10-19 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x2e46…9996 | No | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x4956de… |
| 10-19 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x7d547f… |
| 10-17 05:20:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4a567c… |
| 10-17 05:20:20 | (anonymous) 0x0d4f…000e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x4a567c… |
| 10-08 16:41:48 | Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x15e272… |
| 10-08 16:41:48 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x15e272… |
| 10-08 16:41:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x2fce97… |
| 10-08 16:41:29 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 120 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x2fce97… |
| 10-08 16:41:29 | Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | No | BUY | 238 | 9¢ | $21 | 0x2fce97… |
| 10-08 16:41:29 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2fce97… |
| 10-07 13:37:01 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xaf6b50… |
| 10-07 13:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xaf6b50… |
| 10-07 13:37:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 71 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xaf6b50… |
| 10-07 05:42:21 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5b20d0… |
| 10-07 05:42:21 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5b20d0… |
| 10-07 05:40:20 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x97ca4b… |
| 10-07 05:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x97ca4b… |
| 10-07 05:40:18 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9a961f… |
| 10-07 05:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9a961f… |
| 10-07 05:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x20b3c0… |
| 10-07 05:39:26 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x20b3c0… |
| 10-07 02:38:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9aac84… |
| 10-07 02:38:21 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9aac84… |
| 10-07 02:36:41 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x47cbf4… |
| 10-07 02:36:41 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x47cbf4… |
| 10-07 02:36:41 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 87¢ | $24 | 0x47cbf4… |
| 10-07 02:36:39 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | SELL | 222 | 85¢ | $188 | 0x859fa7… |
| 10-07 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x859fa7… |
| 10-07 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x859fa7… |
| 10-07 02:36:39 | Loving-Programming 0x6c43…fb9b | Yes | BUY | 270 | 85¢ | $229 | 0x859fa7… |
| 10-07 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3f95dd… |
| 10-07 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0x3f95dd… |
| 10-06 18:47:03 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x58cb5c… |
| 10-06 18:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x58cb5c… |
| 10-06 02:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc2d9d2… |
| 10-06 02:03:41 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xc2d9d2… |
| 10-05 09:09:13 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x452add… |
| 10-05 09:09:13 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x452add… |
| 10-05 05:37:40 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb4d865… |
| 10-05 05:37:40 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb4d865… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | BUY | 280 | 80¢ | $223 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0x805995… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x805995… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x805995… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 80 | 20¢ | $16 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-05 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | BUY | 120 | 20¢ | $24 | 0xea684c… |
| 10-04 22:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xfd67a6… |
| 10-04 22:37:07 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xfd67a6… |
| 10-04 22:37:02 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xc14bf9… |
| 10-04 22:37:02 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 76¢ | $23 | 0xc14bf9… |
| 10-04 22:37:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc14bf9… |
| 09-30 13:52:18 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7eca31… |
| 09-30 13:52:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7eca31… |
| 09-30 13:52:11 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x941209… |
| 09-30 13:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x941209… |
| 09-30 13:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x44aef4… |
| 09-30 13:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x44aef4… |
| 09-30 13:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x487e94… |
| 09-30 13:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfdd95a… |
| 09-30 13:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x672d…db68 | No | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x487e94… |
| 09-30 13:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xfdd95a… |
| 09-30 12:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x6f3e5d… |
| 09-30 12:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x672d…db68 | No | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x6f3e5d… |
| 09-29 22:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x672d…db68 | No | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x4f3be3… |
| 09-29 22:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x672d…db68 | No | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x5e6ecd… |
| 09-29 22:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x5e6ecd… |
| 09-29 22:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x0d4f…000e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x4f3be3… |