Babyish-Innovation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.78K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.41K

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

654

Trades

2,431

lifetime

Volume

$195.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$4.09K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 09-16 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

96% 84% -$1,115

Politics

4% 78% -$650

Crypto

0% 38% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-4,041	-$2,175	98¢	$-3954	-$1,779	05-04 05:46
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes		-6,686	-$498	2¢	$-134	+$364	08-28 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?	24	$4.1K	2,083	2,083	+0	No	+$34	04-29 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	24	$3.7K	1,894	1,894	+0	No	+$63	05-01 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	40	$3.1K	1,571	1,570	+1	No	+$20	04-26 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	4	$3.1K	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$6	06-06 12:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 22?	8	$2.9K	1,455	1,455	+0	No	+$8	05-22 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	29	$2.7K	1,394	1,455	-61	No	+$46	04-28 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?	8	$2.4K	1,196	1,196	+0	No	+$17	05-01 04:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.3K	2,354	0	+2,354	No	+$65	05-31 11:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	20	$2.2K	1,146	1,142	+4	No	+$70	04-26 15:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	18	$2.2K	0	4,041	-4,041	open	—	05-04 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 28?	16	$2.1K	1,051	1,050	+1	Yes	+$14	04-28 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 25?	4	$2.1K	1,161	914	+247	No	-$1	06-25 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 1?	7	$1.9K	1,759	201	+1,558	No	+$13	05-01 04:39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?	14	$1.9K	973	972	+1	No	+$20	04-25 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?	8	$1.8K	897	897	-0	No	+$6	05-01 01:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$1.8K	1,820	20	+1,800	No	+$22	06-06 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?	5	$1.6K	1,658	0	+1,658	No	+$14	06-17 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?	14	$1.6K	793	792	+1	No	+$17	04-26 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?	23	$1.5K	775	774	+1	No	+$12	04-28 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	24	$1.5K	3,345	400	+2,945	Yes	-$826	06-15 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?	11	$1.4K	716	716	+0	No	+$11	04-25 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	32	$1.4K	1,039	633	+405	Yes	-$615	08-29 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 25?	2	$1.3K	1,326	0	+1,326	No	+$9	06-25 03:43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 7?	5	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$5	05-06 16:00
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 18c	12	$1.2K	587	586	+0	No	+$9	04-22 06:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	19	$1.2K	1,090	230	+860	No	+$76	05-26 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on April 29?	5	$1.1K	571	571	+0	No	+$8	04-29 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 26?	31	$1.1K	567	567	+0	No	+$4	04-26 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?	8	$1.1K	577	577	+0	No	+$27	05-26 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 9?	2	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$2	05-09 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 18:08:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	146	34¢	$50	0x9a3b59…
09-16 18:08:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x869803…
09-15 19:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	162	10¢	$16	0xd35d5e…
09-15 19:19:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf8b0e1…
09-15 19:18:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x707cde…
09-15 19:18:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x82b56e…
09-15 19:17:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaab552…
09-15 19:17:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb133fb…
09-15 19:16:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x77de40…
09-15 19:16:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x14a076…
09-15 19:16:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4a3b74…
09-15 19:15:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xa04f75…
09-11 13:25:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x601eb1…
09-11 12:30:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xfd4a47…
09-07 13:28:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ccf4c…
09-06 08:11:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x58590d…
09-06 08:11:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x7b17bd…
08-31 13:12:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xfd0aaa…
08-30 20:00:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe43e12…
08-29 21:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x991dbe…
08-29 18:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xc9a826…
08-29 17:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x4f4802…
08-29 17:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x4f4fc7…
08-29 17:17:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x37e6e1…
08-29 17:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x8d5732…
08-29 16:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x32bbe9…
08-29 16:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x07e076…
08-29 16:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc75a1e…
08-29 16:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa72ce5…
08-29 16:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x8b833a…
08-29 16:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	SELL	520	96¢	$501	0x1694b8…
08-29 16:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0x036c33…
08-29 16:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x9279e3…
08-29 16:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5478dd…
08-29 16:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xcf6efd…
08-29 16:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9a8ecc…
08-29 16:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x520fcf…
08-29 16:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xa2edd3…
08-29 16:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0x18b709…
08-29 15:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0xda10ea…
08-29 15:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x172900…
08-29 15:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x248223…
08-29 15:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x19f07d…
08-29 15:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0x13b3f9…
08-29 15:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0x71fd57…
08-29 14:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa58434…
08-29 14:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x89ddb3…
08-29 13:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x0b0294…
08-29 13:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x6b0084…
08-29 13:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x924187…
08-29 13:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2cf04b…
08-29 13:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$86	0xb87933…
08-29 13:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x7b232d…
08-29 13:09:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x4ddce1…
08-29 10:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x1bc6a0…
08-29 05:33:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x267a35…
08-29 05:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	BUY	345	99¢	$342	0x40b86d…
08-29 02:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x05e878…
08-29 02:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 28?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8423cb…
08-29 02:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x0e1be3…
08-29 01:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xab3052…
08-28 15:41:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xc477d0…
08-28 14:02:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xf3200e…
08-28 11:13:01	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x2674e5…
08-28 11:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x1fc9fb…
08-28 11:08:15	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6,598	7¢	$484	0x17a4d3…
08-28 11:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x69e6c1…
08-27 06:41:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0x58f004…
08-27 06:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 28?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x859cb0…
08-26 12:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x14b3f9…
08-26 08:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x2a017e…
08-25 06:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	525	100¢	$524	0x010237…
08-25 06:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0xc58ca0…
08-25 06:26:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x97d092…
08-24 04:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 25?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3852d2…
08-24 03:25:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xba759b…
08-24 03:24:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 25?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x5fb1c2…
08-23 13:16:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x331b53…
08-23 13:15:42	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 24?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x99e9c7…
08-23 13:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 24?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x135772…
08-23 03:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc6d1fa…
08-23 03:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 23?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xcb3302…
08-23 03:06:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x499c82…
08-21 14:53:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x6bca20…
08-21 05:08:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x30de43…
08-21 05:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 21?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xca8781…
08-20 08:49:52	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 21?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xcab877…
08-20 08:49:30	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa64204…
08-20 08:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 21?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa449e8…
08-19 03:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 20?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x678eae…
08-19 03:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on August 20?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xcbf67e…
08-19 03:22:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb27f60…
08-19 03:21:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 19?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0xcc3be4…
08-18 02:52:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 19?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb80101…
08-18 02:47:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 18?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x5da274…
08-16 05:09:33	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 17?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x18c092…
08-15 12:17:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x7280f9…
08-15 12:16:42	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 16?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xfa317e…
08-15 12:16:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 16?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$470	0x1c8213…
08-14 05:44:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x13d629…