Thrifty-Scrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-11 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

89% 75% $-24

Sports

6% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 180 199	3	$227	231	0	+231	open	—	03-31 15:15
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	2	$150	154	0	+154	open	—	04-04 02:01
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	4	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	04-03 13:10
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	3	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	04-01 03:29
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 380 399	2	$120	125	0	+125	open	—	03-29 23:39
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	2	$120	124	0	+124	open	—	03-29 23:36
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	2	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	03-29 23:33
will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-29 02:55
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	3	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-04 12:26
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-29 23:37
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	4	$94	88	21	+68	open	—	04-04 15:07
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	4	$94	61	61	+0	open	—	04-12 21:21
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	3	$81	52	31	+21	open	—	04-13 02:04
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	2	$77	78	0	+78	open	—	04-08 02:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-11 20:43
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-11 20:43
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	5	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	04-06 21:58
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 180 199	3	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	04-11 01:01
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 140 164	3	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	04-09 00:07
highest temperature in mexico city on april 17 2026 33c	4	$50	26	25	+0	open	—	04-16 03:22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 00:42
will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-11 20:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-28 00:46
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	2	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-28 22:01
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-05 14:43
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	4	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-06 03:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-09 23:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$48	26	26	+0	open	—	04-17 05:00
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 21:29
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-02 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 12:54:50	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x12cb20…
05-11 12:45:08	Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xa55cfa…
04-28 22:06:08	Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0bdd5a…
04-28 22:02:42	Will Cagliari be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x223fdb…
04-28 22:01:12	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xa7ae0c…
04-28 21:56:46	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfc6968…
04-28 21:48:34	Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfe2ae9…
04-28 01:21:48	Will Alina Charaeva win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfa9c10…
04-28 01:05:38	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6a7bdf…
04-28 00:52:44	Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe904db…
04-28 00:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5bf522…
04-28 00:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe237ad…
04-28 00:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xeb3afe…
04-28 00:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa3a0d1…
04-27 02:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x865a86…
04-27 01:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x028b4d…
04-27 01:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c05c0…
04-27 01:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb82ad…
04-27 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcdea72…
04-27 01:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32a5e0…
04-27 01:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d3f17…
04-27 01:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc92212…
04-27 01:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5af10…
04-27 00:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c1380…
04-27 00:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe685bf…
04-27 00:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c4659…
04-27 00:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcde2e4…
04-27 00:32:52	Will Rafael Jódar win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x48c5ff…
04-27 00:24:12	Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5b8c23…
04-27 00:20:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x31fe39…
04-27 00:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdd31e5…
04-26 02:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb853b9…
04-26 01:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d7618…
04-26 01:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x406d3b…
04-26 01:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x908981…
04-26 00:25:48	Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe920e3…
04-26 00:20:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x59feec…
04-25 21:43:14	Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x356ff0…
04-25 21:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcc930…
04-25 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x396a43…
04-25 20:58:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10dd0e…
04-25 20:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51ed45…
04-25 20:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa527f8…
04-25 19:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xafea1a…
04-25 19:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eb032…
04-25 19:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a211d…
04-25 17:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x877c2f…
04-25 17:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xefdf59…
04-25 17:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5f39d0…
04-25 14:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x59c029…
04-25 14:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb55c2…
04-25 14:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb592b6…
04-25 13:54:36	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbd786f…
04-25 13:45:58	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x37416d…
04-25 13:33:52	Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x617288…
04-25 13:29:44	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xac3a8b…
04-25 13:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcaa8be…
04-25 13:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x979822…
04-25 13:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb94fa3…
04-25 01:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9653c5…
04-25 01:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9c424…
04-25 01:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc613df…
04-25 01:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x671e1d…
04-25 01:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4470fc…
04-25 01:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd9abeb…
04-25 01:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6526d…
04-25 01:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfa204c…
04-25 01:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4802bc…
04-24 12:33:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x7b8f4a…
04-24 02:30:18	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x727131…
04-24 01:53:00	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x968866…
04-24 01:49:28	highest temperature in busan on april 24 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac591e…
04-24 01:46:12	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b4b41…
04-24 01:44:04	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc61807…
04-24 01:40:46	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x32b054…
04-23 22:49:18	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xfeccf8…
04-23 22:37:10	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x35615d…
04-23 21:59:50	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ac751…
04-23 21:57:22	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4fa1dc…
04-23 21:53:40	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 21c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5255ac…
04-23 21:27:54	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd1cea9…
04-23 21:17:16	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74c060…
04-23 21:15:14	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0f105a…
04-23 21:10:00	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b0682…
04-23 21:06:58	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc75d5c…
04-23 20:58:12	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84748d…
04-23 19:37:50	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb1014f…
04-23 19:34:06	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a7a39…
04-23 19:29:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xdc030b…
04-23 15:34:48	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xcf5073…
04-23 15:26:24	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0b41c0…
04-23 15:23:34	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71f0d5…
04-23 14:31:42	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb43752…
04-23 14:31:14	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf308f8…
04-23 14:19:04	Will João Fonseca win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x937794…
04-23 14:18:52	Will João Fonseca win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1684b0…
04-23 13:37:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x291eef…
04-23 13:28:44	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 24c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a19bb…
04-23 13:24:46	highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a8bbb…
04-23 13:15:48	highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x894218…