Violent-Instrumentalist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-19 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

63% 75% +$9

Politics

26% 100% +$15

Other

7% — —

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	18	$529	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-08 03:24
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	11	$460	892	0	+892	open	—	04-17 00:52
nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	12	$416	852	0	+852	open	—	04-09 22:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	192	$372	908	970	-62	open	—	05-29 22:05
nhl edm lak 2026 04 11	8	$253	480	0	+480	open	—	04-11 13:34
Oilers vs. Ducks	8	$238	321	0	+321	open	—	04-27 04:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	36	$237	181	181	+0	open	—	05-29 15:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	84	$213	344	179	+165	open	—	05-01 05:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$210	581	457	+123	open	—	04-28 00:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$184	383	132	+250	open	—	04-23 18:05
Penguins vs. Flyers	6	$178	241	0	+241	open	—	04-26 02:10
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$155	158	37	+121	open	—	05-05 23:07
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	5	$148	291	0	+291	open	—	05-02 00:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	96	$142	125	51	+75	No	+$15	05-05 18:21
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	4	$119	238	0	+238	open	—	04-08 00:59
Hurricanes vs. Senators	4	$119	201	0	+201	open	—	04-25 21:44
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	4	$119	136	0	+136	open	—	04-19 17:33
nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	5	$117	167	0	+167	open	—	04-14 20:59
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	4	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 20:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	66	$108	104	42	+63	open	—	04-27 10:41
will the next model released by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480 896	4	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	04-17 16:47
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	5	$101	172	0	+172	open	—	04-18 00:29
nhl chi sea 2026 04 04	8	$99	244	0	+244	open	—	04-05 01:52
nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03	8	$99	169	0	+169	open	—	04-03 22:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$93	128	128	+0	open	—	05-10 06:20
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	3	$89	175	0	+175	open	—	04-09 00:58
Sabres vs. Bruins	3	$89	117	0	+117	open	—	04-26 19:10
Oilers vs. Ducks	3	$89	126	0	+126	open	—	04-25 04:35
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	3	$89	92	0	+92	open	—	04-17 16:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	21	$82	481	226	+255	open	—	05-31 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 15:52:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x2b9382…
06-19 15:51:49	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0xeecc1e…
06-02 09:16:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x39a910…
06-01 03:56:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xed330a…
06-01 03:56:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x88050b…
06-01 03:56:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x1e340b…
06-01 03:56:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x144ad3…
06-01 03:22:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x954bad…
06-01 03:21:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x7e1147…
06-01 02:33:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x6431d3…
06-01 02:32:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x5fb192…
05-31 22:27:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x52e5cf…
05-31 16:19:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x829889…
05-31 15:03:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf71737…
05-31 13:19:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x1e1e9b…
05-31 09:58:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	30¢	$37	0xdee530…
05-31 05:39:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x38f3cc…
05-31 05:38:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x5e468c…
05-31 04:09:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x232132…
05-31 04:06:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x619625…
05-31 04:02:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc1696a…
05-31 04:02:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x314f4d…
05-31 04:01:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe938ef…
05-31 02:03:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x539d2a…
05-30 14:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x46f1ff…
05-30 03:14:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x4791e0…
05-29 22:05:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xc50698…
05-29 21:04:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb5a51d…
05-29 20:17:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa552b3…
05-29 20:16:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xdd01e6…
05-29 20:16:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xae0363…
05-29 20:15:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x2c3559…
05-29 20:15:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc12b0c…
05-29 20:15:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x7980b8…
05-29 20:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xa16a4c…
05-29 20:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4c0357…
05-29 20:14:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xdd0665…
05-29 20:14:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xb2c985…
05-29 20:14:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x94fa57…
05-29 19:38:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xabe8ca…
05-29 19:38:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xce172e…
05-29 19:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x588c00…
05-29 17:02:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xcb72ee…
05-29 17:02:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x1579fb…
05-29 17:01:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x21fb25…
05-29 17:01:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xeb4304…
05-29 17:01:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xc652e3…
05-29 17:00:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x44783b…
05-29 16:58:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x691aa3…
05-29 16:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x8e9f92…
05-29 16:57:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xfcd19f…
05-29 16:55:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x0dda05…
05-29 16:51:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x36b643…
05-29 16:38:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xea0060…
05-29 16:36:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xb81b37…
05-29 16:34:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x42ee28…
05-29 16:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x722833…
05-29 16:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x3d9858…
05-29 15:38:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	96	29¢	$28	0xcd6e82…
05-29 15:33:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x704645…
05-29 15:32:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xeef3df…
05-29 15:31:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x533a52…
05-29 15:31:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x886121…
05-29 15:31:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x715e42…
05-29 15:31:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x3f5737…
05-29 15:30:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xf5f5f2…
05-29 15:28:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x4618dd…
05-29 15:28:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xe237f2…
05-29 15:28:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x6d9707…
05-29 15:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xcd6914…
05-29 15:24:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x4b4c46…
05-29 15:24:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x3069d2…
05-29 15:24:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x0e8151…
05-29 15:24:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x3f5e4d…
05-29 15:24:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x247945…
05-29 15:23:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xbac77f…
05-29 15:23:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x155f3f…
05-29 15:23:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xecb726…
05-29 15:18:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xccda0f…
05-29 15:08:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	21	45¢	$10	0xfcc593…
05-29 14:59:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xce5447…
05-29 14:57:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	27¢	$28	0x5d0031…
05-29 14:57:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x561341…
05-29 14:56:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xde3069…
05-29 14:55:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x163ed1…
05-29 14:32:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	24¢	$30	0x3dfc77…
05-29 08:53:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xe81ca4…
05-29 07:30:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x30e4cc…
05-29 07:30:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0x176316…
05-29 06:56:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x432e17…
05-29 03:56:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x9ce5cf…
05-29 03:51:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3bda24…
05-29 03:40:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x77ee2e…
05-29 03:39:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9336af…
05-29 03:12:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x46daca…
05-29 03:10:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xb4f50f…
05-29 03:08:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xde6355…
05-29 03:06:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x2ee839…
05-29 03:06:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x1f9b63…
05-29 03:06:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x2e54e8…