Flamboyant-Derrick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$899

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-30 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 67% $-25

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$24	32	17	+15	open	—	05-30 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 08:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	05-08 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 01:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	05-30 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$17	16	14	+2	open	—	05-29 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-30 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-30 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$15	20	9	+11	open	—	05-17 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:41
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 6?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	$-10	05-06 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x9b3412…
05-30 12:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x00c4c1…
05-30 12:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x4cb627…
05-30 12:38:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x257aef…
05-30 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x57cbcd…
05-30 12:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcd0886…
05-30 06:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x021075…
05-30 06:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45b116…
05-30 03:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6074ac…
05-30 03:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc377e8…
05-29 23:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc3b460…
05-29 22:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35b0ca…
05-29 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1ea696…
05-29 22:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xb0bf1d…
05-29 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x616662…
05-29 22:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa87ab9…
05-29 20:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa781d7…
05-29 19:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5da3bf…
05-29 19:03:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcc4e7d…
05-19 11:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xadda05…
05-19 11:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x710e5d…
05-19 11:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x03c754…
05-19 11:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x60bbc5…
05-19 10:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd3b943…
05-19 10:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc0fa92…
05-19 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x92b2d2…
05-19 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7180af…
05-19 09:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x56c0e9…
05-19 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94079e…
05-19 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2b057e…
05-18 11:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc083dc…
05-18 11:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x11709a…
05-18 11:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x62b0ed…
05-17 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x587186…
05-17 20:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x9200d2…
05-17 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdc5a1d…
05-17 13:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1a875d…
05-17 12:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3fa3e2…
05-17 12:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x927abc…
05-17 11:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0eddda…
05-17 11:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8a1b44…
05-17 08:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5029bf…
05-17 08:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1ba443…
05-17 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x4724b5…
05-17 01:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6e88e9…
05-17 00:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x7dd639…
05-17 00:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x069668…
05-17 00:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc17aa4…
05-16 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x50e802…
05-16 19:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6dc757…
05-16 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23630b…
05-16 16:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9e08c8…
05-16 10:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xdf233a…
05-16 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1e54b…
05-16 09:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf67ab9…
05-16 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7b9fbb…
05-16 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x50a613…
05-16 07:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x7d7978…
05-16 07:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5c1020…
05-16 06:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2fe5ed…
05-16 06:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfe6614…
05-16 06:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x72f3ce…
05-16 01:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xe42663…
05-16 01:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8379d…
05-16 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x52cf92…
05-16 01:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x000936…
05-16 01:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7abaac…
05-16 01:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x82fb55…
05-16 01:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf0ee9f…
05-15 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x61c3e4…
05-15 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xe7b8bc…
05-15 19:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x463ca3…
05-15 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x81b823…
05-15 19:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x04471b…
05-15 19:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x98855b…
05-15 19:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0610c0…
05-15 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x3ceeb3…
05-15 19:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x32ed45…
05-15 19:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x70848c…
05-15 17:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xad0a14…
05-15 17:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xeaf06c…
05-15 17:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xacf4b1…
05-15 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f719e…
05-15 17:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa3875d…
05-15 17:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x288a44…
05-15 11:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x24d96d…
05-15 11:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa0c050…
05-15 11:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xede9f7…
05-15 11:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xaee2f2…
05-15 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ef561…
05-15 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2f1e52…
05-15 08:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x500c46…
05-15 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc8eda9…
05-15 08:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x440a14…
05-15 08:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x6b7227…
05-15 08:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf0ee8…
05-15 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x03906e…
05-15 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x39330e…
05-15 08:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x94b9b8…
05-15 08:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x96819f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	157	$194.1K	6,640	06-08 14:58
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	154	$34.4K	9,974	05-30 12:57
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	154	$33.3K	6,123	05-30 12:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	154	$31.7K	9,266	05-30 12:57
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	154	$31.1K	5,629	05-30 12:57
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	154	$26.7K	4,547	05-30 12:57
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	153	$27.7K	1,094	05-30 12:57
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	152	$29.6K	5,226	05-30 12:59