Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

168

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$6.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-07 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

37% 58% -$35

Sports

34% 45% -$73

Crypto

16% 63% +$50

Politics

13% 56% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-215	-$28	12¢	$-26	+$2	09-22 14:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	4	$269	269	269	+0	Yes	-$4	02-11 00:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$195	115	115	+0	No	-$3	03-16 21:06
nba mia cha 2026 03 17	4	$150	104	104	+0	Hornets	+$2	03-18 01:02
will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	2	$148	107	107	+0	Yes	-$1	03-05 23:48
nhl col wpg 2026 03 14	2	$140	73	73	+0	Jets	+$7	03-14 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	2	$139	73	73	+0	Up	+$5	03-05 20:19
nba was bos 2026 03 14	2	$138	71	71	+0	Celtics	+$2	03-14 22:58
nba gsw was 2026 03 16	2	$136	74	74	+0	Warriors	+$6	03-17 01:22
lol c9 red 2026 03 05	2	$135	83	83	+0	Cloud9	-$12	03-06 00:04
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$129	74	74	+0	No	-$3	03-18 00:59
nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	3	$124	67	67	+0	76ers	+$9	03-14 19:45
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$123	65	65	+0	Yes	+$6	03-17 00:29
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	2	$118	63	63	+0	Hawks	+$4	03-14 20:39
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$116	122	29	+93	Seahawks	+$17	02-09 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	2	$114	59	59	+0	Down	+$2	03-16 21:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$114	59	59	+0	No	+$0	03-14 16:54
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	7	$109	60	59	+0	Yes	+$3	03-06 05:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$104	66	66	+0	Yes	-$7	03-19 15:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$101	58	58	+0	No	+$1	02-08 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:45 UTC	2	$99	52	52	+0	Up	+$4	02-09 01:59
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	4	$92	92	45	+48	No	-$47	04-22 21:41
nba ind tor 2026 02 08	2	$88	50	50	+0	Raptors	+$12	02-08 22:08
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	2	$83	80	80	+0	Pacers	-$49	02-11 02:55
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$78	49	49	+0	No	+$3	03-15 22:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$6	04-22 00:06
scop abe cel 2026 02 04 cel	3	$70	37	37	+0	Yes	+$4	03-04 21:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$66	45	45	+0	Yes	+$11	09-16 18:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$66	75	38	+37	No	-$6	03-23 14:49
nba cha sas 2026 03 14	2	$63	33	33	+0	Spurs	+$3	03-14 22:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:15 UTC	2	$62	44	44	+1	Down	+$22	02-09 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 02:34:37	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x123480…
11-07 02:12:16	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x72e8dc…
11-03 23:33:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3f3246…
10-31 17:51:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x56b471…
10-31 17:51:00	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd353ae…
10-30 00:50:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xb94bed…
10-28 09:04:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x07c575…
10-28 00:46:41	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf18f3d…
10-26 23:28:02	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x709f29…
10-26 23:27:12	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x27b1d0…
10-26 00:24:11	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x94d272…
10-26 00:23:51	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xe5b973…
10-20 21:00:08	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0xab58a4…
10-19 22:40:36	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x85d38e…
10-19 22:39:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x654d21…
10-19 22:39:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xb1f378…
10-07 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xf5e0a3…
10-07 14:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf1ff6e…
10-06 23:56:56	Nets vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xdff391…
10-06 23:39:07	Nets vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf3dc3…
10-06 23:38:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x68dedb…
10-06 18:34:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8fe556…
10-06 13:31:31	Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd2ac90…
10-06 13:31:31	Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x399bf8…
10-05 15:21:34	wta gauff su 2026 10 04	Xinran Sun	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd24453…
10-05 15:04:55	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa702a3…
10-05 12:10:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x8c2bc5…
10-05 12:09:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa6f175…
09-30 17:19:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x9c64f0…
09-29 23:23:29	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x7ddf15…
09-29 21:41:47	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4d42f1…
09-29 16:56:30	atp tiffon lokoli 2026 09 28	Laurent Lokoli	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf0e12b…
09-29 16:18:38	atp tiffon lokoli 2026 09 28	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd359d7…
09-29 16:17:08	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb910c2…
09-29 15:01:05	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe68e55…
09-29 15:01:05	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xd317d8…
09-29 14:21:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb8b95b…
09-29 14:20:33	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfa11ad…
09-28 23:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x70711a…
09-28 17:20:35	Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0xa02700…
09-28 17:17:38	Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xde2e0c…
09-28 12:42:00	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xa7e28a…
09-22 14:39:13	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1c8290…
09-22 14:38:52	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	8¢	$8	0x47281f…
09-22 14:19:01	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x21e245…
09-22 14:18:49	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x1ae7b9…
09-19 23:53:55	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf280a2…
09-19 20:47:54	Central Connecticut State vs. Montana State	Central Connecticut State	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfd8b24…
09-19 13:29:48	trump x greenland deal signed by september 25	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd5de5d…
09-19 13:29:38	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd78a88…
09-19 13:29:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd97ce4…
09-17 13:13:52	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6d3546…
09-16 19:34:43	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfd5f4a…
09-16 19:33:45	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe5c496…
09-16 18:07:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x198f54…
09-16 18:07:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6895ce…
09-16 16:02:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x412e57…
09-16 12:09:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x09ff1f…
09-15 22:43:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$7	0x1d587b…
09-15 22:42:57	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf10161…
09-15 13:24:54	will wti reach 115 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe9795b…
09-15 11:28:21	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0e5ac0…
09-14 18:07:51	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd75494…
09-14 18:01:27	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x14bded…
09-14 00:25:09	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc599a3…
09-14 00:22:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x0e78f1…
09-13 15:15:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdd475c…
09-11 15:13:43	Spain vs. USA	USA	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x34ef05…
09-11 15:12:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8d12bc…
09-11 15:07:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x4856f2…
09-09 22:35:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xffe69f…
09-09 22:33:58	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	16¢	$20	0x93b686…
04-22 21:41:10	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0x51f8ce…
04-22 20:18:20	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xfa6337…
04-22 20:16:32	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5577f8…
04-22 19:16:10	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xed422d…
04-22 19:15:56	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xfe3245…
04-22 10:26:54	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x699f10…
04-22 00:33:56	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xfc9a4e…
04-22 00:33:52	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0xa34162…
04-22 00:09:10	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x0b0302…
04-22 00:06:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x18213a…
04-22 00:05:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1b727f…
04-21 20:14:40	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x5d12cd…
04-21 19:32:04	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x381732…
04-21 19:31:44	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x10ba37…
04-21 19:03:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x08446d…
04-21 19:03:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xb0707c…
04-21 18:26:02	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	No	SELL	279	0¢	$0	0x35f4c4…
04-21 10:19:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x9d80ac…
04-21 10:18:48	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x31f80b…
04-21 01:05:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x06321d…
04-20 19:33:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x0c11de…
04-20 19:32:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x43275e…
04-20 18:25:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 4c	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x1c00bf…
04-20 16:50:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x47669a…
04-20 12:09:52	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	No	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x948817…
04-20 11:44:28	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f8152…
04-20 11:44:12	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 3c	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x1643fa…
04-19 23:28:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 3c	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb71231…