Realized P&L
-$7.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$428
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
560
Trades
2,714
lifetime
Volume
$139.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$11.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 13:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Sports
38% 41% -$3,683
Other
30% 35% -$2,915
Crypto
18% 40% -$1,386
Politics
12% 40% +$319
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$118
Tech
1% 33% +$240
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,557 $1,476 65¢ $1.7K +$181 10-26 12:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,961 $1,120 72¢ $1.4K +$292 08-22 23:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,035 $883 94¢ $978 +$95 10-25 13:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +985 $675 96¢ $945 +$270 09-13 13:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +832 $630 94¢ $787 +$156 10-23 17:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2,664 $1,061 28¢ $746 -$315 08-20 00:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +680 $458 97¢ $660 +$201 09-18 19:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +700 $446 64¢ $444 -$2 10-26 12:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +650 $507 65¢ $422 -$84 10-24 12:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $347 96¢ $384 +$37 10-23 12:22
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +301 $142 94¢ $281 +$140 08-08 17:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +324 $183 84¢ $272 +$89 09-04 23:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $258 88¢ $266 +$8 10-19 13:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +700 $175 35¢ $245 +$70 10-18 09:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $249 82¢ $244 -$5 10-21 21:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,981 $396 12¢ $228 -$169 10-05 10:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +200 $100 99¢ $197 +$97 09-04 20:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +540 $249 35¢ $190 -$59 10-08 07:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +194 $152 96¢ $186 +$34 07-24 13:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +199 $150 84¢ $167 +$17 09-14 21:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +320 $221 51¢ $163 -$58 08-27 17:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +846 $128 18¢ $157 +$28 08-27 07:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +239 $53 49¢ $117 +$64 08-27 17:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +103 $95 94¢ $97 +$2 08-11 18:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,304 $519 4¢ $93 -$426 08-24 08:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,564 $318 6¢ $86 -$232 10-27 13:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +82 $44 92¢ $75 +$31 07-23 15:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +200 $84 34¢ $69 -$15 09-16 08:20
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +746 $94 8¢ $63 -$31 08-26 02:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +73 $44 74¢ $54 +$10 07-18 04:07