Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$529

Unrealized P&L

+$118

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

$112

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-13 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

57% 88% +$387

Other

43% 69% +$142

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-535	-$150	16¢	$-88	+$62	05-19 09:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-1,205	-$80	2¢	$-23	+$56	05-19 09:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$1.9K	991	991	+0	No	+$38	03-12 15:03
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$1.6K	904	904	+0	No	+$44	03-08 22:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$1.4K	3,536	1,373	+2,163	No	-$65	03-08 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$1.2K	2,093	2,093	+0	No	+$17	03-14 13:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$16	01-31 11:21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$868	643	502	+141	Yes	+$76	02-27 13:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	10	$858	581	581	+0	Yes	+$51	02-28 06:28
will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	3	$812	437	437	+0	No	+$53	02-26 14:42
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$742	2,014	1,579	+435	No	-$58	03-14 13:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$419	250	250	+0	No	+$19	03-30 07:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$412	294	294	+0	Yes	+$12	03-12 15:05
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	2	$407	250	250	+0	Yes	+$7	03-08 09:14
will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	2	$342	8,069	8,069	+0	No	+$142	02-25 03:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$304	224	224	+0	Yes	+$54	03-29 19:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$276	0	2,303	-2,303	No	+$276	05-19 09:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$241	564	564	+0	No	+$41	02-08 07:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$228	135	135	+0	Yes	+$28	04-05 10:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$225	313	313	+0	Yes	+$25	03-19 11:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$221	237	237	+0	Yes	+$21	03-07 17:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$218	119	119	+0	Yes	+$18	03-09 01:44
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$218	119	119	+0	No	+$18	03-29 06:29
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	3	$216	145	145	+0	No	+$16	02-27 05:20
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$214	152	152	+0	Yes	+$14	02-27 05:15
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$208	111	111	+0	No	+$8	02-25 15:06
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	2	$205	119	119	+0	No	+$5	01-31 19:36
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	2	$204	116	116	+0	Yes	+$4	02-25 18:12
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$203	312	312	+0	Yes	+$3	03-08 09:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$202	104	104	+0	No	+$2	01-31 19:50
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$201	112	112	+0	No	+$1	01-31 19:37
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$201	109	109	+0	No	+$1	01-31 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 15:37:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	319	30¢	$96	0xf2d642…
10-13 07:02:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	319	31¢	$99	0x5bc296…
05-19 09:49:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,146	7¢	$76	0xd1d0b1…
05-19 09:49:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,205	7¢	$80	0x3644f7…
05-19 09:49:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	535	28¢	$150	0x709214…
05-19 09:49:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,303	12¢	$276	0xadeef7…
05-07 17:55:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,146	10¢	$110	0x253243…
04-05 10:07:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	135	95¢	$128	0x4db82e…
03-30 07:28:30	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x1bb934…
03-29 19:50:56	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	224	80¢	$179	0xf6246a…
03-29 06:29:18	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0xdaeb5f…
03-21 09:17:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	224	56¢	$125	0x29d767…
03-19 11:42:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	313	40¢	$125	0xd98474…
03-14 13:25:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	249	76¢	$190	0x067779…
03-14 13:24:43	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xb1bc00…
03-14 13:19:51	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x13f925…
03-14 13:18:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9550d7…
03-14 13:17:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xbca5bd…
03-14 13:11:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	1,579	22¢	$342	0xeb57ab…
03-14 13:11:01	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	1,042	34¢	$356	0x429275…
03-12 18:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	1,579	19¢	$300	0x6d7552…
03-12 18:39:57	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	1,042	29¢	$300	0x6867fd…
03-12 18:39:47	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	1,050	25¢	$261	0x50fa26…
03-12 18:39:37	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	1,050	29¢	$300	0xf8a09c…
03-12 15:09:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	133	78¢	$104	0x9a4732…
03-12 15:05:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	294	72¢	$212	0xbaae1b…
03-12 15:03:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	991	98¢	$969	0x9c5c6d…
03-10 15:39:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	991	94¢	$931	0x0c06f9…
03-09 01:44:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0xcf9fb3…
03-08 22:06:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	904	90¢	$813	0x253ca7…
03-08 09:15:25	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	312	33¢	$103	0x26dd89…
03-08 09:14:01	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	250	83¢	$207	0x890c2b…
03-08 09:12:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	904	85¢	$769	0xef8ba2…
03-08 05:39:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	237	50¢	$118	0xfd07de…
03-07 17:06:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	237	51¢	$121	0xba7b88…
03-07 16:07:27	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xa147d0…
03-07 16:01:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xd410f6…
03-07 15:18:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0xb81ac8…
03-07 15:17:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x563454…
03-07 15:16:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8b367b…
03-07 15:14:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xbc8101…
03-07 15:14:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc8e823…
03-07 15:11:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x41f6f3…
03-07 07:15:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	1,136	50¢	$568	0xc1ab61…
03-02 17:49:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	1,136	11¢	$125	0x01fc82…
03-01 17:46:43	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	2,163	24¢	$527	0xcc2f72…
02-28 06:28:35	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xf71fbf…
02-27 13:25:47	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	502	80¢	$402	0xb909bd…
02-27 10:37:21	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	502	73¢	$367	0x6dc752…
02-27 05:20:22	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	69	80¢	$56	0xddfe4e…
02-27 05:15:02	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	152	75¢	$114	0xbaa182…
02-27 05:14:24	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	75	80¢	$60	0x7b73f1…
02-26 23:35:02	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	301	0¢	$0	0xcf5cfb…
02-26 17:20:56	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x033ad9…
02-26 17:20:50	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x04087b…
02-26 16:47:04	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7ddfdf…
02-26 16:37:18	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x335f33…
02-26 16:24:24	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x17638a…
02-26 16:02:10	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x47242f…
02-26 16:00:40	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe3e9ab…
02-26 15:07:40	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xec637e…
02-26 15:07:18	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x25b12f…
02-26 14:45:34	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf0150b…
02-26 14:42:36	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	SELL	362	99¢	$358	0xac369f…
02-26 14:41:44	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xa9b888…
02-25 18:12:18	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	Yes	SELL	116	90¢	$104	0xa33049…
02-25 15:07:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	78¢	$108	0xf1d9cc…
02-25 15:06:38	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x0fb478…
02-25 15:00:58	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	BUY	437	87¢	$380	0x8e38c7…
02-25 03:30:34	will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	Yes	SELL	8,069	3¢	$242	0xdf4be5…
02-23 17:22:28	will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	Yes	BUY	8,069	1¢	$100	0xc2c309…
02-23 17:20:08	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x02ddb4…
02-20 16:47:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	76¢	$97	0xbbc4b8…
02-18 17:53:00	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0f0450…
02-18 11:45:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xdfef91…
02-18 11:45:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	70¢	$123	0x609698…
02-18 11:44:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0xe453db…
02-18 11:43:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x6076c2…
02-18 11:42:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	70¢	$63	0x3e5306…
02-09 11:26:45	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	62¢	$195	0x600322…
02-08 07:51:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	564	25¢	$141	0xadeffd…
02-06 22:49:47	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x80e404…
02-05 09:41:19	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xfca030…
02-04 17:59:19	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	60¢	$40	0xc73ed0…
02-04 17:31:55	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	50¢	$33	0xd6ac97…
02-04 10:16:22	will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	No	SELL	67	50¢	$33	0x408e17…
02-01 12:13:00	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x28c72f…
02-01 12:11:08	will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xfbb61f…
01-31 20:35:42	will the us strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0xd33be5…
01-31 20:07:38	will the us strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x99ccc6…
01-31 20:05:24	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	564	18¢	$100	0xae781a…
01-31 20:01:32	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x2861f9…
01-31 20:00:44	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xd9751f…
01-31 19:58:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x19e70d…
01-31 19:52:26	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf10fec…
01-31 19:50:02	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x5c5f3c…
01-31 19:48:18	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xc63135…
01-31 19:37:28	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0x44e42c…
01-31 19:37:22	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	SELL	112	90¢	$101	0xa3349c…
01-31 19:36:42	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	SELL	119	88¢	$105	0x5c266a…