Rude-Tug — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

684 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$323

$3.84K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-23 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 41% -$398

Other

26% 46% -$229

Politics

6% 50% +$4

Sports

1% 100% +$40

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	3	$203	295	295	+0	Yes	+$3	01-26 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	16	$143	150	137	+13	Up	+$43	04-27 20:24
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$138	106	106	+0	No	-$12	01-24 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:35 UTC	5	$83	224	0	+224	Up	-$83	03-14 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:40 UTC	3	$77	50	49	+1	Down	+$21	03-14 11:45
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$75	156	0	+156	Yes	-$75	01-22 08:23
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$73	241	0	+241	No	-$73	01-26 21:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$68	90	0	+90	No	+$22	03-02 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:30 UTC	3	$60	139	0	+139	Up	-$60	03-14 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$58	70	30	+40	Up	-$2	10-22 16:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$50	333	0	+333	No	-$50	01-26 12:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$50	109	0	+109	Yes	+$59	01-26 12:10
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$50	73	0	+73	No	+$23	02-28 08:05
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	01-22 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$49	48	27	+21	Down	+$19	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$48	50	25	+25	Up	+$26	04-27 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$48	60	60	+0	Up	+$4	04-30 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:30 UTC	9	$45	389	0	+389	Down	-$45	03-14 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$42	64	25	+39	Down	-$4	04-27 20:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	9	$41	70	30	+40	Up	-$16	04-30 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$40	40	40	+0	Up	+$5	04-30 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$39	250	0	+250	Down	-$39	10-22 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	10	$39	76	37	+39	Up	-$16	04-27 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:15 UTC	2	$38	64	0	+64	Up	+$26	03-13 15:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$38	50	50	+0	No	-$30	10-23 13:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$37	100	0	+100	No	-$37	07-14 07:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$36	40	10	+30	Down	+$11	04-30 10:53
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$36	39	39	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:05 UTC	2	$35	74	0	+74	Up	-$35	03-13 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$35	50	40	+10	Down	-$4	04-30 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 13:44:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf7be66…
10-23 13:32:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xd1e69e…
10-23 13:32:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x648333…
10-23 13:31:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6ee260…
10-23 13:30:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x07522b…
10-22 17:36:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1b8a24…
10-22 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4170a8…
10-22 17:26:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xae5ace…
10-22 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7c9330…
10-22 17:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xa9fdc4…
10-22 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xee7df0…
10-22 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xa852f2…
10-22 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xa2a4e2…
10-22 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x80f9d0…
10-22 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x087039…
10-22 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa7350f…
10-22 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xaa2ec7…
10-22 17:16:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4f5973…
10-22 17:16:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x49a8f4…
10-22 17:16:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8b3809…
10-22 17:16:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90b893…
10-22 17:16:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x32c30a…
10-22 17:16:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6095a7…
10-22 17:13:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x161591…
10-22 17:13:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x53b560…
10-22 17:12:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2c825a…
10-22 17:08:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x12eaee…
10-22 17:08:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd38ebb…
10-22 17:08:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe7ee76…
10-22 17:08:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x0b59c3…
10-22 17:08:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9e3894…
10-22 17:07:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa6b66d…
10-22 17:07:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4cb488…
10-22 17:07:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcc130b…
10-22 17:06:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xaa0394…
10-22 17:06:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x222cb8…
10-22 16:33:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xbcba03…
10-22 16:32:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5e0157…
10-22 16:28:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xea1c8f…
10-22 16:28:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xed3c9b…
10-22 16:28:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc77445…
10-22 16:28:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x82d29d…
10-22 16:28:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x3aface…
10-22 16:28:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xa6a567…
10-22 16:26:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xed98e6…
10-22 16:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x180e89…
10-22 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x09ff7e…
10-22 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xf9d68d…
10-22 16:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x565e27…
10-22 16:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xaa2ce3…
10-22 16:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2b18a9…
10-22 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7c828d…
10-22 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd8da6b…
10-22 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x48d7c0…
10-22 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2c5b68…
10-22 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1dbfc7…
10-20 19:31:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xe48aef…
10-20 19:31:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x5f04e0…
10-20 19:31:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xf6981f…
10-20 19:31:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x3c2922…
10-20 19:30:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd46d33…
10-20 19:29:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xab9cda…
10-20 19:27:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xa77215…
10-20 10:17:21	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x90699c…
10-20 10:16:48	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x695d04…
10-20 08:17:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x53136e…
09-25 07:06:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x5571c8…
07-20 14:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4aee81…
07-20 14:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xb337ad…
07-20 14:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb7b628…
07-14 11:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x077216…
07-14 11:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x620dff…
07-14 11:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5acbaf…
07-14 11:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x9ca8cb…
07-14 11:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x34ccad…
07-14 11:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb48bae…
07-14 11:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x57131f…
07-14 11:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3d4205…
07-14 11:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xacda1c…
07-14 11:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x6814fb…
07-14 11:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf62bc4…
07-14 11:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xc4a43d…
07-14 11:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x26aeae…
07-14 11:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xaeb541…
07-14 11:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0473bd…
07-14 11:33:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xd63250…
07-14 11:33:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc860f6…
07-14 11:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xbdd380…
07-14 11:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x15d9bf…
07-14 11:31:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x970f37…
07-14 11:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe203fa…
07-14 07:58:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xddcbce…
06-24 08:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc83e46…
06-24 08:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xda0bed…
06-24 08:07:53	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x7b3613…
06-11 08:12:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x82e0cb…
06-11 08:09:43	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4d5eb8…
06-11 08:06:40	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x21dbbb…
06-05 08:28:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x26b360…
05-29 00:59:42	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xba4164…