Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

131

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$433

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 08-22 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 79% +$4

Other

23% 70% -$43

Politics

10% 88% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-6	-$5	98¢	$-5	$0	06-11 18:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	5	$19	395	0	+395	Yes	-$19	04-29 02:38
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	3	$11	21	5	+16	No	-$1	06-13 20:57
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-11 20:33
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:20
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	+$6	04-24 16:59
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Under	-$10	07-11 12:00
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	07-11 12:01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-27 16:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$7	8	4	+5	Down	-$1	04-27 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	6	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	08-22 20:53
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+1	Down	+$1	04-26 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	04-25 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	04-25 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:35 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	04-24 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:20 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-24 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:05 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-24 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:40 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-24 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	510	0	+510	Up	-$5	04-25 06:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	06-11 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 01:27
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	04-24 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:35 UTC	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	08-22 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-25 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-25 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:20 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	04-24 16:24
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	06-11 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-25 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-25 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 21:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1968b1…
08-22 20:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x531ed1…
08-22 20:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeac21d…
08-22 20:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xffe57f…
08-22 20:50:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4aa62f…
08-22 20:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe5fdc1…
08-22 20:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x690177…
08-22 20:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa13fa8…
08-22 20:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xae6261…
08-22 20:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xde0ab3…
08-22 20:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x680b9f…
08-22 20:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd7d3b3…
07-11 12:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa6a616…
07-11 12:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x271245…
07-11 12:01:02	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb77dce…
07-11 12:00:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xdb65f2…
06-14 14:33:37	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0xafa13f…
06-13 20:57:55	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa8db89…
06-13 20:57:48	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x7f71f7…
06-13 20:57:28	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x00767f…
06-13 17:13:55	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xeeb216…
06-13 17:13:46	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8fd382…
06-11 20:33:31	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x97a4f8…
06-11 18:37:09	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x975a83…
06-11 18:32:13	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x45b7b7…
06-11 18:31:55	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa5e635…
05-10 16:20:11	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xebca25…
05-04 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xb89ec4…
05-04 13:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x550511…
05-04 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4808cc…
05-04 13:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x22a363…
05-04 10:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x984778…
05-04 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5e246c…
05-04 10:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x12e7ac…
05-04 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0edf73…
05-04 08:27:04	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3e9bc7…
05-04 08:26:34	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8bb2cf…
05-04 06:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8286a…
05-01 15:46:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd875ae…
05-01 15:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaaee7d…
05-01 15:41:36	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3d67c…
05-01 15:33:10	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb89317…
05-01 14:10:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x392a8d…
05-01 12:31:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xf62ecd…
05-01 12:28:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x03a69e…
05-01 12:26:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x86ab53…
05-01 11:35:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd9a694…
05-01 10:50:48	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd08332…
05-01 10:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc1d125…
05-01 10:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2cd294…
04-30 15:44:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xae5722…
04-30 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x60950f…
04-30 03:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21ab72…
04-30 03:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c7f08…
04-30 03:36:38	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0786d4…
04-30 03:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa237d6…
04-30 03:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ea667…
04-30 03:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c1dec…
04-29 16:31:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x09e88e…
04-29 16:30:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd66749…
04-29 16:28:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2355c0…
04-29 11:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x94a874…
04-29 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde64ca…
04-29 11:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x3e6852…
04-29 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb9b8d…
04-29 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x97c239…
04-29 10:21:42	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbce709…
04-29 02:38:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x76c4a1…
04-29 02:34:18	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0938c5…
04-28 15:41:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x551188…
04-28 15:39:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0x2d477d…
04-28 07:55:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	217	4¢	$8	0xf953c4…
04-28 07:40:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfb56c5…
04-28 06:31:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x355d95…
04-28 06:22:20	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb17d12…
04-28 06:12:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3665a6…
04-28 06:12:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34e90b…
04-28 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x6e90f7…
04-28 01:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2a1ec1…
04-28 01:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2bb7e4…
04-28 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x111586…
04-28 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x07c8ca…
04-28 01:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x59c85e…
04-28 01:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x220bbb…
04-27 16:57:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2a0c1…
04-27 16:57:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x37b9bd…
04-27 15:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x8436c9…
04-27 15:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9b8b5e…
04-27 15:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x785776…
04-27 15:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee7718…
04-27 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4183ee…
04-27 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x59f01e…
04-27 14:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e076d…
04-27 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xed1bbe…
04-27 14:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8fa72a…
04-27 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x75e68e…
04-27 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0bf617…
04-27 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6c12ac…
04-27 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x79d5fe…
04-27 14:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x95e2d0…