Frozen-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 60% $-1

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-10 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	$-5	05-07 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-08 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-07 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-08 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-10 17:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-10 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:28:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88d2e9…
05-10 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08cea7…
05-08 21:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a7128…
05-08 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8998b0…
05-08 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28dfa2…
05-07 20:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xff5f04…
05-07 20:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xce45ed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	5	$965	17	05-08 21:11
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$803	36	05-10 17:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$1.25K	14	05-08 21:06