Frozen-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-07 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 59% +$1

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1783274100	7	$13	19	11	+8	open	—	07-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 21:25
btc updown 5m 1783367100	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	07-06 19:49
btc updown 5m 1783367400	5	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	07-06 19:54
btc updown 5m 1783274700	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	07-05 18:09
btc updown 5m 1783368300	7	$9	15	12	+2	open	—	07-06 20:09
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 15:00
btc updown 5m 1783368900	5	$6	8	5	+3	open	—	07-06 20:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	05-25 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-07 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-06 20:12
btc updown 5m 1783273800	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-05 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-07 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	06-01 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:53
btc updown 5m 1783367700	3	$4	35	2	+33	open	—	07-06 19:58
btc updown 5m 1783457400	4	$4	13	3	+11	open	—	07-07 20:53
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	07-07 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:47
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$3	0	10	-10	open	—	07-07 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:39
btc updown 5m 1783452900	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	07-07 19:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-08 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-10 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-08 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-07 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 21:10:40	btc updown 5m 1783458600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x04b145…
07-07 21:09:08	btc updown 5m 1783458300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x143d85…
07-07 20:56:55	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x38ad12…
07-07 20:53:56	btc updown 5m 1783457400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x565ba8…
07-07 20:53:47	btc updown 5m 1783457400	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1e408d…
07-07 20:53:37	btc updown 5m 1783457400	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xc7cd11…
07-07 20:53:23	btc updown 5m 1783457400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1b71a9…
07-07 19:40:52	btc updown 5m 1783453200	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x59a89e…
07-07 19:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783452900	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x410e7a…
07-07 19:39:11	btc updown 5m 1783452900	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x13412a…
07-07 17:41:26	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x885210…
07-06 20:20:35	btc updown 5m 1783369200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x40cb21…
07-06 20:18:56	btc updown 5m 1783368900	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xddcadf…
07-06 20:18:47	btc updown 5m 1783368900	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x12adee…
07-06 20:17:35	btc updown 5m 1783368900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9e64ed…
07-06 20:17:29	btc updown 5m 1783368900	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xc51f7a…
07-06 20:16:26	btc updown 5m 1783368900	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x07d266…
07-06 20:10:25	btc updown 5m 1783368600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7eefd4…
07-06 20:09:34	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x489b9c…
07-06 20:09:26	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xdc789a…
07-06 20:08:50	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe0320e…
07-06 20:08:46	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x7d5ca8…
07-06 20:07:28	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8b4c57…
07-06 20:07:19	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xc0227d…
07-06 20:06:16	btc updown 5m 1783368300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f1af7…
07-06 20:01:23	btc updown 5m 1783368000	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x413183…
07-06 20:00:38	btc updown 5m 1783368000	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x919243…
07-06 19:58:55	btc updown 5m 1783367700	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf48cd1…
07-06 19:58:47	btc updown 5m 1783367700	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb6d770…
07-06 19:55:40	btc updown 5m 1783367700	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xafa31a…
07-06 19:54:47	btc updown 5m 1783367400	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x94864a…
07-06 19:54:04	btc updown 5m 1783367400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe21e42…
07-06 19:52:38	btc updown 5m 1783367400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaa62ac…
07-06 19:52:19	btc updown 5m 1783367400	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xcaaa27…
07-06 19:51:02	btc updown 5m 1783367400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x63955f…
07-06 19:49:55	btc updown 5m 1783367100	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xb17fa1…
07-06 19:49:05	btc updown 5m 1783367100	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfa70f6…
07-05 18:09:23	btc updown 5m 1783274700	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x01e3b1…
07-05 18:07:26	btc updown 5m 1783274700	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4b7082…
07-05 18:07:10	btc updown 5m 1783274700	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x650c61…
07-05 18:06:26	btc updown 5m 1783274700	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x815c0b…
07-05 18:04:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x815f83…
07-05 17:58:26	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x507a84…
07-05 17:56:58	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x653a94…
07-05 17:56:43	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x8abd8d…
07-05 17:56:31	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6deaa2…
07-05 17:56:16	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa0d93c…
07-05 17:56:08	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x352b43…
07-05 17:55:34	btc updown 5m 1783274100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1beb43…
07-05 17:51:02	btc updown 5m 1783273800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd0a269…
07-05 17:46:04	btc updown 5m 1783273500	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x627b30…
06-01 16:00:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x185677…
05-25 10:07:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xe32f1f…
05-25 10:07:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x17c414…
05-17 20:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf05908…
05-16 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb5f825…
05-16 19:28:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x083925…
05-15 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xccc186…
05-15 15:00:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x7218b2…
05-14 20:55:40	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x846989…
05-11 19:55:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc0042f…
05-10 19:28:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88d2e9…
05-10 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3e76fc…
05-10 19:20:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x10751c…
05-10 17:41:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xee6385…
05-10 17:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x71181e…
05-10 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08cea7…
05-10 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x161b9d…
05-10 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x78da07…
05-10 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x25ccf5…
05-10 16:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc23e17…
05-10 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x89421d…
05-10 16:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x48c391…
05-10 16:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6d2a1d…
05-10 16:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x224bac…
05-10 16:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x48d336…
05-09 07:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd9f2d1…
05-08 21:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7a42d7…
05-08 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x111ce6…
05-08 21:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8bc76…
05-08 21:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a7128…
05-08 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8998b0…
05-08 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28dfa2…
05-08 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x065d23…
05-07 20:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xff5f04…
05-07 20:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xce45ed…
05-07 20:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd690fb…
05-06 21:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8e01cb…
05-06 20:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x73f842…
05-06 20:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc621e9…
05-06 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x87eee1…
05-06 20:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa52998…
05-06 20:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x32fed8…