Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$202

Unrealized P&L

+$761

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

102

260 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$103.4K

$149.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$575

Open exposure

$56.2K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-06 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% +$303

Politics

3% 100% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+53,575	$52,235	98¢	$52.6K	+$402	10-28 02:08
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	+1,550	$1,520	99¢	$1.5K	+$13	11-06 03:09
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1,144	$1,053	93¢	$1.1K	+$12	11-04 10:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-24,779	-$758	2¢	$-434	+$324	10-25 03:43
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+276	$265	97¢	$267	+$2	11-02 14:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+117	$111	98¢	$114	+$3	10-24 00:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+73	$68	98¢	$72	+$3	10-14 09:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$34	88¢	$35	+$2	11-02 20:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	84	$138.8K	99,302	70,506	+28,796	open	—	10-28 02:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2.2K	2,311	0	+2,311	Yes	+$150	10-27 02:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.6K	1,686	0	+1,686	No	+$42	10-29 06:06
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,550	0	+1,550	open	—	11-06 03:09
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	11	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	open	—	11-04 10:47
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	2	$414	230	230	+0	open	—	10-25 22:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$265	276	0	+276	open	—	11-02 14:29
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	6	$214	218	0	+218	No	+$4	08-25 15:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$157	143	71	+71	Yes	+$18	07-07 14:17
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	2	$151	88	88	+0	Over	+$25	07-03 04:24
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$143	84	84	+0	Portugal	-$15	07-03 01:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$111	117	0	+117	open	—	10-24 00:42
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	2	$93	50	50	+0	Over	+$6	07-06 01:40
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	1	$91	100	0	+100	Switzerland	+$9	07-12 01:10
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	1	$89	100	0	+100	Over	+$11	07-15 14:47
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	2	$89	100	0	+100	Over	+$11	07-12 01:08
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 2pt5	1	$87	100	0	+100	England	+$13	07-18 15:45
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	1	$87	100	0	+100	Over	+$13	07-18 15:46
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$85	100	0	+100	Argentina	+$15	07-15 14:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$80	100	0	+100	Argentina	+$20	07-19 14:17
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	2	$71	40	40	+0	Over	+$9	07-03 00:55
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	1	$70	100	0	+100	Under	-$70	07-19 14:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$68	73	0	+73	open	—	10-14 09:12
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$66	100	0	+100	Spain	+$34	07-06 15:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	11-01 00:36
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$63	70	0	+70	Norway	+$7	07-11 15:54
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$60	70	0	+70	Morocco	+$10	07-08 14:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$59	100	0	+100	Spain	+$41	07-19 14:17
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	1	$57	70	0	+70	Over	+$13	07-11 15:53
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$57	70	0	+70	Spain	+$13	07-14 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:09:16	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd66e41…
11-04 10:47:57	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xf71fea…
11-03 00:19:09	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,470	0xcacd05…
11-02 20:58:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$32	0x93fb8f…
11-02 14:29:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	235	97¢	$227	0x2783f0…
11-01 06:36:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4e0879…
11-01 00:36:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xb33da2…
11-01 00:23:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0x9bd679…
10-30 04:58:10	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x8bf475…
10-30 04:42:25	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x953ec8…
10-30 04:35:28	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x541f2a…
10-30 04:14:01	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5b4843…
10-30 04:05:55	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5439d1…
10-29 16:11:50	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	182	92¢	$168	0xe1e4d0…
10-29 16:11:49	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	127	92¢	$117	0x922f08…
10-29 16:07:29	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xfc8e35…
10-29 14:40:28	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	458	92¢	$422	0x8a1b20…
10-29 14:40:26	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0x3c92a3…
10-29 06:06:46	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,307	99¢	$1,289	0xb2a52f…
10-28 02:08:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x79ae5c…
10-28 02:08:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf38116…
10-27 13:23:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xc24ae2…
10-27 02:34:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,300	94¢	$2,153	0xbaa3dd…
10-27 00:57:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7bee24…
10-27 00:55:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa818c7…
10-27 00:48:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xc1c9d8…
10-27 00:32:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x35f53d…
10-27 00:07:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x3c785e…
10-27 00:07:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0x94dadd…
10-26 23:43:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5772b7…
10-26 23:37:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xec5343…
10-26 23:22:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$576	0xafde99…
10-26 23:14:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x775ea6…
10-26 23:13:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x33c3c1…
10-26 23:09:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5,147	96¢	$4,932	0xfb0365…
10-26 22:44:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x373735…
10-26 00:11:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x926d13…
10-25 23:35:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$209	0xb9254b…
10-25 22:29:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	230	91¢	$209	0xf052dd…
10-25 05:09:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	344	96¢	$330	0xab641c…
10-25 03:43:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,010	3¢	$330	0xab524e…
10-25 00:13:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,360	97¢	$1,316	0x0ccb95…
10-24 00:42:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7c9928…
10-24 00:41:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14,000	3¢	$364	0x698ba8…
10-24 00:19:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x5c78a2…
10-23 02:45:33	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xfe6564…
10-22 23:05:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x925517…
10-22 08:03:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x53d12e…
10-18 18:54:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xce8a84…
10-17 11:07:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x033ddf…
10-16 01:16:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xee7517…
10-15 07:00:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xcc7164…
10-14 09:12:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x75a162…
10-13 03:46:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xfbd680…
10-11 01:38:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x3728a8…
10-07 11:23:07	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x25e163…
10-06 08:19:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0xc32b57…
10-03 20:11:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	230	89¢	$205	0x7157f8…
10-02 01:59:50	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	54	86¢	$46	0x7cf73e…
09-25 01:32:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc7b22a…
09-23 12:53:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe5e695…
09-22 17:49:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x5f958f…
09-21 18:31:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2e3721…
09-21 10:05:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1977e2…
09-17 08:30:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x8d87fe…
09-16 16:15:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9f63ec…
09-14 20:38:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xeb40e4…
09-12 12:28:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xbe609b…
09-12 12:28:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7bfc92…
09-09 08:50:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xd8dab6…
09-07 08:20:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xcbefd8…
09-04 12:37:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x80e0d8…
09-03 13:03:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xc45c78…
08-25 15:07:21	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd0fc62…
08-25 15:04:15	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x961e73…
08-25 15:00:52	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xa3d0d7…
08-25 01:42:22	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x30d447…
08-24 03:51:09	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdf34df…
08-24 01:16:21	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0xe63c7c…
08-22 22:14:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	4,793	96¢	$4,592	0x95b71d…
08-22 20:40:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xca32bb…
08-22 20:22:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbf047a…
08-22 20:22:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x616cc7…
08-22 17:50:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0xee6afc…
08-22 17:49:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0xb5ff19…
08-22 14:53:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd0b938…
08-22 14:48:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc27914…
08-22 14:02:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90f337…
08-22 14:00:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8b72b…
08-22 11:15:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0bba7a…
08-22 10:00:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc14886…
08-22 08:41:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4b61df…
08-22 08:31:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4156e7…
08-22 08:15:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	465	96¢	$445	0xe36730…
08-22 08:14:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	49,337	96¢	$47,264	0x73187c…
08-22 07:46:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	291	96¢	$279	0x4dcf8f…
08-22 05:00:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa83f42…
08-22 01:01:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x96d234…
08-22 00:08:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,262	96¢	$1,209	0x6f7cda…
08-21 21:11:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x7e93a0…