Candid-Donkey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$331

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-18 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$16

Politics

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$913	470	470	+0	open	—	05-09 05:56
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$832	425	425	+0	open	—	04-24 06:54
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$572	295	295	+0	open	—	06-18 05:53
Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	1	$468	474	0	+474	FC Hermannstadt	+$6	05-11 08:53
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$460	469	0	+469	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 07:45
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$415	442	0	+442	open	—	04-24 06:59
uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$307	327	0	+327	open	—	04-09 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:53:19	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	295	97¢	$286	0x316d4c…
06-18 05:18:50	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	295	97¢	$286	0x727650…
05-11 08:53:48	Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	474	99¢	$468	0x1faf6d…
05-09 07:45:05	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	469	98¢	$460	0xdb6721…
05-09 05:56:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	97¢	$457	0xb0aae7…
05-09 05:14:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x35f0eb…
04-24 06:59:40	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	342	94¢	$321	0x57065d…
04-24 06:58:48	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x35e9a4…
04-24 06:54:20	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	425	98¢	$416	0x552557…
04-24 06:00:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	325	98¢	$318	0x586631…
04-24 05:59:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa9ba19…
04-09 06:50:39	uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	327	94¢	$307	0x99fa92…