Candid-Donkey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$383

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-30 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$16

Politics

35% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$913	470	470	+0	open	—	05-09 05:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$884	465	465	+0	open	—	07-30 06:51
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	2	$877	465	465	+0	open	—	07-30 08:05
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	2	$875	465	465	+0	open	—	07-23 06:36
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$866	460	460	+0	open	—	07-23 07:26
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	2	$865	450	450	+0	open	—	07-08 05:14
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$858	455	455	+0	open	—	07-08 06:51
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$832	425	425	+0	open	—	04-24 06:54
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$572	295	295	+0	open	—	06-18 05:53
Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	1	$468	474	0	+474	FC Hermannstadt	+$6	05-11 08:53
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$460	469	0	+469	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 07:45
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$415	442	0	+442	open	—	04-24 06:59
uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$307	327	0	+327	open	—	04-09 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 08:05:00	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	465	94¢	$438	0x6c826c…
07-30 07:24:56	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	465	94¢	$438	0x5e5ef8…
07-30 06:51:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	465	95¢	$442	0x879d0d…
07-30 05:53:35	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	465	95¢	$442	0xe6c9eb…
07-23 07:26:00	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	460	94¢	$433	0xb62935…
07-23 06:42:54	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	460	94¢	$433	0xeb69aa…
07-23 06:36:01	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	465	94¢	$435	0xf14975…
07-23 05:56:49	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	465	95¢	$440	0x700092…
07-08 06:51:38	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0x67cdd8…
07-08 06:13:17	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	455	94¢	$430	0x8a4886…
07-08 05:14:49	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	450	97¢	$435	0x7d364f…
07-08 03:23:29	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	450	96¢	$430	0xa0b55d…
06-18 05:53:19	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	295	97¢	$286	0x316d4c…
06-18 05:18:50	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	295	97¢	$286	0x727650…
05-11 08:53:48	Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	474	99¢	$468	0x1faf6d…
05-09 07:45:05	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	469	98¢	$460	0xdb6721…
05-09 05:56:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	97¢	$457	0xb0aae7…
05-09 05:14:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x35f0eb…
04-24 06:59:40	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	342	94¢	$321	0x57065d…
04-24 06:58:48	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x35e9a4…
04-24 06:54:20	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	425	98¢	$416	0x552557…
04-24 06:00:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	325	98¢	$318	0x586631…
04-24 05:59:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa9ba19…
04-09 06:50:39	uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	327	94¢	$307	0x99fa92…