Envious-Dumbwaiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

154

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$7.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-03 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

44% 98% +$62

Politics

31% 87% +$12

Crypto

14% 100% +$34

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$503	252	252	+0	No	+$1	10-16 03:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$464	252	252	+0	No	+$5	10-19 04:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$448	227	227	+0	No	+$6	08-31 13:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	2	$390	212	212	+0	No	+$0	10-04 04:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$365	259	259	+0	open	—	11-02 18:24
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$277	278	0	+278	No	+$1	06-26 06:42
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$249	250	0	+250	Yes	+$1	09-10 16:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$247	248	0	+248	No	+$1	09-05 14:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$247	248	0	+248	No	+$1	09-14 15:23
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	1	$246	247	0	+247	No	+$0	09-01 02:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	3	$224	230	0	+230	No	+$5	08-15 10:21
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	1	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$0	08-06 11:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$221	222	0	+222	No	+$1	08-22 00:08
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$220	222	0	+222	Yes	+$2	08-17 16:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	08-11 22:22
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$211	226	0	+226	Yes	+$16	08-04 22:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$200	275	0	+275	No	+$74	11-03 14:42
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$172	196	0	+196	Yes	+$23	05-16 17:07
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$161	84	84	+0	No	+$1	10-28 11:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$126	134	0	+134	No	+$8	05-18 22:00
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$122	62	62	+0	Yes	+$1	10-08 21:34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$120	61	61	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:53
grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	1	$109	133	0	+133	Yes	+$24	07-24 09:38
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-30 09:27
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$102	109	0	+109	Yes	+$7	05-25 16:30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	05-29 12:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$88	99	0	+99	No	-$88	06-29 13:48
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	04-01 10:54
will solana reach 200 in september 2026	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	09-29 08:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$74	99	20	+79	No	+$10	10-25 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:42:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x906cba…
11-03 14:42:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	66	73¢	$48	0xbec4d4…
11-03 14:42:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x9af9ef…
11-03 14:42:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xb1d50d…
11-03 14:41:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x620984…
11-02 18:24:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	259	71¢	$184	0x3da62f…
10-29 09:03:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5b6b92…
10-28 11:07:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0xe6bb4c…
10-28 08:33:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x3923e1…
10-27 18:11:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x3e9db6…
10-27 13:51:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb6b6e8…
10-25 23:10:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0xa0565e…
10-20 10:37:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	257	70¢	$180	0xe108f4…
10-19 04:54:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	252	93¢	$234	0x1289db…
10-18 02:13:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	252	91¢	$229	0xf4c3e8…
10-16 03:35:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x6628d9…
10-15 19:50:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x9fe767…
10-12 23:10:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x98cb8a…
10-09 18:40:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x70e396…
10-08 21:34:23	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x0a29de…
10-08 05:52:35	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xa06021…
10-05 05:58:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe7a1f9…
10-04 21:53:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x665c38…
10-04 04:02:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	212	92¢	$195	0x2f8cf5…
10-03 21:42:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x692692…
10-01 03:01:08	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3d90a…
09-30 11:59:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x627018…
09-29 09:26:12	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x84337f…
09-29 09:04:24	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x10a6fe…
09-29 08:27:18	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x035eea…
09-29 08:25:38	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb6ee3c…
09-28 16:21:51	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x400d03…
09-27 06:43:11	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4a17e6…
09-25 17:34:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	212	92¢	$195	0x7d3f36…
09-24 23:48:35	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x5a7701…
09-22 13:45:28	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae3106…
09-14 15:23:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	248	99¢	$247	0x850545…
09-10 16:44:19	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa2175c…
09-10 16:44:01	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x41bae7…
09-10 10:11:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5162c5…
09-09 23:54:06	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xb20e9f…
09-05 14:13:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	248	99¢	$247	0x9d3248…
09-01 02:48:40	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0x432141…
08-31 13:47:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xe47447…
08-31 13:23:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfbfe14…
08-30 20:22:33	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2bd074…
08-27 18:40:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	227	97¢	$221	0x685eb5…
08-25 17:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x14df1b…
08-25 17:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xe73b74…
08-23 00:41:13	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6bd7a…
08-22 00:08:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x9449b9…
08-17 18:21:15	Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5e27e…
08-17 16:53:19	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x16a2de…
08-16 23:55:27	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa0f924…
08-16 15:56:19	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xabe994…
08-15 10:21:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x022d95…
08-14 10:05:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a6058…
08-13 16:56:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	226	98¢	$220	0xfc5709…
08-12 00:23:25	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe50e0e…
08-11 22:22:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xe91d2f…
08-09 03:47:07	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4bf58…
08-06 11:15:38	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x152aa2…
08-04 22:38:00	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf72328…
08-04 22:22:18	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	226	93¢	$211	0x70e1a1…
08-04 17:05:24	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8295af…
07-31 06:52:00	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9ebcbc…
07-30 09:01:06	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x369f4e…
07-30 00:07:47	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x896384…
07-29 16:42:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa7c427…
07-29 16:24:08	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x68db79…
07-26 10:02:15	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa241c3…
07-24 09:38:39	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	133	82¢	$109	0x3b07da…
07-23 13:23:06	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62a575…
07-21 16:32:46	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa4fa09…
07-21 15:36:46	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xba7f92…
07-21 02:21:25	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde60b2…
07-17 11:03:00	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2db1cc…
07-11 12:59:07	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3b03fa…
06-29 13:48:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	99	89¢	$88	0x8a727f…
06-29 06:31:50	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3bffba…
06-28 23:34:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x6e3efd…
06-28 22:12:13	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x7fe8cc…
06-28 17:45:37	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xc11765…
06-26 18:18:59	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x534acc…
06-26 06:42:34	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x1575e7…
06-08 18:56:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4bc3bc…
05-30 09:27:34	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x80ee5a…
05-29 12:43:54	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x396387…
05-28 18:01:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfd3fcb…
05-25 16:30:07	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	109	93¢	$102	0xb744a3…
05-18 22:00:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	134	94¢	$126	0x758780…
05-17 11:15:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7558c6…
05-16 17:07:44	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	88¢	$172	0xe9e8da…
05-14 20:45:58	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4cf1d6…
05-11 17:46:25	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xe49775…
05-11 03:14:27	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x05606f…
05-10 16:56:07	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc6483c…
05-10 08:24:02	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x11670b…
05-09 22:20:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c8a0a…
05-08 18:45:47	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39287e…