Mean-Yam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$994

Unrealized P&L

+$1.23K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,775

lifetime

Volume

$1.80M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.01K

Open exposure

$45.5K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$994

Politics

34% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+45,851	$44,280	99¢	$45.5K	+$1,228	07-23 23:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	190	$242.8K	128,990	129,000	-10	open	—	07-06 02:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	175	$145.0K	68,085	79,300	-11,214	open	—	05-18 00:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	153	$99.5K	57,404	45,258	+12,145	open	—	03-04 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	69	$89.0K	42,551	49,594	-7,042	open	—	06-01 16:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	31	$80.3K	38,203	43,203	-5,000	open	—	06-17 11:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$73.8K	37,000	37,000	+0	open	—	04-08 04:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	44	$62.3K	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	01-26 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	78	$60.9K	62,754	0	+62,754	open	—	07-23 23:57
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	12	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	07-09 08:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	159	$58.1K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	04-27 17:43
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	18	$56.4K	47,500	10,000	+37,500	open	—	04-13 11:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	86	$56.3K	26,000	32,591	-6,591	open	—	06-15 12:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$39.7K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	06-02 10:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$38.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	07-04 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$36.9K	37,000	0	+37,000	open	—	04-08 15:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$35.9K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	04-03 02:22
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$32.9K	28,000	5,000	+23,000	open	—	01-03 18:27
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	19	$26.9K	27,317	0	+27,317	open	—	04-15 10:09
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	3	$24.8K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	01-03 17:30
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	14	$22.9K	22,982	0	+22,982	open	—	04-03 03:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	16	$22.0K	22,000	0	+22,000	open	—	04-19 13:55
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	34	$21.4K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	01-02 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	54	$20.9K	21,148	0	+21,148	open	—	05-13 11:30
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	33	$19.9K	20,229	0	+20,229	open	—	01-29 23:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-31 13:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	39	$18.9K	10,140	10,140	+0	open	—	07-18 16:38
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	22	$18.8K	19,153	0	+19,153	open	—	02-02 16:01
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$16.5K	0	16,500	-16,500	open	—	01-01 00:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$16.0K	6,176	10,000	-3,824	open	—	05-21 13:48
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	12	$15.1K	15,149	0	+15,149	open	—	01-31 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 23:57:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7efd23…
07-23 23:54:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13709b…
07-23 23:52:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1f21b8…
07-23 23:49:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89d146…
07-23 23:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x92db04…
07-23 23:49:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xacaa91…
07-22 14:47:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x419023…
07-22 14:47:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	498	86¢	$429	0xbcaccf…
07-21 05:43:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xe9c8e8…
07-20 11:32:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	885	98¢	$867	0xaaad44…
07-20 11:32:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19,115	98¢	$18,733	0x521657…
07-20 10:17:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	420	98¢	$412	0x21d35f…
07-20 10:17:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,053	98¢	$1,033	0x751fa5…
07-20 10:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,527	98¢	$1,498	0x705bbe…
07-20 10:14:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	662	98¢	$650	0xe38bd5…
07-20 08:00:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,949	0x139efe…
07-20 07:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x55dd15…
07-20 07:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	416	98¢	$409	0xff3cd0…
07-20 03:27:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec4a72…
07-20 03:27:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x4b9858…
07-20 02:59:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x0979a8…
07-20 02:45:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x8c9509…
07-20 02:45:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x305978…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xf47194…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xda951a…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xd1e662…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9a6651…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x83a594…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x7ecc3a…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x65571c…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ade33…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x144e03…
07-20 02:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x04d65d…
07-20 02:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	273	98¢	$269	0x24dc41…
07-20 02:41:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe75c7f…
07-20 02:41:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x7659d3…
07-20 02:41:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0b80e8…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdd4e22…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb515ec…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xa25b1d…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x8b887a…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x57686d…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x498a28…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x471261…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x290b33…
07-20 02:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x179f29…
07-20 02:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	273	98¢	$269	0x4b1f90…
07-20 01:55:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,966	0xb5e9ec…
07-20 01:28:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	856	98¢	$841	0x88e7f6…
07-20 01:17:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x04c1af…
07-20 01:07:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xf34f5d…
07-20 01:06:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf8304a…
07-20 01:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x323f22…
07-20 01:01:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe4c17a…
07-20 01:01:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6dd0ca…
07-20 01:01:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44781e…
07-20 01:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb283b9…
07-20 01:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xa0eaa7…
07-20 01:01:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7f57f3…
07-18 16:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8,140	100¢	$8,132	0xa12c52…
07-13 00:25:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x84fa29…
07-13 00:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa44426…
07-12 23:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x97abf7…
07-12 23:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xcd473e…
07-12 23:24:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x45335f…
07-11 14:12:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,620	90¢	$1,458	0xd2f9bf…
07-11 14:11:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	380	90¢	$342	0x82f5f0…
07-10 21:52:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,897	91¢	$1,726	0xb5f138…
07-10 21:48:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xa87301…
07-10 21:48:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	86	91¢	$78	0x910b1c…
07-10 21:41:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xf8db78…
07-10 21:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a7d8e…
07-10 21:24:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,995	94¢	$1,875	0x26f9ec…
07-10 20:08:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x1687e9…
07-09 16:35:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xb40d46…
07-09 15:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x1ad101…
07-09 08:23:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x6ddc58…
07-09 07:42:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12,065	100¢	$12,053	0x2a4ec6…
07-09 07:40:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb98f3e…
07-09 07:40:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x05b76c…
07-09 07:36:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c651…
07-09 07:32:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x887506…
07-09 07:31:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xad77e2…
07-09 07:25:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc72274…
07-09 07:16:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x3ea8d4…
07-09 07:12:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xa7fa57…
07-09 07:12:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x277071…
07-09 07:09:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,199	100¢	$3,196	0x145db9…
07-08 17:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x7b6299…
07-06 15:15:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	683	98¢	$671	0x9167b0…
07-06 15:14:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	231	98¢	$227	0xb3b2ed…
07-06 15:03:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x37aa6d…
07-06 06:29:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,857	98¢	$1,818	0xe059a7…
07-06 06:26:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x51feb6…
07-06 05:10:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6b8c78…
07-06 05:07:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x062445…
07-06 05:07:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x170901…
07-06 05:02:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe0d570…
07-06 04:59:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0xfe109a…
07-06 04:49:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xb32222…