Mean-Yam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$994

Unrealized P&L

+$610

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,648

lifetime

Volume

$1.61M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$978

Open exposure

$30.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$994

Politics

36% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-30,988	$-31,459	100¢	$-30849	+$610	06-30 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	189	$239.8K	128,990	126,000	+2,990	open	—	06-30 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	175	$145.0K	68,085	79,300	-11,214	open	—	05-18 00:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	153	$99.5K	57,404	45,258	+12,145	open	—	03-04 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	69	$89.0K	42,551	49,594	-7,042	open	—	06-01 16:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	31	$80.3K	38,203	43,203	-5,000	open	—	06-17 11:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$73.8K	37,000	37,000	+0	open	—	04-08 04:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	44	$62.3K	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	01-26 21:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	159	$58.1K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	04-27 17:43
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	18	$56.4K	47,500	10,000	+37,500	open	—	04-13 11:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	86	$56.3K	26,000	32,591	-6,591	open	—	06-15 12:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$39.7K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	06-02 10:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$36.9K	37,000	0	+37,000	open	—	04-08 15:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$35.9K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	04-03 02:22
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$32.9K	28,000	5,000	+23,000	open	—	01-03 18:27
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	19	$26.9K	27,317	0	+27,317	open	—	04-15 10:09
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	3	$24.8K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	01-03 17:30
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	14	$22.9K	22,982	0	+22,982	open	—	04-03 03:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	16	$22.0K	22,000	0	+22,000	open	—	04-19 13:55
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	34	$21.4K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	01-02 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	54	$20.9K	21,148	0	+21,148	open	—	05-13 11:30
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	33	$19.9K	20,229	0	+20,229	open	—	01-29 23:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-31 13:17
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	22	$18.8K	19,153	0	+19,153	open	—	02-02 16:01
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$16.5K	0	16,500	-16,500	open	—	01-01 00:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$16.0K	6,176	10,000	-3,824	open	—	05-21 13:48
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	12	$15.1K	15,149	0	+15,149	open	—	01-31 13:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-22 16:35
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-03 13:54
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	10	$14.9K	15,073	0	+15,073	Yes	+$166	05-02 11:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	17	$13.9K	14,656	0	+14,656	open	—	05-16 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 01:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	68,000	100¢	$67,660	0x05613a…
06-30 00:54:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0x18683a…
06-29 22:11:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0x67025c…
06-29 08:17:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,976	0x0173e9…
06-29 05:46:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xab6472…
06-29 02:53:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe488b6…
06-28 20:25:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,241	85¢	$1,905	0x3f7cfb…
06-28 20:25:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3,000	93¢	$2,790	0xf9a4fd…
06-28 20:25:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	667	85¢	$567	0xc920b4…
06-28 20:25:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xf38433…
06-28 20:25:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x4b0733…
06-28 20:24:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xff7d53…
06-28 20:24:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xcd2d8a…
06-28 20:19:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	390	86¢	$335	0xfe4083…
06-28 19:52:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	99	86¢	$85	0xd62620…
06-28 19:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0xfd43e6…
06-28 19:18:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x770a79…
06-28 19:14:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	243	86¢	$209	0x30293a…
06-28 18:50:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x7d1b83…
06-28 15:17:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x80b5b2…
06-28 11:38:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	751	87¢	$653	0x713c91…
06-28 11:38:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	249	87¢	$217	0x266351…
06-28 09:39:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,059	94¢	$996	0xda3cf2…
06-28 08:45:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x019967…
06-28 08:29:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x739c8b…
06-28 08:24:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x976165…
06-28 08:13:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x2f5d98…
06-28 08:10:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xfead09…
06-28 07:58:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xa89038…
06-28 07:51:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0078c9…
06-28 07:45:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2fd595…
06-28 07:31:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc38cef…
06-28 07:22:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x839607…
06-28 07:15:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,372	94¢	$1,290	0xe6facd…
06-28 06:55:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbe6ef2…
06-28 06:00:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x65a60d…
06-28 05:28:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	102	94¢	$96	0xe21d4a…
06-28 02:12:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$136	0x737fbd…
06-28 02:12:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,860	98¢	$1,818	0x07b415…
06-26 20:33:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,487	95¢	$1,413	0x95c2ab…
06-26 20:33:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,688	95¢	$3,504	0x569fbf…
06-26 20:33:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xf6f049…
06-26 20:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xcae53e…
06-26 20:32:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,995	95¢	$1,895	0xb82a23…
06-26 20:32:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	810	95¢	$770	0xedaced…
06-26 03:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,000	96¢	$2,865	0x0929a5…
06-26 01:07:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,907	96¢	$2,776	0x4ea5c4…
06-26 01:06:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb5e6a0…
06-26 01:04:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa0f4e9…
06-26 01:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3bee0d…
06-26 01:02:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x02e4be…
06-26 01:00:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x886bf6…
06-26 00:59:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa206a1…
06-26 00:58:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3be5fa…
06-26 00:56:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0x9d0700…
06-25 09:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xce1ba5…
06-25 06:19:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$952	0xc83cc9…
06-25 05:06:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	686	96¢	$656	0xcd4039…
06-25 04:59:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe3668c…
06-25 04:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xf3db10…
06-25 04:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb99ff5…
06-25 04:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x745afe…
06-25 04:58:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b4c95…
06-25 04:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc3d36d…
06-25 04:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x09e8e9…
06-25 04:55:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xac9857…
06-25 04:55:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77d398…
06-25 04:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x441f3a…
06-25 04:52:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4c6308…
06-25 04:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x50ee51…
06-25 04:51:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xc77107…
06-25 04:51:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x093435…
06-25 04:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbeb1fa…
06-25 04:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	198	96¢	$190	0xde4785…
06-25 04:30:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$957	0xa6e408…
06-24 16:29:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,883	0x13e461…
06-24 16:27:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,771	96¢	$1,702	0xd7f7f0…
06-24 15:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,580	97¢	$2,500	0x678ff2…
06-24 15:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	420	97¢	$407	0x30902a…
06-24 15:27:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,850	0xf00bcd…
06-24 15:26:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,749	97¢	$2,672	0xdd19c4…
06-24 15:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,919	0xd224a5…
06-24 13:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,977	97¢	$2,899	0xf4001b…
06-24 13:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x4319aa…
06-24 04:03:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,221	97¢	$1,189	0x3d5d2c…
06-24 04:01:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x4d7ded…
06-24 04:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	269	97¢	$262	0xadd3b0…
06-24 04:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0xb3c242…
06-24 03:59:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,285	97¢	$1,252	0x04bc38…
06-24 02:38:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,870	0xfda51b…
06-24 02:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc953fa…
06-24 02:37:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x86795e…
06-24 02:36:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0269bc…
06-24 02:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf443f8…
06-24 02:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf577d…
06-24 02:34:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x64a4e9…
06-24 02:33:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97d0ee…
06-24 02:31:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc04aa7…
06-24 02:30:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,931	0x3e071c…
06-24 02:28:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x12fccf…