Definitive-Celebrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$5.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-11 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 37% -$1,021

Other

1% 77% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	17	$494	400	400	+0	Down	+$102	03-13 18:10
ethereum up or down march 12 7am et	9	$278	200	200	+0	Down	+$118	03-12 11:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 6pm et	3	$220	500	0	+500	Down	+$280	03-11 22:12
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	4	$220	500	0	+500	Up	-$220	03-11 21:00
ethereum up or down march 11 2pm et	2	$160	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	03-11 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:30 UTC	7	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$69	03-11 14:43
bitcoin up or down march 11 7pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-11 22:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9pm et	6	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-12 00:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC	2	$100	400	0	+400	Up	-$100	03-12 19:49
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	2	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-11 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 11 8pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-11 23:47
bitcoin up or down march 11 10pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	03-12 01:52
bitcoin up or down march 11 11pm et	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-12 02:20
ethereum up or down march 11 1pm et	1	$100	244	0	+244	Up	-$100	03-11 17:13
bitcoin up or down march 12 4pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-12 20:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 2pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-12 17:59
bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-12 17:00
xrp up or down march 12 5pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 21:01
bitcoin up or down march 11 4pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-11 20:58
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-11 19:34
xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	3	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 03:00
xrp up or down march 12 8pm et	2	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 00:00
xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 01:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 16:20
bitcoin up or down march 12 3pm et	1	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 18:57
xrp up or down march 13 12am et	8	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$102	03-13 04:09
xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	7	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-13 16:00
xrp up or down march 12 6pm et	3	$98	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	03-12 22:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 10am et	3	$96	360	0	+360	Down	-$96	03-12 14:38
xrp up or down march 12 7pm et	4	$95	194	0	+194	Up	-$95	03-12 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 20:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x22fda8…
09-11 20:14:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x49d7b3…
09-11 20:14:24	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcaf172…
08-15 23:13:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a9edc…
07-26 18:49:43	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07d49b…
07-26 18:49:21	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9a56…
06-12 13:06:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x98d8be…
06-12 13:06:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4dd940…
06-12 13:05:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa2c92b…
06-12 13:05:39	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x68618a…
06-12 13:05:30	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8e6b30…
06-12 13:05:18	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x612813…
05-26 14:12:05	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8352fa…
05-26 14:11:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x969810…
05-26 14:11:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa3d659…
05-26 14:11:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4910fe…
05-26 14:11:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x451dfb…
05-12 20:56:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0558a0…
05-12 20:56:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x71af75…
05-12 20:55:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a2b13…
05-12 20:55:40	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc31336…
05-12 20:55:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1f60c7…
04-29 01:29:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6c4a18…
04-29 01:29:38	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04b55a…
04-17 16:25:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x88f3ac…
04-17 16:24:52	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x675960…
04-17 16:24:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf7316f…
04-17 16:23:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe43b4d…
03-13 18:10:49	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xc8701c…
03-13 17:02:03	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	107	49¢	$52	0x9694be…
03-13 17:01:35	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x0f6fdf…
03-13 17:01:33	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa23f69…
03-13 17:01:27	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0x6b47f5…
03-13 17:01:27	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x66af8c…
03-13 17:01:27	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2e9220…
03-13 17:00:19	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99a7d4…
03-13 17:00:19	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x19fc98…
03-13 17:00:19	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x00950b…
03-13 17:00:17	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0x52cb1f…
03-13 17:00:17	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0x11e7aa…
03-13 17:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61c7a5…
03-13 17:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x40f46c…
03-13 17:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x40dbfc…
03-13 17:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xffa8ed…
03-13 17:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 13 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xd5ab60…
03-13 16:00:07	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xc188f5…
03-13 15:59:45	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa94c80…
03-13 15:58:53	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2afd00…
03-13 15:58:49	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x81661e…
03-13 15:57:25	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x758611…
03-13 15:57:23	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x68f3f7…
03-13 15:56:51	xrp up or down march 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x9276f4…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xa8535a…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8f137e…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8861cd…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x500d7d…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x49895c…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x26847c…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x1aed63…
03-13 04:09:45	xrp up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x117ce4…
03-13 04:07:51	bitcoin up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x055a47…
03-13 04:07:49	bitcoin up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd4bdc1…
03-13 04:01:51	ethereum up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x59ef63…
03-13 04:01:43	ethereum up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdab792…
03-13 04:01:41	ethereum up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd41005…
03-13 04:01:41	ethereum up or down march 13 12am et	Down	BUY	44	49¢	$21	0x7973a7…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xb439a5…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	83	49¢	$41	0xaec8c8…
03-13 03:00:21	xrp up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x817270…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xf964f0…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xeeec07…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xde24ce…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x5d6c98…
03-13 02:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x136f94…
03-13 02:57:09	ethereum up or down march 12 11pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8074dc…
03-13 02:00:13	ethereum up or down march 12 10pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xf3702c…
03-13 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7b113c…
03-13 01:00:13	ethereum up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x72439a…
03-13 01:00:13	xrp up or down march 12 9pm et	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x6dd417…
03-13 00:05:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xbc87bf…
03-13 00:00:19	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9be173…
03-13 00:00:19	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0x45ba29…
03-13 00:00:17	xrp up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	93	49¢	$46	0x10b6d7…
03-13 00:00:15	xrp up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	107	49¢	$52	0xdf0ab3…
03-13 00:00:11	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xf93298…
03-13 00:00:11	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda60fc…
03-13 00:00:11	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d3dda…
03-13 00:00:11	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x55ce1c…
03-13 00:00:11	ethereum up or down march 12 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x413d5c…
03-12 23:00:19	ethereum up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xec7b50…
03-12 23:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xdac93c…
03-12 23:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	105	49¢	$52	0x845cdf…
03-12 23:00:11	xrp up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x08e362…
03-12 23:00:09	xrp up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x6b798b…
03-12 23:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	62	49¢	$31	0x4ad6ec…
03-12 23:00:07	bitcoin up or down march 12 7pm et	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x1cd6b7…
03-12 22:00:23	bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	71	48¢	$34	0x5ad11d…
03-12 22:00:17	xrp up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0xb8c1d8…
03-12 22:00:17	xrp up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x76f76f…
03-12 22:00:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x97a123…