Total-Flume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$212

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-09 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

74% 65% -$320

Crypto

9% 50% -$9

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Sports

6% 0% -$75

Tech

3% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-144	-$124	98¢	$-141	-$17	06-06 09:00
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-31	-$30	99¢	$-31	-$1	05-23 16:49
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	+22	$21	98¢	$21	+$1	05-22 07:31
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	+20	$14	96¢	$19	+$5	06-09 23:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$197	1,790	0	+1,790	Yes	-$197	02-02 21:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$124	0	144	-144	open	—	06-06 09:00
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	03-15 02:41
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$74	0	200	-200	Yes	-$126	05-22 11:08
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$71	539	0	+539	No	-$71	01-15 04:31
next token sale on coinbase by june 30 2026	1	$61	74	0	+74	No	+$13	06-05 09:41
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	1	$45	0	46	-46	Yes	-$1	05-22 07:24
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$1	05-22 07:28
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$41	43	0	+43	Yes	+$2	01-15 04:29
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-22 13:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-22 07:31
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$30	0	31	-31	open	—	05-23 16:49
internet access restored in iran by friday	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	01-15 04:35
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	06-05 09:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	03-31 17:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-04 20:09
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	01-15 04:33
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	03-31 17:00
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	05-22 07:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	02-02 21:35
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	1	$18	21	0	+21	No	+$3	06-05 09:40
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	1	$17	18	0	+18	Yes	+$1	02-02 21:30
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	2	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-15 04:58
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	06-09 23:05
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$13	60	0	+60	No	-$13	03-15 03:33
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-14 11:10
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	01-15 07:00
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-22 13:21
ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14	1	$4	18	0	+18	Kevin Vallejos	-$4	03-15 02:39
will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	1	$2	181	0	+181	No	-$2	04-04 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:05:34	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2003fe…
06-06 09:00:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	144	86¢	$124	0x89e99d…
06-05 09:41:52	next token sale on coinbase by june 30 2026	No	BUY	74	82¢	$61	0xaa289f…
06-05 09:40:51	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x247fe5…
06-05 09:40:15	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x969df9…
05-23 16:49:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x8b8d64…
05-22 13:30:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbb93ae…
05-22 13:21:20	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd3142b…
05-22 11:08:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x5baf18…
05-22 07:42:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x548f7d…
05-22 07:31:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xddc9a5…
05-22 07:31:04	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x103f5c…
05-22 07:28:46	SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xaee1b5…
05-22 07:24:29	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xef5c2b…
04-14 11:10:21	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x65bc15…
04-14 10:31:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x895c31…
04-04 20:10:31	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x1dfa52…
04-04 20:09:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc70512…
03-31 17:01:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xef64cc…
03-31 17:00:45	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdbc1d1…
03-15 03:33:23	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x9c7d6b…
03-15 02:43:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1ee828…
03-15 02:41:45	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$90	0xc9b516…
03-15 02:39:55	ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14	Josh Emmett	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0x67aa13…
02-02 21:35:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x072b32…
02-02 21:30:50	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9d05c9…
02-02 21:30:34	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xfa2398…
02-02 21:29:12	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,790	11¢	$197	0x7348ab…
01-15 10:26:18	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xef0c25…
01-15 09:17:14	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7be81f…
01-15 08:47:32	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x712166…
01-15 07:27:42	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1bef6f…
01-15 07:00:02	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc9703f…
01-15 06:40:30	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbe9d06…
01-15 05:27:26	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a4231…
01-15 04:58:18	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf945af…
01-15 04:35:42	internet access restored in iran by friday	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6acbbf…
01-15 04:33:28	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xba64a5…
01-15 04:32:38	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfabc5e…
01-15 04:31:24	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	539	13¢	$71	0xa6b97e…
01-15 04:29:18	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xa73c20…