Ethical-Bottom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-30 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 0% $-9

Other

23% 100% +$3

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	10	$289	220	220	+0	open	—	05-14 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$125	327	0	+327	open	—	05-30 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	9	$125	252	0	+252	open	—	05-30 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	8	$118	306	0	+306	open	—	05-30 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	7	$115	189	0	+189	open	—	05-30 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$105	298	0	+298	open	—	05-30 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	8	$95	181	0	+181	open	—	05-30 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$80	127	0	+127	open	—	05-30 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$75	482	0	+482	open	—	05-30 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$60	137	0	+137	open	—	05-30 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$58	33	33	+0	open	—	05-30 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$50	103	0	+103	open	—	05-30 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-30 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	05-30 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$45	67	0	+67	open	—	05-30 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$45	108	0	+108	open	—	05-30 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$41	188	0	+188	open	—	05-26 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	7	$36	57	0	+57	Up	$-5	05-13 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$35	86	0	+86	open	—	05-30 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$35	113	0	+113	open	—	05-30 12:33
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$34	49	7	+42	open	—	05-14 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$30	193	0	+193	open	—	05-30 13:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	3	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	05-30 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$25	108	0	+108	open	—	05-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$25	65	0	+65	open	—	05-30 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	8	$24	60	0	+60	open	—	05-26 11:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 11:40
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 19:15
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	3	$21	19	8	+11	open	—	05-14 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x40cfbc…
05-30 13:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x332f24…
05-30 13:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xc8bb14…
05-30 13:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4ed208…
05-30 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x914868…
05-30 13:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5d9690…
05-30 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x66ac9d…
05-30 13:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8be066…
05-30 13:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd02324…
05-30 13:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd8e31b…
05-30 13:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9d30a7…
05-30 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x54176f…
05-30 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd80e1e…
05-30 13:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5cfd1f…
05-30 13:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xf24ce8…
05-30 13:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6b14de…
05-30 13:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe27fc3…
05-30 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8c2dad…
05-30 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1550d1…
05-30 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xfd6ede…
05-30 13:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x282c3b…
05-30 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaf0f71…
05-30 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe71ba3…
05-30 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x57914b…
05-30 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5fcd9e…
05-30 13:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8d62f3…
05-30 13:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x358b43…
05-30 13:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x2d13ef…
05-30 13:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x9dffbe…
05-30 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x8487d2…
05-30 13:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd02533…
05-30 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x749a38…
05-30 13:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xde6bde…
05-30 13:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xb7e1ac…
05-30 13:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa84afe…
05-30 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb10d0d…
05-30 13:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x69cfc6…
05-30 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x46fe69…
05-30 13:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x3aae00…
05-30 13:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe15a08…
05-30 13:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	130	3¢	$3	0xaff42a…
05-30 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x971f81…
05-30 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xceff61…
05-30 13:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xc5e3ae…
05-30 13:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x99554e…
05-30 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x6d61d6…
05-30 13:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x6a45cb…
05-30 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfeaa38…
05-30 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf9e131…
05-30 13:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x771ab6…
05-30 13:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xaabcad…
05-30 13:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x048738…
05-30 13:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x4f0d9d…
05-30 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x6a983e…
05-30 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe7d9a6…
05-30 13:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3a8d4d…
05-30 13:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xdda60d…
05-30 13:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x12086f…
05-30 13:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x327e01…
05-30 13:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x693fa2…
05-30 13:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x749df5…
05-30 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3a9bff…
05-30 12:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x42d1c5…
05-30 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x4248f5…
05-30 12:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf19592…
05-30 12:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7b70c3…
05-30 12:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0xa785e4…
05-30 12:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xafc5c2…
05-30 12:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8ec594…
05-30 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1b21a1…
05-30 12:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x992d4f…
05-30 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa61577…
05-30 12:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8d3d0b…
05-30 12:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xb379ac…
05-30 12:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xc0362e…
05-30 12:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x32077b…
05-30 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4d8e8f…
05-30 12:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0bfc99…
05-30 12:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3af742…
05-30 12:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xa8c40b…
05-30 12:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe53350…
05-30 12:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2d56a5…
05-30 12:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc7162e…
05-30 12:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xfb3b08…
05-30 12:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x142a38…
05-30 12:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x51f7ae…
05-30 12:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1de636…
05-30 12:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xabfd6d…
05-30 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb7b6d9…
05-30 12:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd4e31…
05-30 12:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x20208a…
05-30 12:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x87bf12…
05-30 12:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x13292e…
05-30 12:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x95ab8a…
05-30 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xfa59e0…
05-30 12:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5092bc…
05-30 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3d186d…
05-30 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x84779a…
05-30 12:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7eb806…
05-30 12:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x46f24b…