Exemplary-Rack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

109

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

50% 98% +$3

Crypto

23% 100% +$1

Politics

23% 80% +$2

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$104	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 00:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$0	09-07 19:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$98	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 06:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$89	46	46	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$69	48	48	+0	No	+$0	10-26 05:25
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$52	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	09-10 14:09
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$51	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	09-03 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:05
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-05 00:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-15 11:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-14 16:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-13 12:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-21 12:38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$1	10-03 21:31
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:34
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-26 19:33
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 19:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	09-29 02:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-27 11:37
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	10-17 13:28
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-26 20:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-30 15:59
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$15	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:21
aapl above 220 on march 31 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-31 14:10
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	02-27 03:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-30 19:22
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-13 20:02
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in january	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-24 04:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-09 11:45
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-14 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:37:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0772d6…
10-26 05:25:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x6dffbc…
10-25 22:39:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$1	0x0a1f26…
10-24 12:59:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xff1fcf…
10-24 12:59:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x85d91a…
10-24 12:59:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6ac380…
10-24 12:59:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	357	0¢	$0	0x6ef1be…
10-20 16:19:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xb4c07b…
10-17 13:28:44	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x343a63…
10-08 16:00:38	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x0f1435…
10-05 07:21:28	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x333433…
10-03 21:31:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xa3abaf…
10-03 04:03:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2cd31f…
09-30 19:22:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x515062…
09-29 02:43:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x6e7947…
09-26 08:51:59	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbcf986…
09-25 15:58:42	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8f5c9…
09-22 14:34:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x68a578…
09-13 20:02:01	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x592c06…
09-12 07:31:57	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0b638c…
09-10 14:09:22	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$52	0x184318…
09-10 00:54:16	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x8bfff7…
09-09 18:30:10	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x73d243…
09-07 19:05:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x685cef…
09-06 02:43:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xb27cfa…
09-03 15:44:39	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xbf4e04…
09-01 03:05:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeb3976…
08-31 22:48:07	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf67e54…
08-27 23:13:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xcf7463…
08-26 20:37:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xda8596…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xcbaf99…
08-24 12:23:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c0a9c…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x940417…
08-21 12:38:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0xa0f91f…
08-20 01:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xd606fd…
08-20 01:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xb4433f…
08-20 01:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa85a72…
08-20 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf41fdd…
08-20 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x38ea4e…
08-20 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x31c145…
08-19 22:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2ad245…
08-19 20:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe7e81f…
08-19 19:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbc178e…
08-19 08:31:54	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf4346…
08-15 11:47:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xcf7a24…
08-14 16:58:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x51abc0…
08-13 12:32:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0xfa5cea…
08-13 10:55:13	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4ca5a0…
08-13 06:54:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x469f00…
08-09 14:36:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x78cded…
08-08 19:24:36	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7f454…
08-05 00:20:50	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x69191b…
07-31 13:55:54	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xed1f73…
07-30 15:59:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7584ad…
07-30 12:35:57	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x45d11d…
07-30 07:40:14	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xbd7155…
07-27 20:42:03	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x903a69…
07-27 12:19:58	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d4da4…
07-27 06:27:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x569de2…
07-26 23:18:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea9617…
07-26 18:46:45	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03fcaf…
07-25 09:15:21	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1fa70…
07-24 23:14:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb926bf…
07-24 14:50:48	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1244b2…
07-24 08:14:48	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4cd064…
07-22 21:25:21	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf135fe…
07-20 18:04:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3ea0f…
06-29 19:39:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf754a4…
06-28 02:10:02	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x683bf6…
06-26 19:33:49	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x49c631…
05-29 23:19:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe3e719…
05-09 11:45:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf52457…
05-08 05:39:28	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1f3f99…
05-08 04:54:38	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeaf52e…
05-08 01:45:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8572d7…
05-07 22:11:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc092af…
05-07 20:27:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x61160a…
05-07 10:37:07	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa94356…
05-05 16:52:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa0880…
05-05 15:04:22	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x839aa0…
05-05 12:31:22	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c02c0…
05-05 10:08:14	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x84be4d…
05-05 07:26:58	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2a3f7e…
04-25 00:48:40	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x639529…
04-19 17:35:26	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xefbf92…
04-19 12:18:18	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x87faf8…
04-18 09:21:24	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee8661…
04-17 14:12:44	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa54b9b…
04-17 07:09:40	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f2d0b…
04-16 10:03:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0b983…
04-16 03:15:52	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc00fe6…
04-15 00:32:18	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x651dcd…
04-14 07:39:39	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc1a3a5…
04-13 23:49:13	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0a7831…
04-05 23:29:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f2717…
04-05 07:59:29	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6c2fd7…
03-31 14:10:01	aapl above 220 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0b17e1…
03-30 10:01:16	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4914c…
03-29 18:10:22	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0dbb28…
03-28 06:49:05	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeef981…